Key Points
- My betting tip for Kempton steps up in trip on his Handicap debut
- My selection wears blinkers for the first time
- Darragh Keenan takes over in the saddle today
My betting tip runs in the finale at Kempton today, which is a 1m 3f Handicap for horses rated 0-60. I think Wyld Bill has been lined up to win on his Handicap debut, and hopefully he can improve as expected.
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Betting advice
- 20:40 Kempton -
Wyld Bill
@ 12/1 (4 places) -
1pt each way
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Wyld Bill will be a different horse on Handicap debut
Denis Quinn looks to have campaigned this horse with a Handicap in mind, and I think his plotting will pay dividends in this race today. There are a few angles that I like about Wyld Bill and I’ll be breaking them down for you.
Wyld Bill steps up in trip on his Handicap debut
Initially this horse was with Michael Bell and he ran twice under his care. Those two runs came over 1m and 1m2f. The debut run was modest enough and on the second run, he looked to go wrong on the turn and was soon pulled up.
He was subsequently switched from Michael Bell to James Owen and ran over hurdles. It was a hot race won by subsequent Triumph Hurdle second and Grade 1 winner - Lulamba and he made no real impression.
He was subsequently sold by The Gredley Family for just 1,000 GNS and could end up being a bargain for new owner - Chris Housego. Chris placed him with Denis Quinn and his two runs to date have been over an inadequate 7f trip.
As a result, he’s been given an opening handicap mark of just 57 and I think he’s better than that. He now steps up 4f in trip to 1m3f and I think we’ll see a different horse now on handicap debut.
My selection wears blinkers for the first time today
As well as stepping him up in trip, Denis Quinn has decided Wyld Bill will wear blinkers for the first time today.
Blinkers can have a positive effect on a horse, but more than anything, it is usually a huge sign that the horse will be trying to win. So I’d say it’s no coincidence that Wyld Bill has been given a low handicap mark, a step up in trip, and wears blinkers for the first time.
Darragh Keenan takes the ride for today’s race
I also find the jockey bookings very interesting for this horse.
Callum Shepherd and Clifford Lee both rode him for Michael Bell. Sam Twiston-Davies took the ride for James Owen. Then when he was switched to Denis Quinn’s yard, Laura Pearson took both rides, where Wyld Bill went off at 50/1 and 200/1, and was well beaten on both occasions.
Along with the low handicap mark and the addition of blinkers, Darragh Keenan replaces Laura Pearson. What makes this particularly interesting is that Darragh Keenan has only ever ridden for the owner once, and that horse won…
This strongly suggests that we will see a different horse on his Handicap debut today.
Can Wyld Bill deliver on handicap debut for his connections?
For me, all of the stars are aligning here for Wyld Bill and he could be seriously underestimated at 12/1.
He has been campaigned over inadequate trips to get him to a low handicap mark, he gets a step up in trip, wears blinkers for the first time, Darragh Keenan takes the ride.
Wyld Bill is drawn in Stall 10, which is a negative. However, as he is going up in trip, I’d expect him to be dropped in anyway. Let’s just say It would be far more of an inconvenience if he was one that wanted to go forward.
Lawn Ranger will want to go on in here, and I doubt Uzincso will be far away either. There are also plenty more in here that like to race prominently, so we should get a good gallop for Wyld Bill to aim at. Hopefully, he’ll be mowing them all down at the business end.
The plan looks clear cut here, and I like what I’m seeing from various angles, so, Wyld Bill is a 1pt each way bet for me at a price of 12/1 with 4 places.
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