Key Points
- Saving the best till last
- Expect entertainment from two forward-thinking managers
- Spurs are coming to the boil nicely
Spurs make the journey down to the South coast to take on Brighton at the AMEX on Sunday, buoyed from their convincing 3-0 victory at Old Trafford last weekend and to a lesser extent an away win in Hungary on Thursday.
That was a massively changed team, practically a 2nd 11 with the top talent getting a half-hour run around at the end. The result was Ange Postecoglu’s side’s 5th win in a row in all competitions which has seen them score 11 goals and concede just 2 in the process.
As for Fabian Hurzeler and Brighton, they currently sit in 9th position in the table, a point behind Sunday’s opponents. The Seagulls have made a solid start to this season and have scored in all but one match in all competitions, scoring 2 or more goals an impressive 6 times already.
Let them entertain you!
Given how both Postecoglou and Hurzeler set up their sides in predominantly either an attacking 4-2-3-1 or a 4-3-3 formation, this should lend itself to an entertaining spectacle at the AMEX.
Tottenham against Man United was a combination of greatness from Spurs and a poor display from United. If they come here and dominate like they did last weekend, I think we can firmly place them in the real deal bracket and I’d expect them to push very hard for Champions League spots this season.
Potential for goals at either end
Both teams have only failed to score once so far in the PL, and have scored or conceded in all but one fixture. Brighton fired blanks in a 0-0 draw against Ipswich and Tottenham went down in a 0-1 defeat to Arsenal.
The Seagulls have had 96 shots at goal in their 6 PL matches so far, giving them an average of 16 shots per game, which is the 4th highest in the Premier League.
For Spurs, this figure is even higher, with the north-London side amassing the 2nd highest number with a staggering 110 shots at goal in their 6 PL matches, an average of 18.3 per game. I expect this trend to continue at Sunday’s late afternoon showdown.
Are goals the best bet?
I expect a plethora of chances to be created by both teams during this one with their expansive styles of play. Current form suggests Brighton’s Danny Welbeck and Spurs’ Dominic Solanke would be the most likely to be on the scoresheet.
Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 3 goals this term and Solanke has netted 3 in his last 3 matches after his big-money move from Bournemouth in the summer.
The two strikers are currently 8/1 and 6/1 respectively with
Betfair Sportsbook. With so many potential goalscorers on the pitch, particularly for Tottenham I can’t bring myself to get involved in that market at the prices.
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Not much value in the BTTS market
There are numerous areas of potential betting markets for this fixture. One that would seem obvious is the ‘Both Teams To Score’ market but at extremely cramped odds of 4/11 with
Star Sports
I’m again passing.
2 out of Brighton’s 3 home games have ended with this outcome and all 3 of Spurs’ away games have had this occur, so it looks an obvious bet to happen again but does 4/11 represent value?
Not for me. Only marginally bigger is over 2.5 goals at 2/5 generally, if forced I’d rather play the BTTS and have the 1-1 onside but neither is exciting.
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Let’s have a shoot-out
Given all the talk and statistics to suggest this should be an open attacking affair with a couple of non-stellar defences on show, I had to find a way to back goalmouth action. My attention was drawn to the ‘Total Shots’ market, and with the line, at 28.5 shots at best priced 5/6 for the over with
bet365, there is real value in betting this.
As mentioned previously in the article, Brighton and Tottenham are 4th and 2nd highest respectively for total shots at goal this campaign. Given how both managers like to set up, I see no reason why this would change for Sunday’s game, and believe this should be closer to a 1/2 shot.
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Brighton vs Tottenham Best Bet
- Market:
Total Shots
- Selection:
Over 28.5
- Odds:
5/6
- Stake:
1pt
- Bookie:
bet365
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