
My betting tip for today runs in the 6f Handicap at Chepstow, which is for horses rated 0-55. She ran a blinder on Monday night, beaten by just a length and being denied there could be a blessing for us, as she has no penalty tonight as a result. I think she has a huge chance of getting her first win for Tony Carroll here.
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There are many reasons why I think Gogo Yubari can win tonight’s race, and in the next sections of my article, I’ll go through them all with you.
Two days ago Tony Caroll sent Gogo Yubari to Wolverhampton, and she ran a cracker, finishing fourth, beaten by just one length. While a fourth place doesn’t sound like anything to write home about, the performance can be marked up considerably.
She was drawn wide in Stall 8 and as a result she raced at the back. In a race where the pace held up well, it was hard to come from behind. She also needed to race wide around the home turn to have a crack at them. In addition to all of that, she wasn't helped by another runner edging out and bumping into her.
Considering how much went wrong, I think that is a mighty effort to only be beaten a length and it deserves plenty of credit. Certainly far more credit than her finishing position of fourth suggests.
One thing that’s clear about Gogo Yubari is that she thrives on her racing. She is only a four-year-old, but she has already recorded 34 races under Rules. Also, she has been sent out very quickly on multiple occasions, a strategy that seems to work for some horses.
To give you an example, on 25 January 2024 she ran at Southwell, and finished third. She was then sent to Lingfield the very next day, and she won! Another similar example saw her winning at Lingfield on 22 March 2024. Just seven days later she ran at Chelmsford, finishing third to pick up some place money. The following week, she was back at Lingfield again, and she won again.
While running on Monday, and again tonight would be a concern for most horses, I think Gogo Yubari actually prefers being kept busy! Given how close she was to winning on Monday, and considering everything that went against her, I wonder if the plan was to win there, then race again here under a penalty. If she had won on Monday, she would have needed to carry a 5lb penalty tonight, but as she was fourth, she has avoided that.
Monday’s race was in 0-58 company, and she has never run at such a low level previously. Earlier in her career she ran as high as 0-80 company, but for the first time in her career, she has dropped to a 0-55 Handicap, but I think she has the quality to outclass this opposition, even carrying a big weight.
Gogo Yubari’s first win of her career came off a mark of 55 and since then, she has recorded a further four wins, at marks of 59, 61, 63 and 67. So we already know that when she’s at her best, she is more than capable of winning off a mark of 55. The fact that her latest win came off a mark of 12lb higher, speaks volumes.
Interestingly, whilst all of her wins have come on the All Weather, her best two performances judged on RPR have come on Turf. They both produced an RPR of 75, with the first over 5.5f at Bath on Good ground, and the second over 6f on Good to Soft ground at Goodwood. Bath has a very stiff finish, so 5.5f there would feel like 6f anyway. So I find it very interesting that she steps back up to 6f and switches back to Turf again today.
With all factors considered, I think Gogo Yubari has a great chance in tonight’s race. Tony Carroll is a fantastic trainer and is usually very good at getting wins out of the horses in his care. Gogo Yubari came onto his yard at a mark of 66 and after six runs, she is now rated just 55. Tony is a shrewd operator and I suspect he’s been campaigning her to get her mark down, so it will be interesting to see how things progress with her from here.
I think she’ll enjoy this track, trip, ground, class of race and the quick turnaround, so there is plenty to like. In addition to that, Rhys Clutterbuck has been aboard for all five of her wins and he’s in the saddle again tomorrow.
Tony has her mark right down now and it’s time to get her winning. I think that starts today and if it does, she could well be one to keep on your side as she has become very well handicapped! She’s not a horse I’d want to be taking a win only price on but I’m very happy to play each way at 11/2. That said, given she is a low level handicapper, she is zero from eight for Tony so far, and there is always a risk with such a quick turnaround, I’m limiting this one to half stakes.
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