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Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs Betting Tips: Finals’ ramifications in this battle between Cats and Dogs!

Publish Date: 17/07/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • Cats finding form again after slump
  • Both teams have no problems scoring big
  • Weather check advised before placing the bet

As the AFL regular season approaches the business end, the significance of games increases when it comes to shaping the top 8 on the ladder for the Finals series.
The meeting of The Cats and The Dogs is certainly one of those games with big implications for the winner and loser. Could there be a shoot-out to profit from?

Finals series hopes and dreams

Geelong find themselves in 3rd after a topsy-turvy campaign in which they started with 7 straight wins, went missing during the middle part of the season and have now had three wins on the bounce. Those three wins have come against Finals hopefuls Essendon, Hawthorn and most recently Collingwood.

afl football sherrin pink

Dangerfield on form

The Cats are purring and Patrick Dangerfield’s form is looking good since returning from injury. He ranked a clear second in terms of MG (metres gained) against the Pies last Friday. This is despite having less disposals and time on the ground than the rest of top 5 scorers in the MG metric.
A win this weekend can help solidify a top 4 position and keep pressure on Carlton for the even more valuable 2nd spot.

Bulldogs blowing hot and cold

The bulldogs are widely seen as the Jekyll and Hyde team of the AFL this year. They’ve served up 9 wins and 8 losses and it’s been hard to catch them right from a betting perspective. A recent defeat of Carlton followed a trouncing at the hands of Port. Meanwhile, wins over North and Freo were preceded by a mauling at home by the Lions.
For all the inconsistency, they still find themselves with the second best percentage in the competition. Unfortunately for them, they also find themselves outside of the 8 in 10th - one win away from getting themselves into a finals spot.

Away day misery

A trip to the Cattery is never one to look forward to and there has been little reward for the Dogs when heading down the highway in recent times. They only recently snapped an 11 game losing streak in Geelong when they got up there last season.
That poor recent H2H form is expected to continue, with Chris Scott’s Geelong put in at an industry top price of 1/2 to take the 4pts.

There is just enough doubt in my mind though about taking those cramped odds with the Bulldogs' ability to kick serious totals when they are on. They’ve managed 100pt+ totals in 3 of their last 6 games against quality teams in Carlton, Fremantle and Collingwood. The Cats themselves have been high scorers of late and are averaging 93.6pts per game over their last 6.

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A high scoring if the weather holds out

So when deciding on a bet my eyes were drawn to the total of 169.5 with Unibet, looking towards betting the over. Naturally, a weather check is extremely important when deciding on a bet on an Aussie Rules totals bet. Having checked 5 different forecasters it looks like the weather will be fine by game time.
There is a little rain predicted earlier in the day but should be fair come the evening. In terms of execution of the bet, if you are able to then I suggest keeping your powder dry until just before the game starts and you can confirm the weather then before playing.

Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs Best Bet

Best Bet(s)
Market: Total Points
Selection: Over 169.5
Odds: 22/25
Stake: 1pt
Bookmaker: Unibet

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