Key Points
- My betting tip today is very well handicapped
- He’s already had a run to blow the cobwebs away and should be ready
- The champion jockey Sean Bowen is back in the saddle
Today’s betting tip comes from Warwick and he runs in the 2m Handicap Hurdle. His yard has always thought an awful lot of this horse, and hopefully he can produce another win for them today!
If you are new to my content, I post four articles per week here. They are usually betting tips, but you’ll also see big race trends and antepost tips occasionally. If you look back through my previous articles, you’ll find antepost picks for the 2026 Cheltenham Festival and the 2026 Grand National. While you still have plenty of time to back these horses, I recommend that you get on at the early prices for the best value. Meanwhile, make sure to tune back in tomorrow and Friday, as I'll have more betting tips for you on both days.
Betting advice
- 16:15 Warwick -
Ukantango
@ 10/3 -
1pt Win
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Ukantango can get his connections dancing with a win!
Ukantango runs for the Olly Murphy stable who are in great form with eight winners from 25 runners (32%) in the last 14 days. Olly also has a whopping 68% of his horses running to form in the same period. Hopefully Ukantango can continue the trend and produce another win for his yard today.
Ukantango has become very well handicapped!
Ukantango won his Bumper at Stratford before going two from two over Hurdles with Novice Hurdle wins at both Aintree and Wetherby. He made such an impression that Olly Murphy threw him into the Supreme Trial at Cheltenham’s November meeting back in 2022. He finished a very respectable second that day, splitting Fennor Cross and Springwell Bay, and he also had Iberico Lord in behind him in sixth that day.
Fennor Cross went on to win a valuable Handicap at the Aintree Festival, seeing his rating rise to 137. Springwell Bay went on to be rated 145 over Hurdles and 154 over fences. Iberico Lord went on to win the Betfair Hurdle and peaked at a rating of 144. So it is safe to say that form worked out well!
Ukantango was sent into Grade 1 and Grade 2 company on his next two starts before struggling off a handicap mark of 128. He then switched to fences, and while he ran very well, he wasn’t able to get his head in front. When you consider his strong form in the book, he looks very well handicapped over Hurdles now, off a mark of 113!
He’s had a run to blow the cobwebs away and he should be ready to strike!
Ukantango returned from a 349 day spell on the sidelines at Chepstow last month. Considering the lengthy absence, I thought he ran a mighty race to finish third. The winner, Glory And Fortune, was a talented horse in his day, and clearly retains plenty of his ability. The second placed horse, Helnwein, has since franked the form by finishing second in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock.
I’m sure that Ukantango will improve considerably for that run after such a long absence and the 3lb drop from the handicapper is very welcome as well. He now sits at 16lb below his opening handicap mark over Hurdles, so he could be ready to strike.
Champion Jockey Sean Bowen returns the saddle!
On his reappearance at Chepstow, he was ridden by Lewis Stones. With all due respect to Lewis, that suggests it was just a run to blow away the cobwebs and get Ukantango ready for a future target.
Now I believe he is fit and ready to strike, it’s great to see Champion Jockey Sean Bowen return to the saddle. Sean is a phenomenal talent and his record for this season to date is 20 wins from 54 rides (37%) which speaks for itself. And when you consider that a further 18 of Sean’s rides finished in the first four (70%), those numbers are simply incredible.
Can Ukantango bounce back to winning ways?
With the recent run at Chepstow under his belt, a reduced mark of 113, and with Sean Bowen back in the saddle, I’m confident that Ukantango can return to winning ways here at Warwick. The fact that trainer Olly Murphy is in such hot form only adds to my confidence. He also has his favoured Good ground, so he has no excuses today.
As always, I like to give both sides of the argument. Therefore, it is worth noting that he is 0/8 in Handicap company and he is also winless since October 2022. As a result of those factors, I’m not getting carried away with the stake and I’m just going with a solid 1pt Win.
Whilst he hasn’t won since October 2022, he has finished in second place three times, and in third place twice, so it’s not like he has terrible form figures by any means. I also think that the lack of wins are likely due to Ukantango being campaigned in such tough races earlier in his career, leaving him on too high a mark when he switched to handicap company. However, I think he is far better than a mark of 113 and hopefully tomorrow, he can prove that!
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