Expert Punter
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This week the DP World Tour heads to the Club De Campo for the Open De Espana. Here we have a field full of star-studded names, starting with three-time winner of the event, Jon Rahm. We also have the likes of Tyrell Hatton, Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry and last year's winner, Matthieu Pavon lining up. Jon Rahm is the standout player here having won the event three times. He will become the most decorated player in this event if he can win it for the fourth time, and would put him ahead of his golfing hero Seve Ballesteros.
But before we go onto this week’s betting tips, let's take a quick look back at the BMW Championship at Wentworth, where Billy Horschell came out victorious after beating Rory McIlroy in a playoff. Laurie Canter was one of my selections, but unfortunately he withdrew before the start of the tournament. However, Matteo Manassero managed to finish in the places for us to make it a profitable week. That doesn’t tell the full story though, as Matteo had a three shot lead going into the final round, but wasn't able to capitalise on it ultimately. That’s the way things can go sometimes, so we take the profit and move on.
This week, I’ll be placing my main bets with Ladbrokes, thanks to their great prices. There’s also a great free bet deal up for grabs if you don’t already have an account. Bet £5, and you’ll get £20 in free bets. There are eight places on offer for the Open De Espana, so it’s definitely worth thinking about.
The Club De Campo hosts the Open De Espana for the fifth consecutive season and this is almost certain to be a really low scoring event. The course is a 7154 yard Par 71 and plays very short for the most part. We have a lot of undulating fairways, but they all slope towards the greens which makes approach important around here, especially as the greens are surrounded by bunkers ready to catch out unwary players.
The greens are undulating too, but the fact that players will often be hitting short clubs into these greens essentially makes it a round of target golf. There are a fair amount of trees around this course, so accuracy off the tee is important. But ultimately, you want a player who is good with their short irons, and one who can putt reliably too. In recent years we have seen plenty of 61s and 62s scored and it would be no surprise if the course record of 60 was matched, or beaten this week.
My first pick is Englishman Sam Bairstow, who seems ready to put on a big performance here in Spain. He is very good with his short irons, which is something I like around this course, and even though Sam can be a bit wayward off the tee at times, he should get away with a few poor ones thanks to his shape of shot. He actually missed three cuts in a row ahead of last week’s BMW PGA Championship, but put them well behind him by finishing 10 under, which gave him a top 30 finish.
Sam has had multiple top 10s finishes this year already, and is sure to break his DPWT maiden soon enough. This week you need a player who can make plenty of birdies and he actually sits in fourth place when it comes to most birdies on Tour.
At a course where the score is likely to be very low, Sam Bairstow fits the requirements very nicely, and his 90/1 price tag is ridiculously high. I think it could be a huge week in Spain for this underrated player.
Backing home players in Tour events isn’t something I do very often, but four of the last five winners of the Open De Espana have originated from Spain. The home player I am taking into consideration this week is Jorge Campillo, who won for us last year when he picked up a victory in the Magical Kenya Open. That course is not too dissimilar to the one here at Club De Campo - you need to be a good iron player and to putt well - which are two of Jorge’s strengths.
He has some very good form when playing in Spain, and the fact this course sets up so well for him makes him of major interest here. He has made a smooth transition from the DP World Tour to the PGA Tour, and on his best form, he is hugely overpriced here. Jorge Campillo hits a lovely shot shape with his irons, he hits very consistent shots with his shorter clubs, and he is one of the best putters in this field. I think it could pay to side with Jorge Campillo this week as a player going entirely under the radar.
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