
We move on to day 2 of the Glorious Goodwood meeting and I’m going to dissect the three Group races and bring you a selection for each. We start off with the Oak Tree Stakes, a Group 3 contest for the fillies, which is also where you’ll find my NAP bet of the day. I think the form that my filly brings to this race is far superior to the rest of the lineup and her price is pretty solid too, all things considered.
Next up we have the fiercely-competitive Molecomb Stakes, a 16-runner race with a field full of potential improvers. The one I fancy already has some strong form in Group 2 company, so I expect her to get very competitive as she drops back to a Group 3 contest. The feature race on Day 2 is the Group 1 Sussex Stakes, where we get to see Rosallion try and continue his rise in the ranks. A victory here would all but confirm that he is the best miler among this season’s three-year-olds. However, he does have the reopposing Henry Longfellow and Notable Speech to contend with. This is all set to be a fascinating race, so make sure that you’re tuned in for it.
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We kick off Day 2 with the Oak Tree Stakes, where I have a very strong fancy to start us off. Breege is a nice sort, but she concedes weight all round, so she won’t have an easy task in this field. The main danger for my selection is the Owen Burrows-trained Raqiya, who looked very progressive before disappointing last time out at York. She was slowly away and never travelled well that day, but did start to make headway late on and only went down by a few lengths by the finish. She is better than that performance suggests though, and I would class her as a solid each way bet.
But the one I’ll be backing is Jabaara, who is a very smart sort to go forward with and has some extremely strong form in the book already. She started off her campaign finishing third at Chelmsford, but took a step forward to win two Listed races following that effort, where she showed plenty of speed. Following those wins, she stepped into Group 1 company in the Falmouth Stakes, where she finished second to the super filly Porta Fortuna, showing a wicked turn of foot to close the gap late on. That form is by far the best on offer in this field and puts Jabaara right in the frame for this Group 3. I think she can turn into a very smart sort and I’d be surprised if she didn’t get heavily involved here.
Moving on to the Molecomb Stakes, where once again, we have another strong lineup of improvers. One that interests me at a double figure price is Soldier's Heart, who runs for Simon Crisford. He is quite a straightforward colt, who won over course and distance last month and I can see him running well again for an in-form yard.
Nevertheless, I’m siding with Ed Walker’s
Celandine, who has improved nicely with each run and has already reached an official rating of 101. He has only raced over six furlongs in his four starts to date and even though his Newmarket performance was a slight let down,
he went on to finish a close third in a Group 2 at Chantilly last time out
and only weakened in the closing stages. The drop back to five furlongs seems to really suit his running style and provided he has no traffic problems in this deep field, he is sure to be in the mix.
The feature race on Day 2 is the Group 1 Sussex Stakes and despite there only being six runners we have some real class acts in the lineup. Notable Speech won the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and was unbeaten at that point, but he was well down the field in the St James Palace Stakes next time out and has a few questions to answer. Prior to winning the Guineas, his form all came on the all-weather, and it’s quite possible that the 2000 Guineas just fell into his lap. I’d certainly be cautious about his chances. Meanwhile, Henry Longfellow probably poses the main danger here having finished just a neck behind the favourite that day and he could easily have come on again.
Unusually for me, I’m siding with the superb miler, and current favourite, Rosallion. He finished runner up in the English 2000 Guineas, then won the Irish version next time out, before improving again to win the St James Palace Stakes at Ascot. He had Henry Longfellow just a neck behind that day, but that one only managed to close the gap in the final furlong, so I think Rosallion is much better than the winning distance suggests, especially as Ascot has a very stiff finish. He is the proven class act in the field here and trainer Richard Hannon has even suggested he could be the best miler he has ever had on his yard. This race looks set to be a cracker.
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