Key Points
- My betting tip was fourth in this race last year and can improve
- This mare is unexposed over 3m and I think there is more to come
- She meets Sainte Doctor on much more favourable terms this time
We head for Day 2 of The April Meeting at Cheltenham today, and I have a betting tip for you in the Exertis-Samsung Racing Excellence Award Challenger Series Mares’' Chase Final. This mare ticks a lot of boxes for me today, and I think she can improve on her fourth place in this race last year. I’ll explain here why I think that’s the case.
While the majority of my content is time-sensitive, some of it is still relevant now. Two current examples are my antepost betting tips for the 2026 Cheltenham Festival and the 2026 Grand National, so if you are not already on those, check them out! As it stands, both selections remain at backable prices, but that could change at any time, so don’t wait too long.
Betting Advice
- 14:10 Cheltenham -
Moviddy
@15/2 (4 places) -
0.75pt each way
Betfred is the best place for today’s bet
Betfred are offering 15/2 on Moviddy, with four places, and that looks fantastic value to me. As well as fantastic odds, they have a big value offer for new customers. If you open an account with Betfred and
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Moviddy looks primed for a massive run today!
After Moviddy’s fourth place last year, I’m sure this race has been in the back of Noel Williams’ mind all season for her. In my opinion, the way he has campaigned her reflects that, and I think his patience may be rewarded today. Whilst she is up 4lb for her win at Wincanton last month, I think there is plenty more progression to come from her, especially over this staying trip.
Moviddy finished fourth in this last year but can do better this time
If you look back to last year's renewal, Moviddy finished in fourth, beaten by just over nine lengths. Flintara finished second that day and reopposes in today’s race. However, Moviddy gave her 12lb last year, but only gives her 5lb this time. While I think Flintara has a squeak in here, I believe Moviddy can come out on top.
The winner last year was a horse called La Renommee, who is trained by Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole. She managed to get into this race off a mark of 127 carrying top weight. That may have looked a big ask before the renewal, but it certainly doesn’t in hindsight. She went on to win another Handicap at Ludlow in October, off 5lb higher, and then a Listed race at Doncaster in December. La Renommee is now rated a whole 14lb higher than she was in this race last year, so it’s safe to say that Moviddy and Flintara bumped into one.
I think it is also worth noting Moviddy’s preparation for last year’s race. She pulled up at Newbury in January, which meant that she came into this race off an 86-day absence. I would say that contributed to her racing too keenly, and between the two factors, she didn’t get home that day. This time around, Moviddy has had a clear build up to the race, she’s another year older and wiser, and she also comes here off a 10lb lower mark. All of which can only improve her chances.
She is unexposed over staying trips and can find further improvement
What I also find interesting is that Noel Williams hadn’t tried Moviddy over a staying trip over fences until last year’s renewal of this race. Immediately after it, and in her next six races, they dropped her back down to intermediate trips. Even though she looked like she wanted to go back up to 3m, they continued to persevere with the shorter trips. I just wonder whether this was an intentional tactic to keep the improvement that she would find for the longer trip up their sleeves. Last time out, she went back up to a staying trip at Wincanton, where she won in great style.
Last year, the lowest rated horse in this race was rated 110. I just wonder if they feared she would fail to get into this final off a mark of 106,. However, with the Wincanton win, the handicapper nudged her up to 110, so she stood a much greater chance of getting in. As it happens, we don’t have a full field here today, and one as lowly rated as 96 managed to get in from 1lb out of the handicap. However, with Coco Mademoiselle the top weight off 123, and bearing in mind that La Renommee went off at 127 last year, which would have forced the weights/ratings up. As it turns out, they could have come here off a rating of 106 and had four pounds more in hand, but hindsight is a wonderful thing.
So, despite having 11 runs over fences in her career to date, Moviddy has only run over staying trips twice. Therefore, she is relatively unexposed, when compared to many here, and there could be plenty of untapped potential to come. It’s also interesting that she won off 106 last time, and was given a RPR of 119 for that performance, yet the handicapper only nudged her up 4lb to 110. That could seriously underestimate her ability, and she could have a good deal more up her sleeve here. It’s also worth noting that 18 months ago she ran in a Listed Hurdle race, and produced a RPR of 125 that day.
One of the favourites in this race today is Sainte Doctor. She must certainly be respected, as she comes here after three back-to-back wins. However, the downside for her is that the handicapper gets to have his say. Her wins came off marks of 110, 113 and 117 and the handicapper has now slapped her up to 123, 13lb higher than the first of those wins.
That first win was actually the one where she beat Moviddy by two lengths. However, when you consider the margin of victory, Sainte Doctor has gone up 13lb and Moviddy has only gone up 4lb, so surely you would fancy Moviddy’s chances off 9lb better terms. Now, it is worth noting that Sainte Doctor is unexposed at staying trips, having never ran beyond 2m 6.5f. While she could improve for it, she also needs to prove she stays the trip, especially carrying 12st off a career high mark.
When you consider that Moviddy has bumped into both La Renommee and Sainte Doctor when both were clearly well ahead of the handicapper, you’d have to say she has been unlucky not to win more than she has. Yet another example of that is her defeat to Telepathique at Fakenham in January. Telepathique was rated 128 that day and Moviddy couldn’t lay a glove on her. However, Telepathique went and won a Listed race on her next start and is now rated 148; 20lb higher than when beating Moviddy. With the benefit of hindsight once again, Moviddy stood little chance that day.
Can Moviddy get redemption for last year’s defeat?
With everything considered, I think Moviddy has an outstanding chance in this series final, and it has likely been a long term plan since her fourth in the race last year. I think she has been campaigning with this race in mind. So, between that and bumping into some very talented rivals who have stopped her from winning more races, she comes here off a mark that could completely underestimate her ability level.
As mentioned, I would give Flintara a chance here too, and at a big price (18/1 at the time of writing). However, considering that Moviddy is younger, less exposed and better off at the weights from last year, I think she is the one to be with today.
At a price of 15/2, with four places available, I think Moviddy is a superb each way bet. Judged on the above, you could easily make a case for having a larger bet on her. However, I’m just conscious of two factors. Firstly, she can race keenly and if she does do that, she could ruin her chance. Secondly, she does like to lead, as we saw last time out when she made all, and there are plenty of other pace angles in today’s race. If Jonathan Burke can keep a lid on her, I think she has a massive chance. If it was me, I’d be looking to lead if it's an option, but if others want to go off at a silly pace, let them and just drop in behind.
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Six winners for the RacingGav Discord last week!
I generally post four articles each week here at betting.co.uk, which are predominantly one betting tip per day. However, the majority of my betting tips are exclusive to the members of my Discord server.
Last week was huge for the Discord with six winners tipped at 6/1, 2/1, 13/2, 7/4, 4/1 and 5/1, as well as three places at 20/1, 6/1 and 6/1. All of this resulted in a double-figure profit in points, and a return on investment of an incredible 49.42%. It is also worth noting that I didn’t even put up any tips on Wednesday and Thursday last week, as I don’t force bets out for the sake of it. So those six winners came from just five betting days.
If you would like to find out more about last week’s success, head over to my X account - @RacingGav. If you want to jump right in, I have a
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