Expert Punter
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Hello Racing fans and welcome back! I have 5 selections for you to get stuck into for Thursday’s racing. Just to mention firstly that there is now a weekly recap show where I will review all of my selections from the previous week so head over to my YouTube channel to check that out.
Below are my selections for Thursday and I advise backing these in a win Lucky31 with an extra single on my NAP. Thank you for all of your support so far, and don't forget to check out my socials @gingerjoeracing on YouTube, Instagram, Twitter & Facebook for daily updates!
J: Hayley Turner / T: David Simcock
THOMAS LANFIERE has been rapidly progressive this year after finally getting the hang of things on the track. He was given a brilliant ride by Hayley Turner last time out and won easily too. I actually backed him that day and he made things look very easy. A repeat of that performance would see him go very close but I actually think he will do even better this time round.
He kicked clear turning for home last time under Hayley and I think she may adopt similar tactics this time which would make him tactically very difficult to beat again. He is now 3 from his last 4 and also 2 from 2 here at Brighton. He is 6lb higher than his last run however that may not be enough to stop him yet based on how progressive he has been lately. He’s a major contender here with more improvement on the cards and I think he will be extremely hard to beat.
J: Franny Norton / T: Mark Johnston
TURN BACK TIME made a nice start to her career finishing 3rd on debut over C&D last month. Had good to soft ground that day and seemingly appreciated the firmer ground on her second start. She finished second that day to her main market rival and they were clearly the best two that day with the clock backing up the times.
Both of her runs to date have come over 7 furlongs and she looks like a typically tough filly from the Johnston stable. The drop back to 6 here should suit her though as she has shown plenty of pace so far. I think she will be ridden prominently and that could make her a real tough horse to pass down the straight.
UNEXPECTED RIVAL is going to be her main danger and went down in a sustained battle with the eventual winner last time and if tactics play out how I think they will, then she will have to settle for second best again. I don't think she will appreciate the drop back to 6 furlongs like my selection who just gets the nod here. Strong connections and has to be respected.
J: David Probert / T: David Menuisier
KELMSCOTT looks to be a nice type and gets into this race at the very bottom of the weights having won last time out. I think RAVENS ARK is the one to beat but he has a lot of weight to carry against an unexposed improver in KELMSCOTT.
This could be a close match up but I think there's loads to come in my selection yet. Connections landed a NAP for us last week on day 1 of Glorious Goodwood and they tend to do well with these types. He’s definitely worth a go up in trip at these weights even though he has some good horses to contest with. He was quite impressive last time out and looks like he could be up to this. As I mentioned I definitely think the main danger is RAVENS ARK but KELMSCOTT has won at this track already and gets my vote.
He travelled really well that day and kicked for home with a furlong to go and was all out of the line but he was always doing enough in front. The step up will suit him perfectly and if he turns up here in the same vein as he did 3 weeks ago, he will be hard to beat. A nice improver, for sure!
J: William Buick / T: Hugo Palmer
DIG TWO is a little bit skinny in the betting however I think he is value for the 6/4. He has been held in high regard by connections and he has been highly tried to date. He won twice in May comfortably in decent events but his best effort came when he finished second to Chipotle at Royal Ascot in June.
They split into two groups that day and DIG TWO fared best of the horses racing on the stand side. That was a really good run. He then stepped up to Group 2 next time out and ruined his own chances by pulling too hard but has a great opportunity to get back to winning ways here. He has to give 9lbs to his main danger but I think the slight class edge he has gives him the winning credentials here. Should get the job done back in calmer waters.
J: Mollie Phillips / T: Tony Carroll
WINNETKA is a 19 race maiden but he has a cracking chance of getting his head in front in this event here. Mollie Phillips is on board and she could have a cracking day at Brighton starting here in the opener. She is flying at the moment and I think she is the best jockey out there with a 7lb claim at this point.
She is absolutely worth her weight in gold. WINNETKA has run some really good races in defeat on his last two runs and could take a bit of beating in this especially with course form to his name already. On his penultimate start he tried to make all over 7 furlongs and it nearly paid off but he was just caught on the line. Travelled well that day and that was a big improvement on anything that he'd shown previously so there is an inkling that he could be ready to break his duck.
He backed that up and proved it was no fluke when he finished third on his latest start and that was behind a real good stablemate in Under Curfew, who also went on to win again next time out. WINNETKA comes back here over the minimum trip and has plenty of pace. Runs off the same mark and could be hard to beat from the front.
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