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Ginger Joe - Betting Tips for Thursday 12 September 2024

Publish Date: 10/09/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • Two Group 2 races, two betting tips for Doncaster
  • I'm taking on the short-priced favourite in the May Hill Stakes
  • My NAP of the day should be favourite for the Park Hill Stakes

Two Group races at Doncaster on Thursday

We are heading to Doncaster on Thursday and I have two EW selections that I am very keen on. The first lines up for the Group 2 May Hill Stakes, where the current favourite is Godolphin’s Desert Flower. Although she has been impressive, her wins have come in much weaker races, so I am going to take her on. My pick for this one looks sure to handle the step up in trip, and comes with a double-figure price tag.

The next race is the Group 2 Park Hill Stakes and I have a NAP selection for this one. Night Sparkle currently heads the betting, but there is a filly in here that is more than capable of beating her. Better still, you can get 11/2 currently, which is a cracking each way price. I will be seriously disappointed if this one isn’t heavily-involved at the finish.

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15:00 - Betfred May Hill Stakes (Group 2) 1m - Anshooda @ 10/1 EW

The first big race on Thursday is the Group 2 May Hill Stakes where there is a fascinating line up of two-year-olds. Charlie Appleby’s Desert Flower is the current favourite. She has won two out of two so far, but both were weaker contests and she would need to find more to beat this field. Ballydoyle’s Ecstatic is also a really nice filly. She improved on her third-place debut to win at Tipperary from the front, and I suspect she will improve further. However, at short prices, I think they are both worth taking on.

Anshooda is my selection for this one. I think she has plenty of scope for improvement with this step up in trip. The fact that she stayed so well to win over seven furlongs on soft ground suggests the mile will be no issue for her, and she had to overcome mid race adversity to get the job done. She was pushed along and short of room, but when the gap eventually came, she found plenty more. She has won two of her three starts to date on different types of going, so she is clearly very versatile too. I expect her to run a big race here and at 10/1 she looks fantastic value to me.

15:35 - Betfred Park Hill Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m 6½f - Mistral Star @ 11/2 EW (NAP)

The Park Hill Stakes is for fillies only and this looks a wide open race on paper. Night Sparkle has been a model of consistency for Andrew Balding, but has struggled to get her head in front recently. That said, the Balding yard is currently in good form, which does leave room for optimism. Oxford Comma has two wins to her credit, but this is a big step up in class for her. Scenic is another who commands a bit of respect too.

But I will be backing Mistral Star for this one. She has been running really well in good races and she will be more than comfortable in this field. She won on her penultimate start at Newmarket, then finished fourth in the Yorkshire Oaks behind Content and Emily Upjohn. Based on that, her form is clearly the strongest on offer here, and she will stay the trip with no issue at all. I don’t see any in this lineup getting past her.

My betting tips for Doncaster on Thursday 👇

  • 15:00 - Anshooda @ 10/1 EW
  • 15:35 - Mistral Star @11/2 EW (NAP)

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