Key Points
- Today’s betting tip ticks a lot of boxes for Newbury’s feature race
- He has been given a prep run ahead of this early season target
- He’s handicapped to beat reopposing rivals ahead of him in the market
In today’s first article, we target the feature race of the day at Newbury, which is the Coral Gold Cup, formerly the Hennessy. If you missed my
trends article
covering this race, which went live yesterday, be sure to check it out. If you did see it, today’s selection will come as no surprise as he fared rather well based on the trends!
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Incidentally, if you like to bet in the antepost markets, then I have several that might grab your attention. Unfortunately, the price for my King George VI Chase selection has already been slashed following his recent win. However, there is still plenty of value left in my antepost picks for the
2026 Grand National
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Betting advice
- 14:55 Newbury -
Hyland
@ 16/1 (6 places) -
1pt each way
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Hyland looks to give Nicky Henderson a fourth win in this race!
Nicky Henderson has trained three Coral Gold Cup winners to date. He had Trabolgan in 2005, subsequent Gold Cup winner Bobs Worth in 2012, and Triolo D’Alene in 2013. Interestingly, the first two were second season Chasers like Hyland, so hopefully he can follow in their footsteps! I think he can, and in this article, I’ll explain why.
Hyland ticks a lot of boxes for Newbury’s feature race
For those who missed my Coral Gold Cup trends article, Hyland ticked plenty of boxes. First off, 14 of the last 15 winners, and 24 of the last 26 winners, were aged between six and eight. Eight of the last 10 winners have been either seven or eight years old, so Hyland fits the bill perfectly as an eight-year-old. All of the last 15 winners have carried 11st 6lb, or less, and he carries 11st exactly today. That said, eight of the last 10 winners have also been rated at least 145 and he fits that trend too, coming here off a mark of exactly 145.
He also meets the criteria of having at least four previous runs over three miles or further (12) and at least one win over three miles or further (three). He even matches the trend of at least six Chase starts (eight) and at least two Chase wins (three). There is a flip side to the trend, in that all of the last ten winners have had less than 14 starts over fences, with eight out of 10 having 10 or less, so Hyland even matches up there with a total of eight Chase starts!
Hyland has been given a prep run ahead of this main early season target
Another of the trends was that eight of the last ten winners had at least one prior run that season and he gets a tick in the box there too. Nicky Henderson gave him a prep run for this race at Cheltenham’s October meeting where he finished ninth, beaten by 11.5 lengths. However, despite the unappealing finishing position and distance beaten, he only weakened approaching the last, and he was awarded a RPR of 146, 1lb above today’s mark.
Interestingly, Nicky Henderson has commented publicly about Hyland, stating that
“he had a run at Cheltenham which he did need quite badly and we think we’re in a pretty good place.”. If as hoped he has come forward for that run, he could be very nicely handicapped here off a 2lb lower mark. Nicky also commented elsewhere that
“he enjoyed a spin around Newbury on the gallops morning earlier in the month. He schooled very well on Thursday morning, is in fine form at home and this race has always been the plan.”
On his two runs at Kempton last season, he ran to RPRs of 152 and 154. A performance of that level alone would see him very competitive off 145 but there could be even more to come on a more galloping track and over an extra 2f!
Hyland handicapped to beat reopposing rivals ahead of him in the market
There is some other form that I find particularly interesting, especially in relation to today’s race and his rivals in the market. At the time of writing, Hyland is quoted at a bigger price than both Resplendent Grey (13/2) and Katate Dori (11/1). But on paper (no certainty), he should have the beating of them at today’s weights.
He met Resplendent Grey at Cheltenham this time last year. He beat him by half a length that day and he is 11lb better off on these terms. Therefore, he must have every chance of confirming those placings. I appreciate Resplendent Grey has improved since, but there is every chance Hyland has more improvement to come too.
Then in February, he faced Katate Dori at Kempton. He was 15 lengths behind Katate Dori that day, who was a fantastic winner. However, he now finds himself a whole stone (14lb) better off with that rival, and I think that could see him reverse the form, especially over this longer trip, as Hyland was staying on well that day.
Can Hyland give Nicky Henderson his fourth Coral Gold Cup win?
As you can see, Hyland has tons in his favour here. He ticks an awful lot of the trend boxes, including having a recent run under his belt. Furthermore, his run in the Grand National, and his reappearance run have seen his mark fall by a couple of pounds. I think if the Hyland that was second to both The Jukebox Man and a very well handicapped Katate Dori turns up here, he is handicapped to strike.
In terms of negatives, you would have to consider his recent form figures of P9. However, the former was in the Grand National and it came too soon in his career, so that is forgivable. Then I wouldn’t pay much attention to his last run as it was simply a run to blow away the cobwebs for this race today. The other worry is the ground. The quicker the better for Hyland. There are a lot of conflicting weather forecasts for Newbury tomorrow, but there is a risk that they could get quite heavy rain. I’d be happy with his chances on Good to Soft, but genuinely Soft ground, or worse, would be a concern for me.
All in all, I think he is underestimated at a price of 16/1, and he’s a fantastic each way bet with the six places on offer at Betfair. Nicky has been quoted as saying, “this race has always been the plan” and if I had more confidence in the weather, I would be playing 2pts each way here, as I think he has an outstanding chance of finishing in the first six. However, with the niggling weather concern, considering just how unpredictable it is here in the UK, I’m keeping the stake at 1pt each way.
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