Qarabag vs Chelsea Predictions: 05.11.2025 - Champions League Betting Tips

Qarabag vs Chelsea

Chelsea head to Azerbaijan to face Qarabag in round four of the Champions League - looking to build on their impressive 5-1 victory against Ajax last time out.

However, Qarabag won't be pushovers having beaten Benfica and Copenhagen, sitting on the same amount of points as Chelsea.

Our football expert Nathan Joyes provides his best Champions League bet for the match.

Stronger than anticipated

Expectations were low around Qarabag but wins against Benfica and Copenhagen has them on the same points as Barcelona, Liverpool and Chelsea heading into round four.

They also took the lead in the first 60 seconds against Athletic Bilbao before running out of steam in the second half - but Qarabag are no whipping boys - especially on home soil.

Forward Leandro Andrade is their player to watch having scored two goals in his three Champions League matches - able to drop deep into the no.10 role and create the space required to shoot.

Qarabag head into the match with five clean sheets secured in a row - including one against Copenhagen in the Champions League - and Chelsea will have to be at their best.

Chelsea can bag another win

Having won four of their last five, Chelsea head to Azerbaijan with a spring in their step after beating rivals Spurs 1-0 last weekend.

In their previous round in the Champions League, Enzo Maresca's side hammered Ajax 5-1. Although they were helped out by a first half red card, Chelsea were ruthless in front of goal.

In three of their last five matches, Chelsea have scored at least three goals - and despite their long injury list, they have plenty of attacking talent that will worry Qarabag.

Although this match will take place in Baku, it will be at a neutral venue and travelling Chelsea fans will have every right to feel optimistic ahead of the clash.

Qarabag vs Chelsea H2H

These two sides have met twice in their history. Those matches were back in the 2017 in the old Champions League group stage format, where Chelsea came out on top 10-0 on aggregate. Eden Hazard, Cesc Fabregas and Willian were on the scoresheet as they won 4-0 in Azerbaijan.

Our Qarabag vs Chelsea betting tip

Although Qarabag clearly carry a threat no one expected them to, it's impossible to dismiss Chelsea's goalscoring prowess at present.

Nathan Joyes takes a look at the Champions League betting odds and provides his best angle for the match.

Visitors to come out on top

Qarabag (8/1 with Betfred) are a huge price to cause another shock in the Champions League. No one saw their win against Benfica coming, before backing that up with a convincing win against Copenhagen.

But let's not focus too heavily on that Benfica win. That's because Bruno Lage was sacked immediately after the match - and fans hadn't been impressed with his style or results.

Instead, we should look at the recent 3-1 loss against Athletic Bilbao. The hosts went a goal down almost instantly, but afterwards it was pure domination from the La Liga side. Chelsea are stronger than Bilbao, Copenhagen and Benfica - and that's why the visitors are favourites once more.

Chelsea (4/11 with Betano) have beaten Benfica themselves - as well as Ajax. In fact, they've only lost to Bayern so far, but so have 17 other teams since their Club World Cup exit.

Maresca's side are in good form at the moment. They dominated the match against Spurs, showing a much more disciplined performance than the midweek one against Wolves.

If they can combine those performances, Chelsea can win but also in style. There's too much attacking talent for Qarabag to deal with - although don't rule out the hosts getting on the scoresheet once more. Back the visitors to win and over 2.5 goals.

TIP: Chelsea and over 2.5 match goals at 4/5 with BetMGM.

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