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Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Predictions: 0505.2025 - Champions League Betting Tips

Publish Date: 05/05/2026
Fact checked by: Jordan Noble

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid

Arsenal host Atletico Madrid in the Champions League second leg after returning home from Spain with a 1-1 draw last week. The question is now simple. Can Mikel Arteta complete the job and secure their first final since 2003?

Our football tipster Nathan Joyes has analysed the Champions League odds for the match and provided his best bet.

Golden chance for the Gunners

Arsenal did what was required of them in Spain last week. Despite taking the lead on the stroke of half-time thanks to Viktor Gyokeres' penalty, it wasn't enough as Julian Alvarez slotted home from 12 yards in the second half.

But there's no doubt Arteta came away from Spain happy - whether he admitted that to the press or not. Back at the Emirates, the Spaniard will fancy his chances, who are now three unbeaten at home.

Not only have Arsenal started to pick up (W2 D1), they haven't conceded in their last three, and in a high-pressure match against Fulham at the weekend - with so much on the line - Arsenal were composed and breezed to a 3-0 win. One goal may be enough.

Atletico have it all to do

Having lost three of their last five away matches, Atletico will have been annoyed at not winning the first leg in their own back yard. The pressure will be on Arsenal to deliver in the second leg, but Atletico will know they will need to be at their very best to stop them.

A morale boosting 2-0 win against Valencia at the weekend saw Diego Simeone's side go three unbeaten - and it was also their first clean sheet in seven matches. Defensively, Atletico haven't been themselves for quite some time.

Atletico had moments in the first leg, and will no doubt have opportunities in North London, but perhaps not quite as many - and Simeone will need to make sure his players know that.

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid H2H

Aside from their 1-1 draw last week, these two sides clash in the group stage back in October. Arsenal, on that occasion, thoroughly enjoyed themselves with a 4-0 victory. Arsenal hold a good record against Spanish opponents on home soil, and are currently find themsevles nine unbeaten (W7 D2).

Our Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid betting tip

With a place in the final on the line, this match could be cagier than the other semi-final between Bayern and PSG - but what's the best betting angle? Nathan Joyes has provided his Champions League best bet for the match below.

Historic night awaits for Arsenal

Arsenal (4/7 with Betfred) are the clear favourites to get the job done and it's easy to see why the bookmakers aren't taking any risks. Despite a recent dip in form, Arsenal have been flawless in the Champions League - and at the Emirates, they haven't conceded in almost 300 minutes.

Atletico (9/2 with Betano) are a huge price to shock the Gunners but their record in England (W1 L6) won't entice many - nor will their lack of clean sheets on their travels this season.

Let's not forget, Atletico lost 3-2 to Spurs back in March and they may not enjoy their third trip to North London this season, having already lost 4-0 against Arsenal as well.

Arsenal fans may be watching through their fingers, but everything points towards the Gunners securing their second Champions League final, and there's an eye-catching bet builder price available.

Arsenal and under 4.5 goals has been a popular bet in this column this season - and having landed already between these two sides, we're going in again on Tuesday night. Good luck if you're following.

TIP: Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals at 4/5 with BetMGM.

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