Key Points
- Two teams at different ends of table clash
- Toffees to get stuck on South-coast
- 2 tips backing the Cherries to continue to impress
Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth host Sean Dyche’s Everton this weekend and head into the game in 7th place, just 5 points behind the Champions League positions.
The Cherries stretched their unbeaten run in the PL to 8 matches after Dango Ouattara’s 89th-minute equaliser rescued a point in a 2-2 draw away at Fulham last time out. Meanwhile, Everton find themselves in 16th, just 2 places and 2 points above the drop zone after recording just 3 wins all campaign.
The Toffees suffered a 2-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest at Goodison Park last Sunday and hover dangerously close to the dreaded drop. They have only 1 win in 10 in the league and have scored just once in their last 4 fixtures.
Yet another blank in front of goal against Forest was alarmingly the 10th time in 18 matches in which Dyche’s men have failed to score.
Cherries never say die!
One of the many qualities Iraola has instilled into his team is the fact they will give everything until the final whistle. This is underlined by the 10 goals The Cherries have bagged after the 85th minute.
This is the best of all teams in the PL and typifies the desire and spirit of this Bournemouth side who are aiming to achieve European football for the first time in the club’s history.
The Cherries have only failed to score 4 times all season and just once in the previous 13 matches so will fancy extending this record further at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday. Moreover, Iraola’s team have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches.
Toothless Toffees
Despite 7 clean sheets, the joint-3rd-highest in the PL this term, it’s in front of goal where Everton have really struggled this campaign. Dyche’s side have found the net just 15 times in 18 matches, with only bottom-of-the-table Southampton having scored fewer than.
Everton have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 fixtures and have only bagged 6 goals in 9 games on their travels, the joint 2nd-lowest of all sides in the PL.
Bournemouth to Europe while trap door open for Everton
The 30 points amassed by Iraola’s team after 19 matches is the highest points total Bournemouth have ever achieved in the top flight at this stage. So who would bet against them making history and qualifying for Europe at the end of the season?
By contrast, Everton look set for yet another season fighting at the wrong end of the table with a lack of victories and goals blighting their progress all campaign. Dyche’s outfit have taken just 17 points from 54 available so far this term, winning just once away from home and losing 4 of their 9 games on the road.
Cherries to dominate on Saturday
Given the league positions of the two teams, I expect Bournemouth to dominate proceedings at the Vitality against an Everton side who have had the least average amount of possession of all 20 top-flight teams. They’ve only amassed 39.8% across their PL fixtures so far.
I envisage Iraola’s men leading the charge on all fronts, particularly in the attacking areas of the pitch with the high-pressing game the South Coast side have become accustomed to playing.
Everton will not be inviting pressure on understandably and I would expect them to make plenty of goal kicks and long balls up to Calvert-Lewin hoping to feed off 2nd balls.
Which stat to bet on to back Cherries supremacy?
The control of the match I expect Bournemouth to have is the basis of my thinking behind which markets to attack this game.
The Cherries have had the 3rd-highest number of shots in the PL this term and in over half of their 19 fixtures they have had over 12.5 shots at goal. This is definitely an area I feel Bournemouth will have the lion's share of once again.
With an average of 16.5 shots per game and at home an average of 17.9 shots per game, the best-priced odds of 3/4 with
Unibet
on Bournemouth to have over 15.5 shots does look appealing. However, for as bad as Everton have been up top, they do have a stringent defence and have actually conceded the 8th-lowest amount of goals this season.
Coupled with the point Dyche’s men have faced an average of 12.9 shots per game this term, they can make things difficult for opposition teams to create openings.
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Pickford over 3.5 saves at 4/5
Betting into the goalkeeper saves market is appealing, and Jordan Pickford to make over 3.5 saves at 4/5 is an option.
Pickford has certainly been a busy boy between the sticks so far this term and with the obvious attacking threat and chance creation Bournemouth produce, this does look probable. We can have a small wager here with
SkyBet.
Top pick: Over 6.5 home corners at 17/20 with Star Sports
My main tip for the clash at the Vitality is for The Cherries to have over 6.5 corners and that’s best priced with
Star Sports
at 17/20.
Bournemouth have averaged 6.47 corners per game this season and have had the 2nd-highest number of corners with only Spurs having more in the campaign. On home soil in particular, Bournemouth have been the dominant side with the majority of the corners going to Iraola’s men in 6 of the last 8 home games.
In the previous 4 fixtures in front of their own fans, The Cherries have been awarded 29 corners, an average of 7.25 and this is a trend which I see continuing when struggling Everton visit the Vitality on Saturday.
Star Sports sign up bonus:
£25 Free Bet + 25 Free Spins.
Bournemouth vs Everton Best Bets
- Market:
Total Home Corners
- Selection:
Over 6.5
- Odds:
17/20
- Stake:
1pt
- Bookie:
Star Sports
- Market:
Goalkeeper Saves
- Selection:
Jordan Pickford Over 3.5
- Odds:
4/5
- Stake:
0.5pt
- Bookie:
SkyBet
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