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Top 20 Premier League Betting Tips: Arsenal to win without City?

Publish Date: 15/08/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • Arsenal looking good
  • Avoid betting on Man City
  • Spurs to make top four

Welcome to my 1-20 for the upcoming Premier League. This is the table as I think it will look come May ‘25!

Where value has been identified, you’ll see I’ve given you all you need to know in terms of market, selection, odds, stake, and where to bet. I consistently do very well in season-long bets so have faith, get on, and do so responsibly.

Premier League Winners

1. Arsenal

Incremental gains made last two campaigns and this looks like the time to strike. An additional striker (a real poacher) would give even more confidence.

  • Market: Winner w/o Man City
  • Selection: Arsenal
  • Odds: 4/5
  • Stake: 1pt
  • Bookie: Unibet

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2. Man City

Avoid betting one way or another, 115 charges are enough to create doubt about deductions. Alvarez is a loss, and several key players are possibly reaching the end at 33/34 years of age.

3. Liverpool

Expect a good season where they challenge in a good way, but will likely undone by their defence in key moments. Jota if staying fit and playing 30+ games should hit 15+ goals.

4. Tottenham

Ange has now had a proper window to get business done and the team can be expected to do better than last season when losing Harry Kane right at the get-go with no time to replace him.

  • Market: Top 4
  • Selection: Tottenham
  • Odds: 9/4
  • Stake: 0.5pt
  • Bookie: BetVictor

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5. Newcastle

Benefit from no CL football this time round and in Gordon and Isak they have real quality in attack, if Guehi signs then defence gets a much-needed boost.

6. Man Utd

Another middling season is expected here for The Red Devils. Hard to see where the massive improvement is going to come from, Garnacho and Diallo the livewires.

7. Chelsea

Basket case, move on!

8. West Ham

Looks like shrewd business done with Kilman, Wan Bissaka, Summerville, Guilherme, and Fullkrug all looking like positive additions who can improve the team who finished 9th last season. Retaining superstar Jarrod Bowen is also a major positive for the Irons.

  • Market: Season Handicap
  • Selection: West Ham +34
  • Odds: 12/1
  • Stake: 0.5pt EW
  • Bookie: bet365

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9. Aston Villa

Expect a struggle here compared to an excellent 23/24 season. The Champions League will bring about a whole new challenge and think Douglas Luiz was a bigger loss than people imagined.

10. Brighton

The club that makes all the right moves. Trust in Tony Bloom, there will be no big drop off for Brighton and another season challenging for Europe looks on the cards.

11. Brentford

Missed Toney for half the year during the last campaign, and although they threw in a few ropey performances, they showed against top clubs they can operate at a high level. I believe they can do well without threatening Europe. The market seems dead against them so value in several markets backing them to be a mid-table side.

  • Market: Season Handicap
  • Selection: Brentford +42
  • Odds: 15/1
  • Stake: 0.5pt EW
  • Bookie: bet365

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12. Fulham

Some see them as relegation candidates at a price, I don’t and I suggest keeping your powder dry. Average squad, average season expected. Emile Smith Rowe will give the Cottagers faithful a few great moments to remember, a classy player.

13. Crystal Palace

Olise is gone, Guehi looking highly likely to leave, and does Eze stay? Can Mateta be as good with little rest during the Summer? A season of relative struggle beckons.

  • Market: Bottom Half Finish
  • Selection: Crystal Palace
  • Odds: 8/11
  • Stake: 1.25pts
  • Bookie: BetVictor

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14. Wolves

Neto and Kilman gone, big losses but enough quality footballers and experience around to keep them from being a proper relegation risk.

15. Nottingham Forest

Was close to having the Tricky Trees a place or two higher but feel they will still be suspect at the back, particularly on their travels. Lots of fancy wingers but not sure that will be enough to make the top half.

16. Everton

Another nervy season ahead for The Toffees who could well have the nicest stadium in the Championship come 25/26 season. That being said, Dyche is a beast and should find a way to survive.

17. Bournemouth

Although I’ve got the Cherries here at 17th I do feel they will be scrapping relegation throughout the season and may well fall out of the Premier League come May. They offer value to do so particularly with the massive loss of Solanke who netted 19 league goals last campaign, 35% of their total goals!

  • Market: Relegation
  • Selection: Bournemouth
  • Odds: 8/1
  • Stake: 0.25pt
  • Bookie: BetVictor

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18. Ipswich Town

I expect a fair old crack at staying up from the Tractor Boys and make them clearly the most likely of the promoted teams to do so. All the atmosphere, effort, and patches of quality might just be enough but will err on the side of caution and say they’ll finish 18th.

19. Southampton

The manager has pulled Lucy Pinder, so credit to him, but he’ll need all his focus to be on his team. Expect a similar situation to Kompany and Burnley; he won’t change his style and will get relegated.

  • Market: Relegation
  • Selection: Southampton
  • Odds: 11/10
  • Stake: 1pt
  • Bookie: BetVictor

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20. Leicester City

A likely points deduction, an injured front line, 4/9 to go down and that looks about right.

The Fund's Premier League Outright Bets

Here is a recap of my outright Premier League bets for the 24/25 season:

  • Arsenal to win the Premier League (w/o Man City) 4/5 with Unibet
  • Tottenham to make Top 4 9/4 with BetVictor
  • West Ham +34 season handicap 12/1 with bet365
  • Brentford +42 season handicap15/1 with bet365
  • Crystal Palace bottom half finish 8/11 with BetVictor
  • Bournemouth to get relegated 8/1 with BetVictor
  • Southampton to get relegated 11/10 with BetVictor

The Fund’s 1-20 Premier League Predictions

Finishing Position Team
1 Arsenal
2 Man City
3 Liverpool
4 Tottenham
5 Newcastle
6 Man United
7 Chelsea
8 West Ham
9 Aston Villa
10 Brighton
11 Brentford
12 Fulham
13 Crystal Palace
14 Wolves
15 Nottingham Forest
16 Everton
17 Bournemouth
18 Ipswich
19 Southampton
20 Leicester

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Who Are The Fund?

The Fund are a pair of gaming industry veterans who have developed a unique way to analyse football betting markets. Mike and Sonny are visionaries in the art of extracting value from the Premier League and other major European markets. They are very effective in the AFL space too.

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