Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Betting Tips: Neither team shy when it comes to shots!

Bournemouth’s incredible season just keeps getting better. Andoni Iraola’s charges are taking all before them and will have deservedly enjoyed Christmas after battering Man United 3-0 at Old Trafford.

They find themselves in 5th position, just 3pts behind 4th placed Nottingham Forest. The Cherries are unbeaten in their last 5 games, winning 4 of them.

They’ll host Crystal Palace this Boxing Day and the visitors are languishing at the other end of the table. 16th position and 16 points to their name is trouble at the halfway point of the season.

Their form has picked up a little of late with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5. That loss came in their most recent game against Arsenal where they were beaten 5-1.

Open affair by the seaside

The fans down on the South West coast have been spoilt when it comes to entertainment. Not necessarily in terms of goals, but certainly in the style of play and the number of shots that has produced.

Bournemouth are averaging 17.9 shots in home games which puts them at the top of the pile when it comes to that particular stat. I don’t see that changing when hosting Palace who also don’t mind pulling the trigger. In their away games this season they average 14.8 shots per game.

Expect both teams to go for it

In terms of how both teams approach the game, I think it’s fair to say they’ll both be going for the 3 points. Palace won’t show caution, it doesn’t suit their current crop of players.

Moreover, they will have confidence that their recent away trips have produced good results including a 3-1 win at fierce rivals Brighton. Bournemouth as the home team against a team in 16th position will dominate and go for the jugular.

Palace’s main man well-rested after a knock

Eberechi Oluchi Eze to give him his full title is Palace’s best player. In terms of goals and assists he’s not been able to fully show it this season with a few niggling injuries not helping matters.

He suffered a knock to an existing sore foot in the cup game against Arsenal and that was enough for him to be rested against the same opposition in the last league match.

The dynamic attacker is expected to return to the team in place of Daichi Kamada. He’ll feature in a front three with in-form Ismaila Sarr and the French international Jean-Philippe Mateta. The team that out-shot Arsenal on Saturday will not be taking any backward steps this Boxing Day.

Getting paid after an expensive Christmas

Exactly how to approach this match was pretty clear from the outset for me. I don’t see much value in the 1x2 market with best odds of Bournemouth 10/11, Palace 3/1, and the draw 11/4. If forced I’d probably go for the draw there at the prices, the 11/4 is available at QuinnBet for those interested.

I couldn’t find any particular stand-outs in the player markets either that have served followers of my articles well over recent weeks. Usually, you can find some decent discrepancies when it comes to the player foul, card, or shot markets but not so in any of the players I had in my mind.

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Top tip: Over 28.5 total match shots at 10/11 with BOYLE Sports

Instead, and overwhelmingly the market I was happiest to see offering up value, is Total Match Shots. As I highlighted earlier in the article, these two love a ping. Several players aren’t afraid to shoot from outside the box which is key when placing a bet in this market.

Semenyo, Tavenier, and Kluivert for the home team and Munoz, Sarr, and Eze for the visitors are all a nice combination of confident and optimistic when it comes to shots from range.

The exact total I’ve chosen to play is the over 28.5 shots option at BOYLE Sports at 10/11. I would have made the level/balanced/equal line 30.5 here and would have still favoured the overs.

The Stats to back it up

Put simply the home and away averages would have this over 30 shots. Then take the fact that Bournemouth’s last 4 league games have seen 33, 45, 40, and 33 shots. While Palace last have had 29, 30, 24, and 22 so a couple of unders instances but that’s still 6 out of 8 games.

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Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Best Bet

• Market: Match Total Shots
• Selection: Over 28.5
• Odds: 10/11
• Stake: 2pts
• Bookie: BOYLE Sports

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