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A second London derby on the bounce is in store for Tottenham this weekend following their 4-1 win against West Ham last time out.
Awaiting them this weekend is a trip from North to South London, visiting Selhurst Park to take on a Crystal Palace side still looking for their first victory of the campaign. Spurs are looking for their 7th win out of 8 matches in all competitions and are the 2nd highest scorers in the PL this season with 18 goals scored, just one goal behind Manchester City in the scoring charts.
Crystal Palace on the other hand have equalled their joint-worst start to a Premier League campaign in their history, taking only 3 points from a possible 24 available and currently sit 18th in the standings.
The Eagles are one of only 4 other sides still searching for their maiden win this season. Oliver Glasner’s men have lost their last 3 PL matches and have only managed to find the back of the net once in the last 4 fixtures. Moreover, they are the lowest scorers in the league with a mere 5 goals from their 8 games so far.
Despite an encouraging end to the 2023/2024 campaign under Glasner, things couldn’t be much more opposite so far this term for Palace. The Eagles are winless in their opening 8 PL matches and are facing an unwanted record of going 9 PL games without a victory.
Palace have kept just 1 clean sheet in the PL all season and their lack of firepower upfront has added extra pressure to their backline to try and shut out the opposition. Glasner’s men have struggled to fill the void in defence left by centre-back Joachim Andersen who left for Fulham during the closed season.
Jean-Philippe Mateta is The Eagles’ leading scorer in the PL with 2 goals, accounting for 40% of their total goals scored. Meanwhile, £30m summer signing Eddie Nketiah from Arsenal is yet to break his duck for Palace since his big-money move. Eze, Mateta and Nketiah providing a total return of just 5 goals from 8 games is deeply concerning.
When it comes to entertainment and goals this season, don’t look any further than Tottenham. With 18 goals scored and 6 out of their 8 PL matches ending with over 2.5 goals scored they rarely fail to deliver a good watch. Indeed 50% of their games have seen more than 3.5 goals scored.
Ange Postecoglu’s side, along with Manchester City, have the joint-best xG away from home with 1.90 and have averaged 2.25 goals per game so far this campaign. With the goal-scoring return of talismanic striker Son Heung-Min against West Ham last weekend, it’s a timely boost to an already impressive forward line that Postecoglou has at his disposal.
Postecoglu’s men have been guilty so far this season of not finishing off the opposition when they’ve had the chance to, particularly away from home where wasteful finishing and a lack of clinical edge have cost them the chance of earning more points.
I expect Tottenham to claim the three points and leave south-east London with the victory come full-time on Sunday. Their attacking style of play should be too much for an under-pressure Palace side and head coach who is walking a wire-thin line from getting the sack.
With Palace misfiring in front of goal and defensively struggling for clean sheets, I see Spurs taking advantage of this and gaining their 2nd away win of the season.
With the countless markets available on this Sunday’s clash it can pay to have a good scour through for value, but sometimes it’s best to keep it simple.
This feels like one of those occasions, my model has a Spurs win at 4/6ish. I was pretty shocked and certainly happy to see 22/25 available with Unibet.
Excellent positive momentum from the 7th placed team with goals coming from several sources against an under-pressure side struggling to score and who haven’t won a match this season and languish in the bottom 3, the odds are in our favour.
The Handicap market also naturally makes appeal with Tottenham -1 goal an attractive best price 11/5 also with Unibet. The fact Spurs have won all 4 PL games by at least a 2 goal margin does lend itself to thinking they could be able to do the same again to Glasner’s outfit.
We can have a smaller bet on this market to make sure if we get this very right, we get handsomely rewarded.
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Finally, the Anytime goalscorer market caught my attention, in particular for forward Brennan Johnson to get on the scoresheet. Johnson has scored 6 times in the last 7 matches in all competitions and I envisage Spurs creating a plethora of chances against a Palace side lacking in confidence.
At a best price of 11/4 with Betfair Sportsbook, it is certainly tempting to back Johnson to find the net again in this one. However, Spurs have been sharing the goals out quite equally amongst the likes of James Maddison, Dominic Solanke and Son already this season so it’s difficult to pinpoint who might be the difference in this one for Postecoglu’s men with assured confidence.
Nonetheless, I believe Spurs will score at least 2 goals in the game and as such, can justify a bet on Johnson.
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