
In all honesty, it does feel like sacrilege to be tipping at Wolverhampton when it’s QIPCO Champions Day at Ascot, but I must go where I can see value! That said, I have already posted a Lucky 15 for today’s ITV Racing action, which covers four Ascot races. So, if you’re looking for today's Ascot betting tips, be sure to check that out. All four of my selections are running there for good reason!
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At the time of writing, Regal Envoy is generally priced up between 8/1 and 9/1. However, bet365 has gone above and beyond by offering 11/1! Like many other bookmakers, they are also paying a generous four places. The value keeps coming though. If you bet £10, you’ll get £30 in free bets. Make sure you don’t miss out!
Regal Envoy has been in the doldrums recently, with form figures of 50880 since his last win. However, I feel that he can bounce back to winning ways at Wolverhampton today. I’m sure you’ll want to know why I think he can turn things around, so keep reading to find out...
Regal Envoy has already recorded three wins during 2025, with those victories coming in April, May and June. His handicap marks for those wins were 84, 88 and 91. Following his purple patch, his mark went as high as 95, but after struggling to find form in his recent runs, he’s now back down to a mark of 88. This means he is now 3lb below his last winning mark, and on the same mark as his win in May. So, we know he is capable if he puts his best foot forward.
Interestingly, Regal Envoy’s last seven runs were in Class 2 company, and he won his first two races at that level in May and June, as referenced above. However, the resulting increase in his mark, which went up to 95, proved beyond him, and it was from that point on that he lost his way. Today’s race sees him return to Class 3 company for the first time since May, and I believe this drop down in class, together with a more realistic mark of 88, could spark him back to life.
We only have limited evidence to work with here, so I won’t go dying on this hill. However, Regal Envoy has course and distance form, and he seems to come into better form at this time of year.
He has only run three times at Wolverhampton, but he has form figures of 215, so he seems to enjoy it here. That said, those runs were a long time ago (one in 2022 and two in 2023) and all three were low level races, so I wouldn’t take that form too seriously. However, Regal Envoy has only ever raced three times in October, but he did record two victories…so perhaps he simply enjoys this time of year more.
Regal Envoy prefers to race over 5f or 6f with a bend, and he gets the latter here. He also likes to be in front. Now, I find that last point particularly interesting, as he has landed a plum draw in Stall 1, which sets him up perfectly for an attempt to make all. It won’t be entirely straightforward for him though, as Super Saiyan and Atomic Force will likely go forward too. However, Regal Envoy does have the benefit of the inside draw, so they may be forced to go wider. That said, over this 6f trip, if they go off at a silly pace, Luke Morris may well be happy to let them go on and give him a tow into the race.
Speaking of Luke Morris, I do find it quite interesting that he has been booked to ride. Oisin Murphy has been in the saddle for Regal Envoy's last three wins, but he is engaged at Ascot today for QIPCO Champions Day. For that reason, William Knight has brought in Luke Morris to ride. Luke has a solid record for the stable across his 17 rides for them, with four wins (24%) and a further nine (53%) finishing in the first four places. Hopefully Luke can further his record for William Knight here aboard Regal Envoy!
With everything considered, Regal Envoy has an awful lot in his favour today. But he has been in the doldrums and he needs revive his earlier form. Likewise, whilst Luke Morris has a strong record for the stable, I’d simply be lying if I said I wouldn’t rather have Champion Jockey Oisin Murphy in the saddle (no offence to Luke)!
At the end of the day, I think 11/1 underestimates Regal Envoy’s chances, and he is well worth an each way bet. However, there are risks attached. He may return to form here, but he could just as easily continue to lose his way. As a result, it’s just half stakes for me this time.
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