Key Points
- Let’s have a bit of Saturday fun with a Lucky 15 across the ITV Racing action!
- You can watch all four Lucky 15 races live on ITV
- Four value picks at Newmarket and York who look ideal types
I appreciate the many casual racing fans who tune into my articles, and even more so on a Saturday. While my usual focus is standalone betting tips with a view to making a profit in the long term, I appreciate that it doesn't get the blood pumping for my more casual followers. So, in addition to
my core tip over at Chepstow, I have put together an each way Lucky 15 for you across the ITV Racing action.
New to my content here? I’m Gavin, more commonly known as RacingGav on X. I’m the resident horse racing tipster here at Betting.co.uk and I typically produce four to five articles per week. On the tipping front, I post a mixture of daily betting tips and antepost selections. As already mentioned, these are typically single bets, but I’ve introduced a Lucky 15 each Saturday to add some spice! I also produce other types of content such as big race trends and educational pieces - there is something for everyone!
If you are a more casual punter with a passion for horse racing, I’d recommend taking a look at the educational pieces I have already published here. These cover topics such as the UK Handicap System,
National Hunt Racing, and Horses For Courses (the impact different tracks have on horses). All of these can help you take that step up from being a casual follower to becoming more serious about the game.
Betting advice - An Each Way Lucky 15
- 14:05 York - Andaleep @ 33/1 (4 places)
- 15:00 Newmarket - Zavateri @ 7/2 (3 places)
- 15:15 York - Commanche Falls @ 16/1 (5 places)
- 15:40 Newmarket - Divine Comedy @ 18/1 (5 places)
William Hill are offering the best odds on the Lucky 15 selections!
At the time of writing, the best odds on offer are available at William Hill! So if you want the biggest prices, that's the place to be. If you’d rather play safer, you can shop around for extra places on some of the races elsewhere! There’s also a fantastic new customer offer up for grabs. If you
bet £10, they’ll give you £40 of free bets. Unless you already have a William Hill account, I recommend you take advantage.
These four horses look ideal for an each way Lucky 15!
With an each way Lucky 15, you can play it one or two ways. One option is horses that may be shorter in the market but that you feel have an exceptionally strong chance of finishing in the frame. The second option is picking horses at bigger prices that have a chance of making the frame, and if they do, it can be very rewarding. One of today’s selections falls in the former category, while the other three fall into the latter! In the following sections, I will break down my reasoning for each selection, so make sure you keep reading on!
Andaleep @ 33/1 - He always gives his all and he’ll loves this track, trip and ground
The opening leg of our Lucky 15 runs at York in the 1m 2.5f Handicap. I’m a huge fan of Erzindjan who heads the market and I feel he was unlucky not to win the Cambridgeshire for us at a huge price of 28/1 last time out. However, whilst he has a huge chance of getting redemption here, his price of 5/2 (or shorter) reflects that, so he’s not of interest from a betting perspective today!
I’d much rather take a punt on Andaleep at the other end of the market. He’s near enough on a career high mark of 95 and would need a career best to win. If you draw a line through his latest run, he’s been in fantastic form and I’m very hopeful he can bounce back to his best here. He is a C&D winner, so we know he can act here, and his best form has come on Good ground, which he gets here as well. The biggest asset he has is his attitude. He always gives 100% and that takes you a long way in this game, when many are not so genuine! He won’t be beaten for a lack of effort and hopefully he can run into the places for us at a huge price.
Zavateri @ 7/2 - I’d argue he’s the one to beat and there are reasons he’s not at the top of the market
We switch over to racing HQ (Newmarket) for the second leg of our Lucky 15, where we have a selection in the Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1). For me, this looks to be a three horse race and Zavateri is one of the three contenders. While his price is on the skinny side, I’d be deeply shocked if he’s out of the first three here. He comes here top rated, off the back of a Group 1 win in the National Stakes at the Curragh, where he beat Gstaad, one of his main rivals here.
I personally don’t see any reason why Zavateri shouldn’t be ahead of Gstaad in the market, and I’d suggest the reason he’s not is because Gstaad is trained by Aiden O’Brien and owned by Coolmore. In a similar fashion, Distant Storm is third best on ratings, yet tops the market. Again, I wonder how much of this is due to the fact he’s representing Godolphin. In the latter’s defence, he’s less exposed and won impressively over C&D last time out, so he could progress into a real contender here. Ultimately, I believe Zavateri isn’t favourite here because he’s not owned and trained by big operations like the other two. That shallowness translates to value in my eyes and I’m more than happy to take it!
Commanche Falls @ 16/1 - I don’t understand why he’s such a big price compared to his stablemate
For the penultimate leg of my Lucky 15, we return to York for the Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap. This £100,000 Handicap has attracted a 22-strong field and should be an absolute cracker! What I find particularly interesting is that Michael Dods’ two runners sit at completely opposite ends of the market. Northern Ticker is priced at 5/1 or shorter, yet Commanche Falls is priced as big as 16/1. For obvious reasons it’s the latter that interests me.
Now I do appreciate that Northern Ticker is only three, whereas Commanche Falls is now eight. Therefore, Northern Ticker could well have his best days ahead of him, whereas Commanche Falls likely has his best days behind him. That said, the pair finished 1-2 in the Constantine Handicap at the Ebor Festival here in August, with just a head separating them. If anything Commanche Falls was finishing the stronger of the pair and he was giving Northern Ticker 2lb that day. Now the tables have turned, and Northern Ticker gives Commanche Falls 4lb, so there is a 6lb swing in the weights. Let me repeat that - a 6lb swing at the weights for a head defeat, and he’s triple the price - make it make sense!
Divine Comedy @ 18/1 - After two strong runs off this mark, I’m hoping for third time lucky here!
Our final Lucky 15 runner comes in the big one, the Cesarewitch Handicap back at HQ. Interestingly, it won’t be as big as it often is. A maximum field of 32 is permitted, yet only 20 line up here, which may well be due to the fast ground conditions. I’m sure with it being October now, many were hoping for some rain to fall ahead of this race, and may have swerved it because none has fallen.
The horse that interests me here is Divine Comedy for Harry Eustace. Back at Royal Ascot in June, I tipped this horse for the Ascot Stakes over 2m 4f and I felt he was very unlucky to only finish fifth at a huge price, mainly because he was repeatedly denied a clear run. That day he proved he stays very well, and can handle quicker conditions. After a break, he then went to Glorious Goodwood with Heavy ground conditions, but ran another cracker to finish second, beaten by just one length. I think both of those performances deserve enormous credit, yet the handicapper left him on an unchanged mark of 99 after both races. Hopefully it’ll be a case of third time lucky for him here, and he looks fantastic each way value to me.
A few final words about today’s Lucky 15
With such tasty prices, the potential returns for this bet are enormous if all four horses were to win. That is a huge ask but you have to be in it to win it as they say. Truthfully, I’d be more than happy if all four of them could hit the places, as that would still bring a very decent return. It wouldn’t even be the end of the world if we only manage two places, as that would still see more than half of our stake returned at worst, and if it was the two biggest prices, we’d actually double our stake.
With the way a Lucky 15 is structured, it’s a case of the more the merrier when it comes to wins and places. I think Zavateri has a real chance of winning and should be hitting the frame assuming he’s running to form. The other three are more speculative, but I could easily see them running into the places at big prices. With the necessary luck in running needed for a big field sprint, I wouldn’t be at all shocked if Commanche Falls caused an upset at a huge price!
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