
Slovakia can secure a top-two finish in Group A, and with it at least a World Cup play-off spot, when they host Northern Ireland in Kosice. Defeat would end Northern Ireland’s hopes of reaching the play-offs unless Germany lose to Luxembourg.
UK football tipster Ben Smith has picked out his top selection for this crucial qualifier, using the best football odds available from BetMGM.
Slovakia have won three of their four qualifiers, with the only defeat coming away to Northern Ireland in Belfast in the latest round of international fixtures in October.
They responded by beating Luxembourg 2-0 at home, leaving them level on points with Germany at the top of Group A.
Their win over Die Mannschaft in September remains the standout result of the campaign and one that keeps automatic qualification within reach. Slovakia have been consistent at home, unbeaten in seven matches and without conceding in their last four.
Francesco Calzona has relied on a stable core of players, with Milan Skriniar and Adam Obert leading the defence, and David Strelec providing a regular goal threat. Success in Kosice would guarantee a play-off place at a minimum before the final round.
Northern Ireland’s win over Slovakia last month was their best and most important display for some time and showed clear progress. They competed well against Germany soon after, losing narrowly but matching the group leaders for long spells.
Michael O’Neill’s side look more settled than they did earlier this year, though they still need to show that they can keep it tight at the back. Their last clean sheet away from home came in Belarus over a year ago.
Injuries and suspensions have reduced their options in midfield, forcing a few adjustments, but their pressing and energy should give them a fighting chance here.
A solid away performance would underline the improvements made in recent times, but ultimately, this is all about the three points.
Northern Ireland and Slovakia have met six times since 1998, with Slovakia winning three, Northern Ireland two, and one draw between them. The fixture has often been tight, with four of those matches decided by a single goal or finishing level.
Northern Ireland’s recent 2-0 win in Belfast ended a long run without joy in this matchup and was their first competitive triumph over Slovakia. The Slovaks have generally held the upper hand over the years, including wins in World Cup qualifiers and European Championship play-offs.
Only a win will do for Northern Ireland on Friday, so they’ll need to approach this one with attacking intent.
That’s reflected in the best bet for the match, which focuses on the team prop markets.
Northern Ireland’s corner line is set at 3.5, which would look a touch low in normal circumstances and even more so given what’s at stake here.
With victory essential, the visitors have to take the game to Slovakia - just as they did in the reverse fixture, when they controlled much of the first half. They were also competitive away to Germany, responding well to an early setback and drawing level before the break.
There’s no reason for them to play with the handbrake on here. They’ve registered four or more corners in each of their last ten competitive matches, five of those coming away from home, including that tough trip to Germany.
Slovakia concede their fair share too, allowing at least four corners in ten of their last eleven games - even Luxembourg managed that in Trnava last month.
Tip: Over 3.5 Northern Ireland corners at 17/20 with BetMGM.
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