
Both Manchester United and Newcastle United have taken just one point from the last two Premier League matchdays.
As a result, the Red Devils have slipped out of the top six, while Newcastle sit surprisingly in the bottom half at Christmas.
Premier League tipster Ben Smith has previewed this Boxing Day contest and delivered his best bet.
Last weekend was a poor one for Manchester United. Not only did they suffer defeat at Aston Villa and drop to seventh, but they also lost Bruno Fernandes to a thigh injury.
Ruben Amorim’s side had been on a reasonable run until then, suffering just one defeat since October began, but disappointing results have still crept in, especially at home. They have lost to Everton and drawn with West Ham and Bournemouth in their last three outings at Old Trafford.
As well as being without Fernandes, they must also make do without Amad Diallo, Bryan Mbeumo and Noussair Mazraoui, all of whom are at AFCON.
Harry Maguire and Matthijs de Ligt are also injury doubts, leaving Amorim lacking options and facing another testing evening.
Having beaten Fulham in the Carabao Cup quarter-finals last midweek, it looked as though Newcastle were about to fully recover from their Tyne-Wear derby defeat by Sunderland as they took a 2-0 first-half lead against Chelsea on Saturday lunchtime.
The Blues had other ideas, however, and snatched a point thanks to goals from Reece James and Joao Pedro. It was another disappointing second-half display from Eddie Howe’s side, who only edged past 10-man Burnley in their previous match at St James’ Park and also gave up points from a winning position against Tottenham earlier in December.
The Champions League places are not yet out of reach, but the Magpies have plenty of ground to make up if they are to return to Europe’s elite competition next season.
This fixture has been particularly kind to Newcastle in recent times. The Magpies have won five of the last six head-to-heads in all competitions, including a league double last season.
The clubs met during the festive period at Old Trafford last term, with goals from Alexander Isak and Joelinton earning Newcastle a 2-0 success.
They then recorded an even wider victory when at St James’ Park in April. A second-half surge saw Eddie Howe’s side run out 4-1 winners.
Both sides have a long list of absentees, but for Manchester United they feel particularly significant. They so often turn to Bruno Fernandes for inspiration, and this looks a tall order without him.
Ben Smith has assessed all the Premier League odds for this match and picked out what he considers to be the best value play.
Support has come for Newcastle (13/8 with Betway) in the market, but they still look too big in the draw no bet market here.
Yes, the Magpies have a poor away record this season, but there are positives. They won impressively at Everton and picked up a useful point away at Leverkusen in the Champions League in recent weeks, showing signs of improvement on their travels.
Their midfield appears superior to that of Manchester United (6/4 with Coral), and they also carry a greater goal threat. Anthony Gordon is delivering regularly, with five goal contributions in his last five starts, while Nick Woltemade has returned to form at the right time.
United’s attacking options are limited. Their top Premier League scorer available here is Casemiro with four goals, while creativity has been hit hard by AFCON absences and injuries, including Fernandes.
Matheus Cunha is settling in, and Mason Mount has benefited from recent minutes, but defensive absentees leave gaps that Newcastle can exploit. With the safety of money back on a draw, the visitors appeal.
TIP: Newcastle Draw No Bet - 19/20 with BetMGM.
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