Expert Punter
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Hello Racing fans and welcome back! I have 5 selections for you to get stuck into for Friday's racing. Just to mention firstly that there is now a weekly recap show, where I will review all of my selections from the previous week. Head over to my YouTube channel to check that out!
There are the selections for Friday’s racing and I advise backing these in a win Lucky31 and also having a single on my NAP selection. Thank you for all of your support so far, and don't forget to check out my socials @gingerjoeracing on Instagram, Twitter, YouTube & Facebook for daily updates!
J: Jim Crowley / T: Daniel & Claire Kubler
SENECA CHIEF is a horse I really like and I've backed him a few times over the years. I backed him last time when he was disappointing ,however he had excuses that day and I think we will see a good performance this time round. He was a well backed favourite and travelled well until 2 furlongs out when he stopped quickly. The vets examination failed to show any abnormalities however it was confirmed that SENECA CHIEF had lost his right fore shoe.
The trainer also gave an explanation after the race putting the poor effort down to the lost shoe and said he was expecting better himself. It would be fair to assume that when he stopped quickly at 2, that was potentially the moment the shoe became loose. That form is generally hard to assess on paper but I’ve seen enough of SENECA CHIEF in previous races to assume he will be back to his best this time round. He ran a belter on his race prior to this and seemed primed for his latest run last month.
I expect a much better effort this time round and think the 5/1 on offer is too big to pass. A repeat of that performance will put him bang there on Friday and he also won 3 times around June & July last year, so it could be the right time to catch him. Big chance here.
J: Pat Dobbs / T: Richard Hannon
BOSH holds some really good credentials going into this race and a horse certainly on the up. The Hannon and Dobbs combination is one of my favourites and Pat Dobbs tends to ride the best of Hannons 2y-o’s suggesting BOSH could be another star in the making from connections.
He has done really well in his three starts to date and started these off with a cracking effort finishing a half length behind a subsequent winner who had already had a win to his name and previous course experience too. BOSH went from strength to strength in his next two starts. He won next time out and was carried left across the track and still managed to get up, and the pair were clear of the remainder. Showed some real guts and good attitude to get the job done over the inconvenience he faced. Improved again from this with a win here at Newbury where he comprehensively beat the highly regarded American Star from the Ed Walker stable and that is some seriously good form.
He showed a really good turn of foot that day and will enjoy the conditions here. I think there is plenty of improvement still to come and I think there is loads of value in the 7/2 on offer. ORAZIO could well be his main danger and one for the tracker after impressing on his debut but I think BOSH will be hard to beat on what we've seen so far. It’s definitely worth a punt!
J: Jim Crowley / T: Charles Hills
MUTASAABEQ is a seriously good horse and although only 13/8 in the betting. I think it's plenty of value and think he deserves to be at odds-on, for what he's shown so far. He won on his only run as a 2y-o and only needed to be shaken up gently to do so. He then looked like a colt from the very top draw when he won on his 3y-o debut to make it two out of two. He made virtually all and drew clear over the last furlong and a half to win very easily indeed going away.
Those two runs put him right in the guineas picture when he went off as short as 5/1 for the Newmarket showpiece and finished only 5 lengths behind the impressive winner Poetic Flare who went on to finish second in the Irish version and then bolted up in the St James Palace at Royal Ascot by 5 lengths last month. That has majorly franked the form of my selection here. He can be excused from his latest run where he really didn't enjoy the soft ground but gets back onto his ideal conditions here and I think he is banker material.
J: Oisin Murphy / T: Michael Bell
HORSEFLY is one I nearly snapped up for Friday’s racing so it shows what I think of this one. He has been progressing nicely and backed up two good efforts to start the season with two really impressive wins at Lingfield. The first of these over 1m2f and the second was when he was stepped up to 1m4f and found it no trouble as he was very strong through the line and won very comfortably.
He has seemed a really tricky ride so far but has been getting the job done with plenty in hand. Not only has he beat good opposition with some to spare but he also won the last two whilst hanging left throughout which would have used some serious energy and the fact he still managed to win indicates he has a massive engine in there. He will learn to stay straighter in time and with Oisin on board this time round that can only be a big positive in helping the cause. This is a good competitive field that he contests in here but on the step up to 1m5 1/2furlongs I think he is the one that will handle this best.
There are some other progressive types with nice profiles but have to prove they are up to this and I have an inkling that there still may be more to come from this one and I am expecting a big performance from him here. I was close to putting him up as my Nap selection but I would prefer him to settle a tad better which he may this time. He has a huge engine and needs a second look in this event. Could have much more to offer still.
J: Aidan Redpath / T: Michael Dods
MUSTAQBAL makes my NAP selection for Friday and one who I think will go under the radar. You have to delve quite deep into his form to make a case for him but I think he is the one that is going to come back to form here. He used to be trained by Mark Johnston and owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum when he was younger and he was a really good yardstick for them. He actually has a beautiful pedigree and if he can repeat the form that he showed when impressively winning over C&D a few years back he could be tough to beat.
He won a high class 16 runner handicap in these conditions by an eased down 3 ½ lengths off this mark and could be ready to get back to his best following his latest effort. He ran well for a long way last time which was his seasonal reappearance but may have needed that and will come on for that. He could just be coming back to his best and being the only one with course form in this, could have just gone under the radar. Hasn't won for a while but been running ok in defeat and looks ready to put his best foot forward now following his most recent effort.
Has the beating of one at the head of the market in LEXINGTON WARFARE, and they meet again off similar terms. I think with MUSTAQBAL dropping back down to his C&D winning mark and a slight return to form last time, that it's worth chancing him here to come out on top and makes a lot of appeal to me at 10/1. Michael Dods runs a few good ones today and this could top off what could be a good day for him and Aidan Redpath taking off a valuable 5lb only helps his cause in finding his top gear in this. Big shout!
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