It’s a very hot card for the final day of the York Ebor meeting and it’s sure to match up to what has already been a fantastic week of Flat action. For Saturday, I’ve put together four betting tips for you. My NAP selection comes in the Ebor Handicap, but I’m almost as strong on the other three.
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As we move on to the final day of the York Ebor Festival, we have got some superb action to look at. The highlight of Day 4 is undoubtedly the 24-runner Sky Bet Ebor Handicap, where Sweet William is all the rage. That said, the rest of Saturday’s card is pretty epic too.
We start off in the Group 3 Strensall Stakes and there are some rather smart types in this field. El Drama is the one that poses as the main danger here, but I would fancy his chances more on a softer surface. The fact that the ground is going to be on the firm side gives the edge to Nostrum in my opinion. This Kingman colt was seriously impressive when he won at Newmarket on his penultimate start and he gets weight from the older horses this time too.
Although he was beaten in a Group 3 last time out, it was only by a length on soft ground and it was still a pretty decent effort considering that the conditions seemingly took their toll on the turn of foot he showed at Newmarket. Ultimately, I think the good to firm going predicted for York on Saturday will bring the best out in Nostrum and he will be very hard to beat.
The City Of York is a race I’m particularly looking forward to watching this weekend. Brian Meehan runs Isaac Shelby, a nice colt who managed to get within a neck of Kinross last time out. He is highly likely to go well again against the older horses here, if he can reproduce his latest effort on the faster surface. Sacred is another really nice type, who was sixth in this race last year. He has definitely shown improvement in the interim and if he handles the track, he will pose a real threat to those at the top of the market.
However, my choice is Kinross, who won this race last year and definitely likes this track. He is a largely consistent performer; he carries less weight than his main rivals here and he has Frankie Dettori on board. I think he’s here to make it two years on the trot and in my opinion, it will take some performance to stop him from winning here.
The Ebor Handicap is the highlight race on Saturday at York and the 24-runner field looks very competitive indeed. Willie Mullins runs two in the race, Absurde and Jackfinbar, who both have decent chances, but I’m finding it really difficult to get away from the favourite, Sweet William. He looks incredibly well-Handicapped here and he has improved a ton in his last two starts.
He won the Goodwood Coral Handicap on heavy ground and even though that wasn’t to his liking and he idled a bit, he never looked in too much danger. He was much stronger at the finish on his penultimate start at Newbury on better ground and should be able to finish in a similar fashion this time. I definitely think the 7/2 on offer represents enough value to get involved off his current lenient mark.
My final betting tip for the Ebor Festival comes in the Constantine Handicap, where I initially narrowed it down to four selections. Orazio for Charlie Hills was disappointing last time out, but there is every chance that he could bounce back to form here on the faster surface, which he handles very well indeed. He was only two lengths back off Saint Lawrence at Royal Ascot and that performance puts him right in the mix. Mr Wagyu was only half a length behind Orazio that day so he has to be in the mix as well.
The Big Board is the main danger for me at a big price of 16/1. I think he will relish a track like York with his turn of foot and this could be his chance to get his head in front. However, the one I’m putting up is Summerghand, running for David O’Meara, who is in seriously good form coming into this race and I think that makes him the likeliest winner. He flew home at this meeting 12 months ago and he has come right back to form in his last two outings. He has good a chance as any of winning the Constantine and at 15/2 he is my best betting tip for the race.
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