Expert Punter
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I was hoping to bring you a more varied selection of betting tips from multiple courses today, but unfortunately two of my original picks haven’t been declared. That’s not a problem though, as we have a full day of superb racing to look forward to over at Newbury this Saturday. We start with the Novices’ Hurdle, where there are some smart horses with a lot of potential, but one in particular stands out to me. I am expecting this horse to set us up for a profitable day.
The highlight race of the day is the Coral Gold Cup. This field took a bit of working out, but I’ve managed to nail it down to one worthy contender who looks well ahead of the handicapper. He has an excellent record when fresh, and he runs for a yard which is very much in form right now. To cap off a good day at Newbury, I have a NAP selection for the final race on the card. This is a horse that won easily last time out, and he looks to be on a big upward curve.
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Looking at the lineup for this Novices’ Hurdle, I spotted a few with some potential. French Ship has some strong form in the book already. He beat Let It Rain at Newbury earlier this month, and that one has since gone on to boost the form, with an easy win at Wetherby this week. That would suggest that French Ship is pretty handy, and is one of the biggest threats here. Califet En Vol is another. He won by 15 lengths on his Hurdles debut at Kempton, and is clearly another smart one, although this race is a substantial step up in grade for him.
Nonetheless, I think The New Lion is the best bet here. I was mightily impressed with him last time out - he travelled very strongly indeed and never looked in any danger. He beat Belliano that day, a well-respected horse from the Nicholls yard. His jumping was slick, he has stamina, he clearly has speed too, and I can see The New Lion going a long way this season. All of this leaves me in no doubt that he is the best horse in this field.
Next we move on to the highlight race of the day, which is the Coral Gold Cup, and this was a very hard race to try and dissect. The current favourite is Broadway Boy, who has been very popular with the punters all week, but he isn’t my idea of the winner here. I understand that he is potentially well-handicapped, but it’s his front-running tactics that worry me. It would need to be a huge performance for him to win from the front, and although he is unlikely to be too far away, I think he will find a few too good in this field.
Jamie Snowden’s Colonel Harry is an interesting runner. He is a horse that looks an ideal candidate for this race and his latest outing at Carlisle, where he finished behind Marble Sands, should put him spot on for this. However, he is another that needs to be ridden in a very specific way to win. Despite connections finding success in this race with Datsalrightgino last year, I still have reservations.
Beyond that, there are two I like at big prices who could be worth considering. David Pipe’s Remastered is the first, and on his day he might be sufficiently well handicapped to get competitive. There’s also Iron Bridge for the Jonjo O’Neill team. He is a horse with plenty of Chase experience, despite that he is relatively unexposed. With his yard in flying form at present, it would be no surprise to see him outrun his odds here.
However, I just about give the edge to
Victtorino, who runs for Venetia Williams. He is a talented horse that could still be 10lbs ahead of the handicapper, and with Venetia's yard firing on all cylinders, now could be just the right time to catch him. I have no issues with him coming here fresh either.
He has a good record first time out, and he seems to be one of the best-handicapped runners in the lineup. I think he has a big chance here, and I find it hard to see him outside of the frame if he gets a clear run.
The last race on the card at Newbury is a two-mile Handicap Chase. There are some smart horses in this field who could quite easily play a part but I do have a standout selection. If the ground had come up on the faster side, then Issar d’Airy would be at the top of my list. Newbury clearly suits him, as he has won over course and distance on two previous occasions. Petit Tonnerre is another lovely horse, and despite him being hard to win with, he looks very well-handicapped off a mark of 127, which makes him a dangerous contender.
But the one I’m siding with is Imperial Saint, who still looks way ahead of his handicap mark to me. He beat Petit Tonnerre at Aintree in October when receiving 3lbs, and he seems to have improved a ton since then, as he bolted up for a second time at Aintree earlier this month. Despite the 10lb rise for his latest win, this is a horse who is seriously on the up and he will take a lot of beating here. I am a tad cautious, as Petit Tonnerre is receiving a fair amount of weight, but Imperial Saint is a reliable jumper and a strong traveller, so I am hoping he can prove too good for his rivals once again.
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