We’re off to Doncaster on Thursday for a fantastic day of Flat racing and I have four betting tips for you. I shall be playing them all as singles, but I’ve put them all in a Lucky 15 as well, in the hope of making us a nice profit as we head into the weekend.
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Today, I have four betting tips that I feel rather bullish about. At this time of year, I’m usually all over the Jumps, but as there is such a cracking card of Flat action at Doncaster on Thursday, I felt the need to deviate from the norm on this occasion.
I have a particularly strong opinion for both of the Group 2 fillies’ races. I’m also pretty convinced that both winners will come from the same yard, which may give you a slight clue as to who my selections are. They are both highly likely to open up at really good prices too, so I’ll definitely be getting stuck in.
There are some really smart fillies running in this Nursery and George Boughey is represented by Chic Colombine, the current favourite. She travelled really powerfully at Haydock last time out, on good ground and that performance sets the standard on paper.
Granny Budgie, running for George Scott, is another who looks particularly smart. She was a runaway winner at Hamilton in August and will definitely go well in these conditions. History House seems to have turned a corner and could potentially figure here, but the one I think will take the beating is Bellarchi, for the Grant Tuer team.
She won going away at Hamilton in September, having stepped up a furlong and when carrying an extra 6 lbs, so her form looks really solid. She travelled really strongly and when she was asked to find a bit in the final furlong, she found plenty. The ground looks like it will be a little softer this time around, but I think she will handle it just fine and, in this field, she is the standout for me.
This particular Group 2 is a race I’m really looking forward to watching and I think the bookies have got it a little bit wrong as far as the prices are concerned. Les Bleus is a filly I really like and she has improved with every single run to date. She won at Newmarket on her second start, before finishing third in the Sweet Solera Stakes. Next, she went over to Deauville and ran a blinder in the Group 2 there. Her form has been progressively getting better with each run and at a double-figure price and with Ryan Moore in the saddle, she has to have a decent chance.
There is however a filly in here that I think could be rather special and that is See The Fire for Andrew Balding. She won on debut at Newmarket, despite drifting across the track and she looked like she has bags more potential. The horse she beat that day won next time out, in a Fillies’ Stakes race at Goodwood.
I think See The fire is going to be a pretty special. Connections say her work at home has been exceptional and her performance on track suggests she is well above average. In my eyes, this filly is a potential star and at 7/1 she is a really good price. I am very excited to see her race against the more experienced runners here.
Although I initially narrowed down the Park Hill Stakes to two selections, I have decided to go against the favourite here, which is Sumo Sam. Frankly, I just don’t trust him to back up the performance that he put on at Goodwood last time out and his price tag doesn’t excite me either.
I think the main danger in this race is One Memory, who is ultra consistent and a repeat of either of her last two runs would make her a solid option, but I am very taken with Night Sparkle. This filly has gone through lot of changes just recently, a change of ownership to Barbara Keller and more crucially, a change of yards. So tomorrow, she makes her debut for Andrew Balding here after winning her last four for the O’Callaghan team. Three of those wins were on the Flat, but interestingly, her win at Punchestown was in a Maiden Hurdle, so she is clearly a very versatile type. I find something rather eye-catching about her style of running, she’s as tough as they come and I think she is going to clock up yet another win here.
The final race at Doncaster is one for the two-year-olds and Mafnood, who runs for Richard Hannon has to be high on the list. However, the drop back to 7 furlongs isn’t sure to suit, considering he has been beaten twice over this distance. That said, he did get a good win over a mile and clearly has plenty of ability.
Politico is one I think is the main danger here. He won really well at Chester, getting first run round the bend but this is going to be a very different sort of race and he may not be able to dominate here like he did last time out. The one I fancy though is Spanish Blaze, who is definitely getting the hang of racing and even looks to be holding some of his ability back.
Last time out at Sandown he was smart, despite being slowly away, he still found the gears to get up. I don’t really mind if he is slowly away again, as it means he will avoid tangling with Politico too soon and hold up tactics seem to suit him. All in all, I think Spanish Blaze has a lot of untapped potential and could well be the one to beat in the final race of the day.
Advised as singles and a Lucky 15
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