Key Points
- Today’s betting tip has received plenty of help from the handicapper
- He showed plenty of promise on his penultimate start and had excuses last time
- This horse enjoys soft ground and the rain here means he has conditions to suit
Following on from my results update and an antepost selection, we now have the first daily betting tip for September. After fantastic success over the past six months, clocking up
+49.532pts, I’m looking to continue on in the same way!
If this is your first time reading my articles, I’m the resident horse racing tipster here, and I typically post four times a week. The majority of these articles will be daily betting tips like this one, but I also produce other types of content too, including antepost tips, guides and big race trends.
If antepost betting tips are your cup of tea, I have some already live and ready for you. I have tackled the St Leger, Irish Champion Stakes, Cesarewitch Handicap and the
King George VI Chase
this year. I have then also looked ahead to the Cheltenham Festival and Aintree Grand National next year as well.
Betting advice
- 13:45 Ascot -
Revich
@ 9/1 (3 places) -
0.5pt each way
Betfred offers the best all round value!
At the time of writing, many bookmakers are offering the same best price of 9/1 for Revich. So, we need another factor to determine where we should back Revich today. And based on the best new customer offer, Betfred wins hands down. If you
bet £10, they’ll give you £50 of free bets. A fantastic boost as we head into the weekend.
Revich can break his long losing run today!
Revich has not recorded a win since 23 September 2023, but I feel he can stop that losing run before it reaches two years. There are many different factors that make me believe he can win here today, and I’ll go through them all in this article .
Revich has received plenty of help from the handicapper and looks ready to strike
At his peak, Revich was rated 98, had won off marks as high as 95, and produced a career best RPR of 104. He was a serious horse in his day.
Now I am under no illusions that since that peak, he has regressed significantly. However, it’s not necessarily whether a horse is progressing or regressing that matters. The key to finding winners in Handicap races is to compare their ability against their handicap mark, and I think Revich is on a mark that he can be competitive from.
Whilst he has regressed, the handicapper is giving him plenty of help to remain competitive, and his mark has fallen 21lb from a peak of 98 to just 77. Based on the form I saw late last year, and also on his penultimate start, I’m confident he can run a huge race off this mark.
Revich showed plenty of promise on his penultimate start and had excuses last time
Speaking of his penultimate run, it came at Ripon in July. He tackled the 1m trip there, off a mark of 79, and he ran a cracker. He only managed third place, but was just a length behind the winner at the line.
Now, it is well worth noting that he was hampered towards the finish, and the winning jockey received a two-day ban for careless riding. Without that infringement, I believe Revich would have finished second, and may well have given the winner a bit more to think about.
The RPR of 83 he produced that day suggests that he was ahead of his mark at that point, and his mark has fallen a further 2lb since then. He could only finish sixth at Chester last time out, but he didn’t get a clean run. It was also a half furlong shorter, and the going was much faster. It’s always difficult to make up ground from behind at Chester, but especially so on quick ground. He kept on well inside the final furlong, but was unable to reach the leaders. Personally, I’d forgive that run and judge him on his penultimate run instead.
Revich enjoys soft ground and the rain here means he has conditions to suit
Revich went close on his penultimate start at Ripon, and he tackles the same 1m trip on Soft going today. His last two runs with these conditions have seen him produce RPRs of 83 and 86, so a repeat of those efforts, off a reduced mark of 77, would see him run a huge race here.
As well as having the distance and the ground to suit, I think he’s drawn in the right place too. Statistically speaking, races run at Ascot over 1m, with 8 to 12 runners, and Soft ground conditions favour those drawn high. Therefore, I’m happy with his draw in Stall 10 on this straight track, which will most likely be run against the stand side rail. That’s exactly what happened last year anyway, when the race was run under similar conditions.
Can Revich get back to winning ways?
As always, it’s a case of weighing up the pros, the cons, and the odds on offer. Based on the way those all stack up, it makes sense to me to back Revich today. We know he has a lot of class from his old days, he has been given plenty of help from the handicapper, he showed on his penultimate start that he still retains some ability, and he’s drawn well with conditions to suit.
However, Revich is regressing and it’s an amateur jockey Handicap, so must accept an element of risk in the latter department. As you can see, I've found far more pros than cons. There’s no denying that Revich is regressing, but that’s largely counteracted by his rapidly falling handicap mark. In terms of the jockey situation, the same applies to every horse in this race. I think he’ll appreciate a strong gallop to aim at, and more often than not, they go off too fast in Amateur races, which would play into his hands.
Ultimately, it comes down to the odds. If he was a 4/1 shot, I would not back him to win only, but at a price of 9/1, I feel he is well worth an each way bet. That said, he is a regressive type, so we need him to build on his penultimate start. Also, as this race is a Handicap for amateur jockeys, I’m only prepared to play half stakes.
Don’t miss out on a bookie bonus!
Below are some of the best free bet offers currently available from some of the top UK bookmakers, so make sure that you check them out!
1.
Bet £10 Get £40
Requirements (WR): 4x Bonus + 10x Deposit, Min. Deposit: 10
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing.
18+. T&Cs Apply.
GambleAware.org.
2.
100% Up to £50 + 50 Bonus Spins
Requirements (WR): 40x Bonus, Min. Deposit: £10
18+ | 1st Deposit Only | Min Deposit £10 | Max Bet £1 | Max Bonus £50 | Max Cashout X3 The Bonus | Max Cashout from Bonus Spin Winning £50 | X10 Wagering on Bonus and Bonus Spin Winnings | 2-days Bonus Expiry | 2-days Bonus Spins Expiry | Bonus and Spins Winnings are playable on any Slot and Scratch game, except for restricted-bonus games | BeGambleAware.org - T&Cs apply.
3.
Up To £10 Back As A Free Bet
Requirements (WR): 2x Deposit, Min. Deposit: £10
T&Cs apply. New players who place a £10 bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or bigger will receive £20 in Free Bets. Qualifying deposit (Visa/Mastercard only) of £10 required. £20 in Free Bets will be credited as 4 x £5 Free Bets. The qualifying bet must settle within seven days.
4.
Bet £10 and get 50 free spins on Big Bass Splash
Min. Deposit: £10
18+ Play responsibly www.gambleaware.org| Bonus T&Cs apply | User agreement | £10 min deposit | £10 in slot bets grant 50 spins on Big Bass Splash | £5 total spin value | £0.10 per spin | 7-day expiry | Selected payment methods only
5.
Bet £10 and get £20 in free bets
New customers only. Place £10 first bet in min odds 1/2 to get £20 Free Bet. Stake not returned. Valid 7 days, min odds 1/2. Settled bets only. One sportsbook welcome offer per customer. Full T&Cs apply.
Do you want more RacingGav content? Then join my Discord!
While I typically produce four articles each week for Betting.co.uk with free access to my betting tips, the majority of my selections are exclusively for my Discord members.
We enjoyed amazing results in August, recording an overall profit of
+48.374pts. That followed on nicely from July, which ended with a profit of
+29.239pts!
September has started in great style with a
9/1
winner tipped to the Discord members on Wednesday, seeing us in profit for the month at this early stage.
The Discord has also seen an overall profit since I launched it in January 2024, and it has been extremely profitable over the past few months in particular. Since 1st April 2025, the Discord is
+93.013pts!
You can join my Discord server right away for
a seven day free trial
and receive immediate access to all of my racing content, but if you have any queries before signing up, my DMs are open over on X @RacingGav.
The latest sports news with betting.co.uk
The latest sports news with betting.co.uk
by Racing Gav
19 hours ago
The latest sports news with betting.co.uk
The latest sports news with betting.co.uk
