Brighton v Manchester United Betting Tips: Hell at the seaside for Red Devils

Brighton manager Fabian Hurzeler takes charge of his side for the first time in a home game in the Premier League on Saturday. He will be looking to build on last weekend’s convincing win at Everton.

That win leaves The Seagulls at the summit of the table after game week 1. His team will face a United side who also registered a win in their opening game, albeit in less comprehensive fashion. They laboured to a 1-0 win over Fulham at Old Trafford thanks to a late goal from Joshua Zirkzee.

Seagull superiority

I expect Hurzeler’s men to dominate the ball and dictate possession. Away at The Toffees last time out (against ten men for half an hour) Brighton had 62% of the ball.

While they may not quite get to that level, I expect them to edge it and have more possession in the final third. Inconsistency has been the key word that’s defined United under Ten Hag and I fully expect Brighton, buoyed by the manner of their victory at Goodison Park, to control the tempo and intensity of this clash.

Only Manchester City completed more passes at home during the 2023/2024 season and The Seagulls had the 4th highest amount of possession in front of their own fans, with an average of 60.3%. The manager may have changed but those running the club haven’t and it’s fair to assume there won’t be an abrupt change in style.

Pressure still on at United

Erik ten Hag and United seem to have had every performance and result scrutinised microscopically in recent seasons, and this is yet another fixture where they could come unstuck and fail to win. United have beaten Brighton just once in the last 6 meetings and have only won once at the AMEX in the last 4 visits.

With Brighton’s intricate passing and attacking style of play they’ve been synonymous with over the last few years, if The Seagulls were to strike early I feel it would be very difficult for United to come back to win the game.

Although incredibly, ten Hag retained his job, lots of new faces have come into the backroom at Old Trafford. Indeed even in his coaching staff, there is possibly a wolf dressed in sheep’s clothing.

Fellow countryman and ex-United sharpshooter Ruud van Nistelrooy is there as a forwards coach but could be waiting to jump into the number one seat. There will be a sense of sharks circling at United and that can’t be the best environment for development and progress.

Killer instinct in final third

Brighton only failed to score 3 times at home during the whole of last season. With the quality and creativity of the likes of Kaoru Mitoma and new signings Yankuba Minteh and club-record transfer signing Giorginio Rutter, The Seagulls should have enough flair to pose United some serious issues defensively.

Brighton no-draw with Unibet

Brighton hit 3 or more goals a total of 5 times in games at the Amex last campaign and avoided defeat in 14 of their 19 home matches (74%). Brighton are 5/6 with Unibet in the draw no bet market and this is definitely worth a wager given their great start to the season, home record from last campaign, and United’s inconsistent performances and results in recent seasons under ten Hag.

I made Brighton 5/4 chances for this game but 6/4 is generally available, what that creates is almost inevitable value across any pro-Brighton-related markets.

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Brighton v Manchester United Best Bet

Best Bet

• Market: Draw No Bet
• Selection: Brighton
• Odds: 17/20
• Stake: 1pt
• Bookie: Unibet

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