Expert Punter
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Hello Racing fans and welcome back! I have 5 selections for you to get stuck into for day one of Glorious Goodwood racing plus and each way bet who looks set to outrun his odds. Just to mention firstly that there is now a weekly recap show where I will review all of my selections from the previous week - head over to my YouTube channel to check that out.!
Below are my selections for day one, and I advise backing these in a win Lucky31, with an extra single on my NAP, AND an each way single on Real Appeal at the prices. Thank you for all of your support so far, and don't forget to check out my socials @gingerjoeracing on Instagram, Twitter, YouTube & facebook for daily updates!
J: Franny Norton / T: Mark Johnston
SIR RON PRIESTLY is my selection in the Goodwood Cup, the feature of Day1. STRADIVARIUS bids for a fifth Goodwood Cup and this would add to his already extraordinary record but I think he has a tough task this time round. He hasn't been in the best form this year and I think he may prove a little bit vulnerable to the Mark Johnston trained SIR RON PRIESTLY.
Yes, STRADIVARIUS is the best horse in the race, but he is 8 now and time may just be catching up with him. I however have had this race in mind for SIR RON PRIESTLY for sometime now and think he may be the one who can take the crown. He is stepping up to 2 miles for the first time but I think he will stay no problem and I think this may actually bring out further improvement in him yet. He sweated up badly before the princess of wales stakes last time out and made virtually all from the off.
He was keen the whole way round but increased the tempo 4 out and was extremely game in holding on to win from the very talented AL AASY. I think he's sure to improve on that but he will need to. I think he is the only contender here to short price favourite STRADIVARIUS.
J: James Doyle / T: Charlie Appleby
CREATIVE FORCE has been ultra consistent and is apparently the second string from the Godolphin camp. I actually think he's the one who will take all the beating though and has the strongest piece of individual form based on this year alone. He finished fifth behind Starman last time out only 2 lengths back and stuck to his task really well. Prior to this he notched up a 4 wins on the bounce this year and beat some really good rivals whilst doing so. His only bad run came as a 2y-o at Royal Ascot but had excuses that day.
Since then, he has gotten better and better and I think he is the one worth siding with in this race. Godolphin also saddles SPACE BLUES who is the current market leader and will be hard to beat but I think the fact that he has to give CREATIVE FORCE 5lbs makes this a very different task this time around. CREATIVE FORCE is also only a 3y-o so he is almost certainly still on the up and with any amount of improvement possible makes him the one to go with here. I bet this was a hard job for Buick to decide who he was going to ride but I think he has got it wrong. In the same race I'd just like to mention one at bigger prices.
REAL APPEAL from the Jesse Harrington stable could outrun the 18/1 on offer. He won last time out and was strong all the way through the line even though the jockey said he was hanging the whole way down the straight. That run suggests there's more to come and could be a lively alternative to some of the ones at the head of the market. Oisin Murphy on board is a real positive booking and with improvement from this colt likely to come, the odds look to big on paper.
J: Pat Dobbs / T: Richard Hannon
LUSAIL would be a welcomed winner of the Vintage Stakes here for the Al Shaqab connections and hasn't shown signs of stopping just yet. I do tend to think their horses either run really well or really poorly but think they may have a classy one in LUSAIL. He was really good on his debut before finishing third on his second start after hanging badly. He then resumed progress on his next two starts where he won at Newmarket on soft ground the first time over 7 furlongs and then on good to firm ground over 6 furlongs on his latest run.
He just held on that day and 7 furlongs seems to be his trip at this stage. Conditions look ideal this time round and I think he will take some serious stopping in this. BERKSHIRE SHADOW will be popular in the betting following his Royal Ascot win but needs things to fall his way. ELDRICKJONES could also go well but would be a mighty effort to break his maiden in an event like this. LUSAIL however is getting better for the experience and clearly on an upward curve. Big shout in a good renewal.
J: Marco Ghiani / T: Stuart Williams
GELLHORN runs in a really good fillies handicap here and could be the one to side with. She's really got her act together of late and could take all the beating here off these terms. She won narrowly over 6 furlongs at Newmarket three starts back and came back here just 11 days ago. Here, she put up a mightily authoritative performance, which puts her right at the head of the market in this one.
The clocks backed up the times and both of these wins were over 6 furlongs, which seems her optimum trip. She put up a sound performance in between these two over 5 furlongs but found this a little short and was much better for the step up to 6 on her latest effort. She was pushed along 2 out but got the hang of things late on and was on top comfortably coming to the finish line. This was a decent field and her running style suggests she could be open to more improvement. If she is, she is on a very winnable mark and will take a good performance to get her beaten. 9/2 seems generous!
J: William Buick / T: David Menuisier
MIGRATION is my Nap selection for day 1 and could get us off to a great start in race one! He was a really progressive type in 2019 but missed the whole of last season due to some slight niggling injuries. He showed he still retains his ability by running a huge eye catcher after a 641 day break at Salisbury.
He opened up double figures that day but went off the 4/1 well backed favourite and was unlucky not to do the backers justice. He actually carried a fair whack of weight that day and looked like he had it all to do 2 out. He was boxed in out the back short of room but when he eventually found a split late on, it was too late but he absolutely flew home to finish fourth. He would have definitely been closer if he was given the gap sooner. He travelled well and just had no luck during the race.
He looks like he will typically come on for that run and with a really low weight to carry here, he could be well in, in this valuable big handicap. William Buick has a great strike rate for connections and I expect another big step forward here. Likely to prove popular in the betting, so best to get whilst the price is juicy!
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