
Wales and North Macedonia conclude their Group J campaigns at the Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday night. Both teams sit level on 13 points in the group, with both are already guaranteed a playoff spot thanks to their Nations League performances.
UK football tipster Louie Truman has picked out his top selection for this fixture, using the best football odds available from BetMGM.
The Dragons have won three of their last five and come into this fixture on the back of a 1-0 away win against Liechtenstein. Wales had to wait until the 61st minute to break through with a Jordan James strike from close range. If Craig Bellamy’s side managed to secure a win against Liechtenstein, then they would have had a great chance of finishing top, but with Belgium being two points ahead with a game against Liechtenstein tonight, it looks unlikely.
Both teams sit on 13 points from seven games. While North Macedonia hold a substantial goal-difference edge, Wales are strong favourites to win at the Cardiff City Stadium. Due to both sides having already secured playoff spots through their 2024–25 Nations League performances, the result won’t have a major impact. However, the group runner-up will benefit from a home semi-final.
North Macedonia remain unbeaten in their last 14 competitive international fixtures, including a Euro 2024 qualifying draw against England, which was 1-1 and a 0-0 draw with Belgium in World Cup qualifying. Their luck was particularly evident in last month’s draw in Ghent, where Belgium had 25 shots compared to North Macedonia’s three.
The Red Lions have the group’s strongest defensive record, having conceded only three goals so far. In their most recent outing, they drew 1-1 with Kazakhstan. Blagoja Milevski’s side has shown attacking quality alongside defensive solidity, staying organised and difficult for opponents to break down. During the group stage, they managed to put five past Liechtenstein, which shows their quality.
The two countries have met on three previous occasions, and both have won a single game each, with Wales winning in Cardiff back in 2013.
During the reverse fixture in March, the game finished 1-1 at the Toše Proeski Arena. Both sides scored late on. The turning point came deep into stoppage time, a back‑pass from Wales’ Joe Allen was intercepted by Bojan Miovski, who calmly tucked it past Karl Darlow in the 91st minute, which gave North Macedonia the lead. Wales kept fighting until the end. In the sixth minute of stoppage time, Kieffer Moore nodded a long ball on, and David Brooks quickly tapped the loose ball into the net to earn a last-minute equaliser.
Neither team is under pressure to secure a win, so that is reflected in our best bet for the match. Both teams will be chasing victory in Cardiff to secure the easiest path through the play-offs, with Wales entering Tuesday’s match needing a win because their goal difference is lower than North Macedonia’s.
The Dragons had gone unbeaten in their last 10 home games across all competitions before this season, but they’ve lost two home fixtures recently against Canada and Belgium, so they’ll be looking to bounce back against North Macedonia. The Red Lions head to Wales in stronger form, having shown more consistent results in recent matches.
Tip: North Macedonia or Draw – 11/10 – BetMGM

Users must be 18+. If you are having trouble with gambling then help and advice can be found at begambleaware.org. Please Play Responsibly.