A stats-based review of the 2025 Coral Gold Cup
In this article, we take a look at the Coral Gold Cup with a focus on trends, stats, 2025 entries and betting analysis. This is to help guide you on both horses to strongly consider and also those who should be avoided, judged on the historical winners of the races. Whilst some of the data looks back as far as 26 years ago, the majority is focused on the last 10 years.
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Trends can often be the key to these big field Handicaps
With these big field Handicaps, there can be so many horses to consider and so many different angles that can be used. Therefore, it can often be useful to whittle the contenders down to a more manageable size and ideally, to rule a few out of contention altogether. Accessing the trends from the previous renewals of the race can be a fantastic way to do this and I have done that work for you in this article today! In the next sections I’ll be highlighting the trends used and then applying that data to the 2025 entries.
Key Trends
First we’ll explore the most important stats and trends for the Coral Gold Cup.
- Age - 14/15 winners were aged between six and eight, with 24/26 within this age band too. Eight of the last 10 were aged specifically seven or eight.
- Weight – 15/15 carried 11st 6lb or less (dating back to Denman in 2009 who carried 11st 12lb), more recently specifically 5/8 carried no more than 10st 10lb.
- Previous Distance Form – 6/10 winners had at least four previous runs over three miles or further, 7/10 had at least one previous wins over three miles or further.
- Previous Chase Form – 10/10 winners had at least six previous Chase runs, 9/10 winners had at least two previous Chase wins. However, 10/10 had no more than 14 chase starts, with 8/10 having 10 or less Chase starts.
- Rating – 8/10 winners were rated 145 or higher.
- Season Form – 8/10 winners had at least one run that season.
- Location – 19/20 were UK based with one winner from Ireland and no French winners.
- Recent Form - 10/10 and 19/20 placed in their two most recent starts and 4/10 won their prior start.
- Favourites - Only 3/10 were sent off favourite.
- Experience - 15/25 and 6/10 were second season Chasers. The majority of the rest were in their third Chase season. Only 1/25 was a fourth season Chaser.
- Mares - Only three mares have competed in the race in the last ten years and none have finished in the first five.
Interesting stats and a fun fact
Although not classed strictly as trends, these are all useful to know about.
- Trainers (still active) - Paul Nicholls has won four, Nicky Henderson has won three and Venetia Williams has won two. No other trainer has won the race more than once.
- Jockeys (still active) - Harry Cobden, Harry Skelton, Charlie Deutsch, Gavin Sheehan, Ben Jones and Paul Townend have all won one renewal each. No active jockey has won the race more than once.
- Sires - Cloudings (Many Clouds and Cloudy Glen), Indian River (Madison du Berlais and Native River) and Presenting (Denman x2) have all sired the winner twice. Kings Theatre, Flemensfirth, Oscar, Shantou, Dom Alco, Walk In The Park, Soldier Of Fortune, Getaway and Saint Des Saint are all prominent National Hunt sires who have not yet sired a winner of the race.
- Fun Fact - The last two winners rated 156 or higher won the Gold Cup - Denman won the Gold Cup in 2008 and then this race in 2009. Whereas Bobs Worth won this race in 2012 before going on to win the Gold Cup in 2013.
2025 Entries & Betting Odds
After declarations on Thursday morning, we are left with the following contenders:
- Myretown @ 5/1
- Resplendent Grey @ 13/2
- The Changing Man @ 9/1
- Hyland @ 11/1
- Katate Dori @ 11/1
- Panic Attack @ 12/1
- Victtorino @ 14/1
- Inch House @ 16/1
- Spanish Harlem @ 16/1
- The Doyen Chief @ 16/1
- Blizzard Of Oz @ 18/1
- Gorgeous Tom @ 18/1
- Three Card Brag @ 22/1
- Ask Brewster (Reserve) @ 25/1
- O’Moore Park @ 25/1
- Perceval Legallois @ 25/1
- Lowry’s Bar @ 28/1
- Monty’s Star @ 28/1
- Pic Roc @ 28/1
- Intense Raffles @ 33/1
- Annual Invictus @ 50/1
- Grandeur d’Ame @ 66/1
- Moon d’Orange @ 66/1
- Riskintheground @ 66/1
- A Penny A Hundred @ 80/1
Trend Analysis
When exploring the trends for a race, you should highlight the horses that tick all of the right boxes, but also list those who fail on multiple points.
Horses to consider based on the trends:
- Resplendent Grey - The only trend he fails to meet is carrying less than 11st 6lb, as he is set to carry 11st 8lb. However, he is only 2lb more.
- The Doyen Chief - The only trend he fails to meet is being rated higher than 145, as he is currently rated 140 (137 for this race).
- Ask Brewster - The only trend he fails to meet is being rated higher than 145, as he is only rated 129 (133 if he gets in as reserve)
- Hyland - The only trend he fails to meet is a place in his latest two starts. However, the penultimate run was in the Grand National and the latest run was his reappearance.
Horses to avoid based on the trends:
- Myretown - Not enough runs at the trip, not enough chase starts, no recent run, rated below 145 and market favourite. In his defence, he won the Ultima Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival which could override the experience concerns at the trip and over fences.
- Monty’s Star - Carries 12st 0lb, only one chase win, no recent run, he’s based in Ireland and no placed effort in his last two starts.
- A Penny A Hundred - Just one chase win, rated below 145, she’s based in Ireland, no place in her last two starts and she is a mare.
- Grandeur d’Ame - Nine years old, only one chase win, had 16 starts over fences, rated below 145 and no place in her last two starts.
Betting Analysis - Who is the most interesting at the current odds?
Last but not least, here is my analysis of the current betting market for this year’s Coral Gold Cup.
- The amount of negatives against Myretown and his short price of 5/1 or less, mean I’ll be taking him on.
- The two most solid contenders for me are Resplendent Grey and Hyland, who are currently available at 13/2 and 11/1 respectively. I’m particularly interested in the latter.
- At 16/1, The Doyen Chief could be a lively contender at a nice price, if he can prove he has the class to perform at this level.
If I had to narrow it down to one, I’d go for Hyland. Although he doesn’t meet the recent form trend, he has excuses for that. He is also available at a lovely double figure price of 11/1. The fact that his trainer Nicky Henderson has won this race three times, further supports his case.
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