Bournemouth v Manchester City Betting Tips: Expect a response from Citizens

Manchester City head to the Vitality Stadium on Saturday on the back of a club-record 32-game unbeaten run stretching back to December of 2023. Pep Guardiola’s side currently sit top of the table, one point ahead of Liverpool and are also top scorers in the PL with 20 goals.

Bournemouth have made a decent enough start to the campaign, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats leaving them in 11th place at the quarter stage of the season. Andoni Iraola’s team come into the game likely in good spirits after picking up a draw away at Aston Villa last time out and have had a clear week to prepare for the fixture.

City travelled to Spurs on Wednesday night in the Carabao Cup where they changed the starting 11 quite substantially and paid for it by going down 2-1. They were second best that night and will look to bounce back. It’s very rare in Pep’s career he doesn’t respond with a win following a loss.

Unstoppable City?

Guardiola’s men have looked irrepressible in the defence of their PL title as they look to make it 6 wins in a row in all competitions and an 8th win from 10 in the PL this term. The Cherries have won their last two fixtures on home soil, including an impressive 2-0 victory against ten-man Arsenal in their last match at the Vitality.

Iraola’s side face the daunting challenge of stopping City from continuing their incredible unbeaten run and whether they know it or not, City have beaten the South Coast side in all previous 14 matches they’ve played in the PL era.

Given City have scored in every single PL match this campaign and Bournemouth have only kept 1 clean sheet all season, it looks an uphill task for Iraola and his men to prevent Pep’s team from keeping this record going.

Can The Cherries keep Pep’s men at bay?

A disciplined 4-2-3-1 formation is how I expect Iraola to set up his side. They have shown this season that with that formation and excellent high pressing, they can limit the chances against the top teams. They will, of course, be playing against a team who can play out of a high press well but don’t often face it.

The Cherries held second top scorers Chelsea at home until conceding an 86th-minute goal to lose the game 1-0. I believe this clash could follow a similar pattern, with ultimately City coming out on top and claiming maximum points but not in a landslide.

City to take the points but no cakewalk expected

I expect City to have too much quality not to overcome a Bournemouth side that has only kept 1 clean sheet all campaign and has failed to score in 4 of their 9 PL fixtures so far.

With the likes of Erling Haaland, Phil Foden, and Jeremy Doku at their disposal, I feel Bournemouth will have to keep an organised shape about them to contain the Sky Blues. I could see Pep lining up with Doku and Savinho on either flank in this one so the pace is there in behind once City escape the high press.

Over 8.5 away corners at 19/10 with Unibet

Given the dominance and control of the game that I see Pep’s side having, I’m considering the Total Away Corners market which delivered a winning bet for us in the last City game against Southampton.

As City have had 8 or more corners in all but two PL games this season, the best odds available at Unibet on the Citizens having over 8.5 corners at 19/10 does look appealing and worth a small wager.

It must be said the two PL games where they have earned less than 8 corners have both been away from home, with 6 away at Newcastle and just 3 away at Chelsea on the opening day. However, I would expect much more possession in attacking areas here than in those games.

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Manchester City and under 4.5 goals at 11/10 with the bet365 BetBuilder

Additionally, sticking to another winning strategy from last weekend, I’m happy to play Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals in the Match result and Over/Under 4.5 market or via BetBuilder with some firms.

With bet365 providing the best price of 11/10 on this paying out, this offers value in my opinion. The game at the Vitality finished 1-0 to City last season and I can see a similarly tight affair once again.

In each match The Cherries have lost they have all had under 4.5 goals in them. Similarly, when City have won so far in the PL this season, 5 of these 7 wins have been with under 4.5 goals which gives me enough encouragement and confidence to back this to happen once again in what could be a close game which I see City edging come full-time.

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Bournemouth vs Manchester City Best Bets

• Market: BetBuilder
• Selection: Manchester City and Under 4.5 goals
• Odds: 11/10
• Stake: 1pt
• Bookie: bet365

• Market: Away Total Corners
• Selection: Over 8.5
• Odds: 19/10
• Stake: 0.5pt
• Bookie: Unibet

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