Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions: 04.10.2025 - La Liga Betting Tips

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid will look to bounce back from their heavy defeat against Atletico Madrid when they welcome Villarreal to the Bernabeu this weekend. Xavi Alonso's side delivered midweek in the Champions League, but this will be a tougher test for the hosts.

Nathan Joyes talks you through this eyecatching La Liga clash, with his betting tip and some of the best La Liga betting odds.

Real must react

After an almost flawless start to their campaign, Real Madrid were embarrassed by their arch-rivals last weekend. Diego Simeone's side put five past Alonso's as the duo locked horns for the first time in the derby - and Los Blancos fans will expect a reaction.

They did get one in the Champions League, brushing aside Kairat Almaty 5-0, but fans won't care about that result if they don't beat Villarreal. Although only one point behind Barcelona, last season showed us that once a lead grows, Barcelona are a difficult side to peg back.

The good news is that Kylian Mbappe is in fine form. The Frenchman has scored in eight consecutive matches for club and country - including a midweek hattrick - and keeping him quiet will a giant task.

Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy and Trent Alexander-Arnold remain sidelined with injuries.

Villarreal looking sharp

Villarreal aren't here to make up the numbers and they'll be hoping to take advantage of Real Madrid's tiny slump. The Yellow Submarines head into this clash unbeaten in four, picking up domestic wins against Osasuna, Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao.

An impressive last minute comeback saw them salvage a point against Juventus in the Champions League, and with a spring in their step, the visitors will be hopeful of a positive result.

With eight different goalscorers already this season, Villarreal have options across the pitch, giving them another edge as they head to the Bernabeu.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal H2H

As positive as Villarreal will be, the visitors have only won one of their last five trips to the Bernabeu. In fact, they have only won two since 1998 - although their most recent was in 2023.

Last season, Real Madrid comfortably won 2-0 thanks to goals from Federico Valverde and Vinicius Junior.

Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal betting tip

With Real Madrid keen to put their derby day defeat behind them, and with Mbappe scoring at an insane rate, the hosts will be confident of a win. Let’s take a closer look at Nathan's best bet.

Real to rectify derby defeat

Headlines and articles will suggest that Real Madrid aren't good enough to win the La Liga title after their embarrassing 5-2 defeat - but that's simply not the case.

Under Alonso, Real Madrid have looked dangerous and up until last weekend, incredibly difficult to break down, despite having a number of defenders on the treatment table.

Their 5-0 win over Kairat Almaty was expected - but it was a dominant display from Los Blancos who showed their loss against Atletico Madrid was already forgotten.

Villarreal have made a strong start to the campaign, but they've yet to face many teams that will finish inside the top six - and perhaps their league form is a little misleading.

Real Madrid have won all four home matches to date - and with Mbappe finding the back of the net 12 times in his last eight, it's almost impossible to not back him in his current form. Sometimes you need to keep betting simple - and this match is a prime example to apply that logic to.

TIP: Real Madrid to win and Mbappe to score at 5/6 with BetMGM.

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