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Crystal Palace host Manchester United this Saturday evening with both sides looking for a bit more consistency in what has been an up-and-down campaign so far.
The Eagles have gained two score draws in their last two PL fixtures after being behind. They had a 1-1 draw away at Chelsea and a 2-2 at home to Leicester last weekend after trailing 2-0, so will look to use this as a springboard going forward.
For United, it’s been 2 wins and 2 defeats in the PL as Erik ten Hag’s side still searches for more consistent performances and results.
Palace are yet to keep a clean sheet in any game this term and United have kept two clean sheets in the PL but have still conceded 5 goals. The Red Devils look vulnerable defensively which could make for an entertaining game with chances at both ends of the pitch.
Palace ended the 23/24 season strongly when head coach Oliver Glasner took the helm back in February. They recorded 7 wins and 4 draws in the last 14 games of the campaign but it’s been a slightly slower start than most Palace fans might have thought this season.
Palace are yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding 7 goals, and find themselves down in 16th place with just 2 points to their name. It’s a similar theme with United, who seem to have been dogged with inconsistency throughout Ten Hag’s reign, and their 2 wins and 2 defeats so far in the PL attests to that.
Defensively they have also struggled under ten Hag for clean sheets, keeping just 9 in the whole of last season, and look susceptible to conceding a goal in almost every game.
Jean-Philippe Mateta scored 16 times in the Premier League for The Eagles last campaign and has already bagged 4 goals in all competitions so far this term. Along with Eberechi Eze, he is Palace’s main goal threat and it’s in front of the home faithful where he has been most prolific.
Under Glasner, Mateta has flourished, notching 13 goals in his last 9 home games carrying on from February of this year, including a goal against United back in May when The Eagles won convincingly 4-0.
Having had 34 shots at goal in their 2 home PL fixtures, I expect Palace to continue this trend, cause the United backline problems and create several chances once again with Mateta being the most likely to breach The Red Devils' defence.
The shots line here is currently set at 27+ with odds of 37/40 available at BetVictor and that warrants a bet. United themselves on the road have registered 29 shots across their two games this term and will not be shot-shy after beating Barnsley 7-0 in midweek.
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With 3 goals away at Southampton last weekend and the 7 against Barnsley in the EFL Cup in midweek, perhaps ten Hag’s men have finally found their goal-scoring touch.
Both Marcus Rashford and Alejandro Garnacho were on target at St. Mary’s last weekend and both bagged a brace against League One side Barnsley on Tuesday night so look the most obvious to score for United going forward. Garnacho hasn’t been starting in the league but the growing feeling amongst United fans is that he simply has to.
Looking at the various betting markets for the game, you can argue United are justified to be slight favourites to win the match and are best priced 6/4 with QuinnBet. However, given the inconsistency I have already eluded to for both this season and under ten Hag’s management throughout, it is difficult to back this selection with any real confidence or conviction.
Another market of interest is the Anytime Goalscorer one, with Jean-Philippe Mateta best priced at 23/10 with Unibet to find the back of the net. Again, given the striker’s goals-per-game record lately, particularly at home, there can be a case made there’s a bit of value in the selection.
He took a penalty last week but it remains unclear whether he is the permanent taker or not. He and Eze have stated they decide based on who “feels it”, so we can pass this bet over and focus on another market.
That market is Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals which is best priced 5/6 with Ladbrokes. I would be surprised if either side manages to keep a clean sheet and as an open game is expected with plenty of chances created this could be an entertaining one as far as the scoreline is concerned.
Furthermore, 75% of Palace and United’s matches equally this term have had over 2.5 goals so I can certainly see a similar pattern continuing by full-time at Selhurst Park on Saturday.
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