Racing fans! We head to York for the Ebor festival and on day 1, I have three betting tips for you to take a look at. My NAP for Wednesday runs in the big race of the day, the Juddmonte, where we’re all set for an epic clash between Paddington, who goes in search of his fifth consecutive Group 1 victory and Mostahdaf, who represents his main danger running for the Shadwell operation. Don’t miss it!
We’re a little bit slim on Jumps action this week, so I’ll continue bringing you my picks from the York Ebor meeting in the meantime. Looking ahead a bit, my Countdown to Cheltenham series will be back early next month, as we see the start of some proper Jumps action, so be sure to stick around.
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For Day 1 of the York Ebor Festival I’ve found three nice selections for you. My NAP runs in the main raceof the day, the Group 1 Juddmonte International Stakes, where Paddington heads the betting for Ballydoyle. He comes into this race having won four Group 1s on the bounce, but it has been a long and busy season for the colt, so I’m heading in a different direction.
York is a very tough track to win at, but one horse that has done particularly well here is Copper Knight, who I have followed for years now. However, as a front runner, he needs everything to go right for him. His usual ploy is to set the pace, take a breather with a couple of furlongs to go, and then use his reserve tank to try and hold on, which has been uncannily effective for him at York in the past. He won this in 2021 and has recently come back to some decent form again, so I will expect a bold bid from him once again.
However I’m very keen indeed on fancy his stablemate, Manila Scouse, who is on a real upward curve and is seemingly very well Handicapped here. He comes into this off the back of two wins on softer ground, but was only just touched off in the Dash here in July on firm ground. Course form is always very handy at York and Manila Scouse at 9/1 is just too good to miss out on as an each way touch.
Paddington heads a small, but very classy, field for the Juddmonte. He has been tremendous to watch this season, having started his career in a moderate Handicap and progressing from there to win four Group 1s. He’ll be hoping to make it five in a row here and on paper he has an obvious chance, but I have a nagging doubt that his big campaign this season is about to catch up with him.
Paddington is undeniably going to be very hard to beat nonetheless, but I’m going to take my chances on Mostahdaf instead. He comes here fresh, fully wound up and seemingly thriving in himself. He was seriously impressive in the Prince of Wales, when winning first time out after a break and has been given another few months to recover from that since. He is certain to turn up here in tip-top condition and I think he could be the one to end Paddington’s winning streak.
Grappa Nonino comes into this race seriously well-Handicapped and the step back up to two miles looks like the right move. He used to be a bit of a tricky type but he seems much more professional now, as witnessed when he won at the Curragh last time out. Things didn’t necessarily go his way that day, but he stuck to the task and did his best work late on.
He does already have a win over the two mile trip, back in May at Killarney, where he was also seen at his best late on. The featherweight he carries at York is going to be vital and he’s certain to go off shorter than the 7/1 currently on offer, which makes Grappa Nonino a great each way bet.
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