Key Points
- Entertainment is the order of the day
- No fear Ipswich after back-to-back promotions
- Expect goals to flow
Kieran McKenna’s newly promoted Tractor Boys roll into Sussex on Saturday afternoon. They’ll come into the game on the back of gaining their first point of the campaign after their 1-1 draw with Fulham prior to the international break.
Brighton are enjoying another sensational start to a Premier League season, after wins away at Everton and home against Manchester United were followed by a highly impressive 1-1 draw away at The Emirates.
A new clash in the Premier League
This will be the first time the sides have played each other in the Premier League era and their first meeting since February 2017 in the Championship, a game which finished 1-1 at the AMEX. Both sides play attractive, expansive football and I expect to see an open flow to the game with plenty of entertainment on offer.
Brighton’s attacking flare continues under Hurzeler
Brighton have been playing extremely attractive football since entering the Prem and despite managerial changes, the sexy football continues. It may only be early days under Hurzeler but the movement of the interchanging attackers when in the final third is something to behold.
The plethora of attacking options highlights the excellent recruitment at the club. They can choose from Wellbeck, Joao Pedro, Mitoma, Adingra, Enciso, and Rutter!
Fearless Ipswich
McKenna’s Ipswich, despite facing Liverpool and Manchester City in their opening matches, have played with the fearless style of football that brought them so much success from League One all the way into the Premier League. Personally, I don’t see this changing throughout the course of the campaign.
That’s entertainment!
Both Hurzeler and McKenna predominantly play an attacking 4-2-3-1 formation, with both full-backs on each side given the licence to get forward and support the attack. The Seagulls’ full-backs Joel Veltman and Jack Hinshelwood like to push forward and overlap the wingers, as do the Tractor Boys’ Leif Davis and Axel Tuanzebe.
Davis is picking up where he left off from his staggering 21 assists in the Championship last season by providing the assist for Town’s goal against Fulham in the last game.
Brighton to dominate possession
In terms of who will have the ball, it’s undeniable. Brighton can be expected to dominate the stat and over 60% possession will be a bare minimum I suspect.
Hurzeler’s men enjoyed 64% possession against ten-man Arsenal and 62% away at ten-man Everton. Ipswich will accept this and look to counter with numbers, something they did multiple times against Fulham including the play that led to their goal.
Seagulls have no problems scoring
Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton have scored in all 3 PL games so far and have scored 10 goals in their 4 matches in all competitions. I fancy them to find the net against an Ipswich team who are yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding 7 goals in their first 3 PL games.
However, despite having the 3rd worst defensive record for goals conceded, Ipswich will back themselves to score in this one.
The cavalier approach that McKenna has instilled in his team has seen them progress from mid-table in League One when he first took the reigns, to back-to-back promotions. Leading them to their first top-flight campaign since the 2001/2002 season.
The Tractor Boys scored 101 goals in their League One promotion campaign in 2022/2023 and 92 goals during the 2023/2024 Championship season which saw them finish 2nd in the table. So I still don’t see them having issues scoring goals at an even higher level.
Brighton have conceded in 2 of their 3 league games and given how open this game could be, the same thing could be set to happen.
Continuity in philosophy
One word that can be used to link both of these clubs in recent years is continuity. Despite the managerial changes at Brighton with Graham Potter and more recently Roberto De Zerbi at the end of last season, the board at The Seagulls have persisted with finding a replacement manager who is similar in their philosophy to try and keep building on the solid foundations already in place.
Ipswich are cut from a similar cloth too, with more than 10 of their first-team squad still with them from their League One campaign two seasons ago. It’s this continuity that has brought momentum and success over this period of time which should stand them in good stead.
Not much value in the Brighton win or total goals markets
When studying the various markets for the game, a Brighton win might seem the obvious one. However, with the best odds of 4/11 with
William Hill, I really don’t see any value there.
The total goals over/under market also caught my attention, but with the over 2.5 goals best price of 4/7 with
Bet365, again this is too short compared to my model number of 4/6.
BTTS 17/20 at QuinnBet
Instead, I’ll opt for the both teams to score market which is best price 17/20 with
QuinnBet. Given the expansive and attacking football, both sides have become synonymous with playing in recent seasons, this should make for an open game with a fair few chances at both ends.
I expect the crowd will be entertained and hopefully, our bet lands by full-time at the AMEX on Saturday afternoon.
QuinnBet signup offer:
50% back up to £50.
Brighton vs Ipswich Best Bet
- Market:
Both teams to score
- Selection:
Yes
- Odds:
17/20
- Stake:
1pt
- Bookie:
QuinnBet
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