The Fund
Loading ...
As the AFL regular season approaches the business end, the significance of games increases when it comes to shaping the top 8 on the ladder for the Finals series.
The meeting of The Cats and The Dogs is certainly one of those games with big implications for the winner and loser. Could there be a shoot-out to profit from?
Geelong find themselves in 3rd after a topsy-turvy campaign in which they started with 7 straight wins, went missing during the middle part of the season and have now had three wins on the bounce. Those three wins have come against Finals hopefuls Essendon, Hawthorn and most recently Collingwood.
The Cats are purring and Patrick Dangerfield’s form is looking good since returning from injury. He ranked a clear second in terms of MG (metres gained) against the Pies last Friday. This is despite having less disposals and time on the ground than the rest of top 5 scorers in the MG metric.
A win this weekend can help solidify a top 4 position and keep pressure on Carlton for the even more valuable 2nd spot.
The bulldogs are widely seen as the Jekyll and Hyde team of the AFL this year. They’ve served up 9 wins and 8 losses and it’s been hard to catch them right from a betting perspective. A recent defeat of Carlton followed a trouncing at the hands of Port. Meanwhile, wins over North and Freo were preceded by a mauling at home by the Lions.
For all the inconsistency, they still find themselves with the second best percentage in the competition. Unfortunately for them, they also find themselves outside of the 8 in 10th - one win away from getting themselves into a finals spot.
A trip to the Cattery is never one to look forward to and there has been little reward for the Dogs when heading down the highway in recent times. They only recently snapped an 11 game losing streak in Geelong when they got up there last season.
That poor recent H2H form is expected to continue, with Chris Scott’s Geelong put in at an industry top price of 1/2 to take the 4pts.
There is just enough doubt in my mind though about taking those cramped odds with the Bulldogs' ability to kick serious totals when they are on. They’ve managed 100pt+ totals in 3 of their last 6 games against quality teams in Carlton, Fremantle and Collingwood. The Cats themselves have been high scorers of late and are averaging 93.6pts per game over their last 6.
Unibet is currently one of the best UK bookies for betting on Aussie rules football. As well as having a large selection of markets, you'll also find that their AFL odds consistently offer the best value.
Moreover, this brand also has a great welcome offer for new customers in 2024. Bet £10, and you’ll get £40 in free bets. With the new Premier League season just a month away, there's plenty more action to come.
So when deciding on a bet my eyes were drawn to the
total of 169.5 with Unibet, looking towards betting the over. Naturally, a weather check is extremely important when deciding on a bet on an Aussie Rules totals bet. Having checked 5 different forecasters it looks like the weather will be fine by game time.
There is a little rain predicted earlier in the day but should be fair come the evening. In terms of execution of the bet, if you are able to then I suggest keeping your powder dry until just before the game starts and you can confirm the weather then before playing.
Best Bet(s)
Market:
Total Points
Selection:
Over 169.5
Odds:
22/25
Stake:
1pt
Bookmaker:
Unibet
Instagram: thefund.bet
Telegram:
thefundbet
Users must be 18+. If you are having trouble with gambling then help and advice can be found at begambleaware.org. Please Play Responsibly.
Trading financial products carries a high risk to your capital, especially trading leverage products such as CFDs. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Between 74-89% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.