Key Points
- Today’s betting tip has a recent run under his belt
- He won’t get chance to land a Cheltenham hat trick, but Chepstow will do
- This horse is handicapped to strike at 3lb below his last winning mark
Certain horses come alive at certain times of the year. Today’s selection is one of those types as the last two times that April has come around, he has returned to winning ways. Therefore, as we reach his favoured time of the year again, I think he can bounce back to form and outrun his current odds, hopefully so much so that he wins for us!
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Betting advice
- 16:55 Chepstow -
Manothepeople
@ 5/1 -
1pt Win
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Manothepeople will live up to his name when he wins!
I think Manothepeople has a fantastic chance in today’s race and I feel he is underestimated and overpriced at odds of 5/1. In this article I’ll explain my thinking and hopefully by the end of it you’ll agree with me!
Manothepeople has a recent run under his belt
Many will have been disappointed with Manothepeople’s latest run at Newbury. However, that run last month was his first since November, so I find it very easy to forgive, as I’m sure he was expected to improve for it. He raced in rear and after a slow jump, he was detached at the third. His chances were then not helped by being slightly hampered at the 13th. From four out it was evident he had no chance and Jonathan Burke looked after him.
That run should have put him cherry ripe for today and if that is the case, I would expect to see him perform with significantly more zest and produce a much stronger finish to the race. It is also worth noting that the easy winner from last month’s race, Havaila, followed up with another win in the Sussex National in great style, franking the form.
Manothepeople won’t get a chance to land a Cheltenham hat trick, but Chepstow will do
The last two seasons, Manothepeople has won at Cheltenham’s April Meeting. In 2024, he saw out Paddy Brennan’s career with a win off a mark of 130. He went back for the same race to defend his title and won it again for Jonathan Burke off a mark of 133. Sadly with the final three meetings of the season at Cheltenham being cancelled, he was denied his opportunity to land a hat trick of wins in the race.
However, Fergal O’Brien looks to have found an ideal alternative. Like the Cheltenham race, this one is run over the same trip of 3m 2f, and it’s on a left-handed track like Cheltenham. It's also be decent ground at Chepstow, which Manothepeople loves. For his last two wins, the ground has been Good and whilst it’s officially Good to Soft at Chepstow, we have a very dry forecast, so I can see the ground drying out and being perfect for Manothepeople.
If anything, this task is actually an easier one being a Class 3 handicap opposed to the Cheltenham race which is a Class 2 handicap. Furthermore, he is a two time course winner here at Chepstow with the former win actually being over this C&D. He has to shoulder top weight of 12st but that is for good reason!
Manothepeople is handicapped to strike at 3lb below his last winning mark
As mentioned, Manothepeople’s last two wins have been off marks of 130 and 133. I’m sure he has been campaigned with that Cheltenham race in mind once again and he now finds himself back down to a mark of 130. As you can see, that is 3lb below his last winning mark and the same mark as his prior win. It’s not like he scraped home off the 3lb higher mark last April either, he absolutely bolted in by 12 lengths in what was arguably a career best performance from him.
He’s not getting any younger as he is now an 11-year-old, however, he was ten when he won at Cheltenham this time last year. In addition to that, he ran two respectable races over the same trip at Uttoxeter in June and July, producing very solid RPRs of 134 in both races in defeat. If he could match the performance of his latest win (RPR of 144), he would have a stone in hand off this current mark. He’s likely regressing slightly at his age but even if he was a few pounds short of that, it would still likely be enough to win this race.
Can Manofthepeople land another April win?
Although it’s not Cheltenham, this looks an ideal race for Manofthepeople, and with a recent run to blow away the cobwebs, he has no excuses fitness-wise. The form of his last race has worked out nicely, with the winner going in again next time out. Despite the switch to Chepstow, he is a two-time course winner with one of those wins over today’s distance. The going looks ideal as he’s a dual winner on Good to Soft, and has also landed three wins on Good going. Lastly, Manofthepeople is now 3lb below his last winning mark,and considering he won by 12 lengths that day, he must have every chance here.
In terms of negatives, he is 11years old now, and he’ll carry 12st here. However, he is the best horse in this Class 3 Handicap, considering that his last two wins were both in Class 2 Handicap races. Ideally he would prefer Good, rather than Good to Soft going, but the ground is likely to dry out further before his race. You could also argue that he didn’t show enough last time, but I believe he had excuses, so it doesn’t concern me in the slightest.
In fact, other than his age and weight, nothing else really concerns me at all. With so much in his favour, I think 5/1 is too big a price for Manofthepeople here, especially considering his April form in prior seasons. I think he is well worth a solid 1pt bet here, and hopefully he can deliver for us!
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