
With it being a Saturday, I suspect there will be a larger percentage of casual fans tuning into this article. So whilst I usually focus on standalone betting tips, my Lucky 15 is more likely to suit those of you looking for some Saturday excitement! An each way Lucky 15 gives you plenty of excitement, especially if you’re on the right horses! And if you’re opening this looking for my usual Saturday betting tip, don’t worry that’s on its way too!
Of course, this could be your first time reading one of my articles. If so, welcome! I’m Gav, better known as RacingGav on X, and I’m the resident horse racing expert here at Betting.co.uk. As touched upon already, I typically produce articles with daily betting tips, but I also cover other areas such as antepost tipping, big race trends and educational pieces.
If you’re a casual fan now but you’re looking to enhance your knowledge on the fantastic sport that is horse racing and/or betting on it, be sure to check out my other content, which covers topics like the UK Handicap System, Horses For Courses (The Impact Of Track Bias) and National Hunt Racing, the latter being essential reading for the coming months!
At the time of writing, William Hill has the best deal for our Lucky 15. With prices of 15/2, 7/1, 9/2 and 14/1 and collective odds of 5,609/1 for the four fold William Hill stands out from the rest, not to mention the solid place terms on offer, with 4, 4, 3, and 5 places being paid respectively. The value doesn’t end there either! If you sign up and bet £10, you’ll get £40 in free bets. No William Hill account? Then that’s worth changing!
With the structure of a Lucky 15 bet, you want as many horses hitting the frame as possible. Obviously winners are welcome too, but you’ll often find that four places can potentially return more than two places and a winner. That’s because the more horses you have hitting the frame, the more multiples feature in your return. I personally think all four of these horses have a fantastic chance of finishing in the places, so let’s take a closer look at them.
For the Group 1 QIPCO British Champions Sprint Stakes, I’m staying loyal to Big Mojo. He has already been knocking on the door at Group 1 level this season and has suffered a couple of hard luck stories. However, at Haydock last month, he showed his best and won the Group 1 Sprint Cup Stakes, proving he belongs at the top table.
Several of the same rivals reoppose here, and they will be looking to reverse the form, but I’m not so sure they can. Big Mojo is a C&D winner, it looks like the ground will be on the quicker side (which is ideal) and he also gets Tom Marquand back in the saddle today. Unfortunately for Tom he couldn’t ride Big Mojo at Haydock, as William Haggas (for whom he is the retained jockey) had a runner in the same race, but he doesn’t today, which enables Tom to get back on.
As always, the draw will have an impact on the race, but last year’s winner came from a high draw in Stall 17. Let’s hope that side of the track is favoured again in this renewal, as Big Mojo is drawn highest of them all in Stall 20. Nonetheless, at 15/2, I think he looks great value.
In the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, I’m taking on the top two: Field Of Gold and Rosallion. Field Of Gold was found to be lame after an odds-on defeat in the Sussex Stakes at the end of July, and hasn’t been seen since. That is far from an ideal preparation for this race, and more than enough reason to take him on at a short price.
The other one at the top of the market is Rosallion, who is becoming a serial non-winner, with form figures of 32242 for this campaign. While he’s certainly overdue a win, this game can be cruel at times and it must be weighing heavily on Sean Levey’s mind… I’ll take my chances that he’ll find a way to get beaten again! So, in stark contrast, I’m siding with Never So Brave today.
This is a horse who keeps on winning, and is proving very progressive. He just failed to get up at Chester over 7f on his seasonal debut, but then carried 9st 12lb to victory in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at the Royal Meeting. Stepped up to a mile, he landed Group 2 honours in the Summer Mile Stakes here in July. He then topped the lot when landing Group 1 honours back down to 7f in the City Of York Stakes in August. He started this season on a mark of 101 and he is now rated 117, so who knows where his ceiling is. With question marks over the top two, I’m betting that he hasn’t reached his peak, and I’m happy to take 7/1 to find out!
In the Group 1 QIPCO Champion Stakes, we have a fascinating clash between Ombudsman and Delacroix, with Calandagan thrown in for some extra spice! Delacroix landed the first punch, defeating Ombudsman in the Group 1 Coral-Eclipse at Sandown. Ombudsman then landed a blow of his own when defeating Delacroix in the Group 1 Juddmonte International Stakes. One of these horses will take the score to 2-1 here, and I’m siding with Delacroix to do so, especially with the difference between their prices.
Interestingly, Ombudsman’s connections were making excuses about how the race was run when this pair of horses first met. Then, Delacroix’s connections were making excuses about how the race was run after their second clash. The pair were set for another ding dong in the Irish Champion Stakes, but Team Gosden made a dig about how many runners Team Ballydoyle would have in the race, and the latter swerved it. The time for talking is done now, and after all, actions speak louder than words…
Both sides throw a pacemaker in, with Devil’s Advocate for the Godolphin/Gosden yard, and Mount Kilimanjaro for the Ballydoyle/Coolmore team. Therefore, this race should be run at a serious gallop, with no hiding places. For me, Delacroix is all about stamina, but Ombudsman has speed on his side, and it was those attributes that won each of them their respective races. For me, between the two pacemakers and the track, I think it will be stamina and grit that wins this renewal of the Champion Stakes, so again, I’m firmly in the Delacroix camp. The fact he’s over double the price, only furthering my enthusiasm.
For the final leg of the Lucky 15, we switch from Group 1 to Class 2 Handicap company for the Balmoral Handicap, where a field of 20 line up. As is always the case with a big field Handicap, especially one with a big prize pot, you can make a case for many of the runners. However, one in particular catches my eye and that is Arisaig for the Charlie Johnston yard, especially so at a tasty price of 14/1.
She has already run some fantastic races in defeat this season, and really deserves to get her head in front this time around. The last twice in particular, she has run huge races in Group 2 and Listed company, only being denied by three quarters of a length and 1.25 lengths, respectively. She drops down into Handicap company here, and is 2lb well in on the official ratings, as her mark has been raised to 101, but she runs off 99.
In addition, seven of the last 10 winners have come from single number draws, so hopefully Arsaig can continue that trend running from Stall 4. Her stable won this race two years back with The Gatekeeper, and hopefully they can repeat the feat in this renewal. Bearing in mind that Arsaig is a hold up horse in a 20-runner field, she will need luck in-running with the right gaps opening when she wants them. However, the notoriously ice-cold Jamie Spencer takes the ride, and if the gaps open for her, Jamie will do the rest, and she should be bang there at the finish!
For last week’s Lucky 15 we picked up 33/1 and 28/1 places, which saw us return three times our original stake. That was a very ambitious Lucky 15, where we were hoping the big priced runners could nick a place, and two of them did us proud. This week’s Lucky 15 is largely at shorter prices, but with much stronger selections who all have a realistic chance of winning their respective races, and all hitting the frame at the very least.
Of course, there is always the chance that all of the favourites go in on Champions Day and we’re left licking our wounds. However, my job is to try and find value options away from the top of the market for you, and hopefully I have done exactly that. As I said last week, I’d be delighted if they could all place, as it would produce a very healthy return, anything beyond is a bonus!
Below you will see five of the best free bet offers currently available from our recommended bookmakers. You can use most of them to place your Lucky 15 bet too, so be sure to take a look. There’s tons of value to be had from these deals!
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