Brisbane v Greater Western Sydney Betting Tips: Top spot available…technically!

This wild, unpredictable season continues and there are 14 points technically still in the hunt for the top 8 spots. Granted a few of them need miracles but this wide-open year is delivering massive 8-pt matches round after round as we head toward finals.

This Saturday Brisbane have the chance to hit the summit of the ladder, while GWS could do the same although they would almostcertainly be sat 2nd due to percentage.

Tight at the top

So just 2pts separate the two teams after 20 games but their campaigns have looked very different. Brisbane fell out of the stalls starting with 3 losses (all as favourites).

They only won 2 out of their next 5 but since then, their fortunes have changed unmistakably. They find themselves on a 9-match winning streak and are flag favourites at a best-priced 13/5 at Bet365.

On the flip side, The Giants started like a house on fire with 6 wins from their first 7 including a 54-pt victory over The Lions back in April. Then came a pretty lacklustre run losing 6 out of their next 8.

Things have picked up nicely since a bad loss to Adelaide at the end of June. Adam Kingsley’s charges have now been victorious in their last 5 and will relish the challenge of the toughest away day in the AFL.

Brisbane surprise odds-on favorites

With both teams coming into this in such form I would have expected the winner odds to be a little closer than the 1/3 Brisbane and 13/5 GWS on offer. With that in mind, I wouldn’t put anybody off backing GWS +22.5 at 22/25 with BetUK.

They are giving at least a pt more start than any other bookmaker at the time of writing. That won’t be my official selection though, I’ve found a bet that offers a little extra value.

Profit from a tight affair

Tight margins have been a feature of Giants’ games in recent times. They haven’t had a game separated by 40pts or more since the aforementioned victory over the Lions on the 25th of April.

In fact, they’ve had 8 of their last 9 decided by less than 25 and 5 of 9 with only single figures separating the winner and loser.

Take last week’s 85pt destruction of St Kilda out of things and it’s been a similar story for Brisbane lately. They’ve had winning margins of 28, 2, 13, 11 and 5 in the previous 5 games.

This game, with all that rides on it in terms of ladder position and finals implications, should also play out as a tight affair. The two teams arriving in such form will be playing with confidence and desire, neither mob will be folding up in this one if they are a few goals behind.

Our AFL tip of the week with Unibet

It’s for those reasons I was drawn to the winning margin markets. I’m reluctant to take a particular team’s winning margin and would prefer to take the cautious route by betting on either team’s distance.

The clear stand-out opportunity looks to be either team to win by 24 or less, we’ll also get paid in the unlikely event of a draw. Odds of Evens with Unibet look generous and I would have not wanted to lay anything bigger than 4/5 if I was a bookie.

Get a £40 welcome bonus at Unibet today.

Brisbane v GWS Best Bet

Best Bet

• Market: Winning Margin 25+
• Selection: Either team to win by 24 or less (incl. Draw)
• Odds: Evens
• Stake: 1.5pts
• Bookie: Unibet

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