Expert Punter
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The PGA Tour is heading back to the Sedgefield Country Club this week and will host the Wyndham Championship. The course is a Par 71 over 7117 yards and once again, it is going to be a very low-scoring event and a very important one for what is a very important week in terms of the FedEx rankings.
This week’s top 70 players will qualify for next week’s playoff at St Judes. Where there is a $20 million purse for the winner. Then the top 50 players at St Judes qualify for the BMW with another $20 million up for grabs. Finally, the top 30 BMW players automatically qualify for the PGA Tour Championship, which has a purse of $75 million.
A fast start seems to be the trend in these low scoring events of late and 3M Open winner, Lee Hodges, proved that after shooting a 63 on Day 1 and was never caught from there. It was a relentless performance and a very well-deserved first PGA title.
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My number one selection for this week is world number 51 Taylor Moore, who is enjoying a fine season on Tour and looks the ideal candidate for this week’s Wyndham Championship. He is sitting in 27th in the FedEx points list, so no danger of him losing that spot, but I think he can really excel at this low scoring course. He was seriously impressive to break his Tour maiden by winning the Valspar and has had a few Top 5’s since, so he is more than capable and he has the game to suit.
He does need to leave a disappointing effort at the Open Championship behind him, but the conditions there were brutal and he wouldn’t have been used to the links golf, so it can definitely be forgiven. He has had a week off since and is a likely contender in my eyes. He plays very well at low scoring courses and his 50/1 price tag is way too big for such a progressive player who will suit this course nicely.
Selection number two for this week is Chris Kirk, who has impressed me a lot this year. He always seems to be high up on the leaderboard and is deservedly number 41 in the world rankings. He is well inside the cut line to make it through to the St Jude next week and like Taylor Moore, I think this course will suit him very nicely indeed.
He is a five-time PGA Tour winner and is in fantastic form right now. Despite opening with a 78 in the Open Championship, he did actually shoot a good score of 70 in round two and after a week off links golf, I’m sure he will be much more comfortable on home soil. He won the Honda Classic after Top 5 finishes in The Sony and the American Express and Chris Kirk is another player that should out play his odds here, I can see him doing very well this week.
Mark Hubbard has made my squad a few times this year and he has just got better as the season has gone on. He hasn’t won on the PGA Tour so far, but he has managed five Top 10s this season and has been consistent enough to get himself up to 58th in the FedEx cup standings. That’s only 12 places ahead of the cut line though, so he will need another solid week to guarantee he gets through, but I have every bit of faith in him getting it done.
He finished well in the John Deere and the Canadian, which are two courses where the form bodes well for this week. He has also had four other Top 10’s in his last eight tournaments and was solid enough in the 3M Open without making the cut. He will break his maiden sooner or later, that's for sure and he is definitely worth a shot in the squad this week.
Chez Reavie seems to have been around forever on the PGA Tour. He is a three-time winner with plenty of experience and I think he will really enjoy this week at Sedgefield Country Club. He played really solid golf here last year and his form from this year’s Travellers Championship really caught my eye.
He finished tied fourth with rounds of 64, 63, 63 and 71 and he was very unlucky with the putter in round four. The form of the Travellers, John Deere and the Canadian are valuable this week as they are not too dissimilar and Chez played very well in all three events. He has a superb approach play, he’s handy with a putter and if he has the driver working too, he could be in for a very good week.
Selection five is world number 188 Justin Lower, who is in need of a big week here, but definitely has the tools to do it. He is currently sitting in 100th place in the FedEx Cup standings and needs to get into the Top 70 to get through to the St Judes next week. I think that’s more than achievable, based on his better rounds this year.
He does need to bounce back from a couple of ropey tournaments results, although his performance in the Rocket Mortgage, where he finished tied eighth, was much more like it and I was expecting him to open up at half this price. He started well and finished well in the recent 3M Open and I think that was a step back in the right direction after his flop in the Barracuda. In addition, he will be desperate to get a spot at next week’s event, so he will be doing his level best here and he has a solid chance.
My final selection for this week’s squad is Zac Blair. To be honest, I'm surprised he has never won on Tour, but he does bring form into this. He finished second in the Travellers in a playoff, with a final round carded at 62, so he knows how to go low and that experience will have done him well. He also finished tied for 13th at the 3M Open last week and the four rounds he carded there were, 69, 66, 72 and 64.
His best attributes by far are his chipping and putting and as this is not an overly long course, his short game talents will be valuable and I’m sure he must be feeling confident this week. He is 90th in the FedEx rankings, so he is playing well in the right events and just needs a good push to get him through to St Judes.
I have an interesting longshot for you here, in the name of Tyson Alexander and he could hardly be coming into this event in better form. To end the 2022 season, he finished second in the Houston Open, which is a similar track to this one and that kind of form would give him a shout for sure, but he has since gone on to miss plenty of cuts.
He didn’t play especially badly in any of them, he simply wasn’t scoring low enough to get through. You are taking a bit of a chance that he comes here in good form, but he finished tied 20th in the 3M Open with four really good consistent rounds of 69, 67, 68 and 68. Also, just two weeks ago, he finished in a tie for 32nd in the Barbaso, which was a very strong event too. Those two performances just give us a glimpse of hope that he is back in top form and if you can get the 750/1 on offer, then why not.
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