
What a fantastic week it’s been for my free betting tips here at Betting.co.uk! On Tuesday we had Jehol De Thaix win at 5/2, returning 3.5pts from our 1pt stake. Yesterday, we then had Geezer Rockstar win well at 14/1 to take us to 2/2 for the week. Our 0.5pt each way bet returned a fantastic 9.4pts. The racing tomorrow doesn’t look fantastic but there is exceptional All Weather action on Friday, so we’ll skip a day as we search for a hat trick of winners!
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At the time of writing, Wyld Bill is generally available at 6/1 and there is no real stand out in terms of the best horse racing odds, but William Hill is paying ¼ odds rather than ⅕ odds on places. The value doesn’t stop there either, if you sign up with William Hill and bet £10, you’ll get £30 in free bets. It’s a fantastic offer, that’s perfect for Easter weekend!
Wyld Bill has won for us previously, and in that respect, he owes us nothing, quite the opposite in fact. I don’t think he’s finished winning yet and I think he is more than capable of getting his nose in front at Lingfield on Friday.
Wyld Bill was originally purchased for 35,000 guineas as a foal. But after two underwhelming runs on the Flat for Michael Bell, and a 37 length defeat over Hurdles for James Owen, he was sold for just 1,000 guineas at the age of four. After two runs over an inadequate trip of 7f for new owner Chris Housego, and new trainer Denis Quinn, he was given a handicap mark of just 57.
He was stepped up in trip for his next race, but it was a little too much, as he didn’t quite see out the 1m 3f trip, despite showing plenty of promise. Next time out he was dropped to 1m 2f, and he won off a 1lb lower mark of 56. Since then he has recorded form figures of 612151113, and his handicap mark has risen from 56 to 88. A reminder he was picked up for just 1,000 guineas, what a bargain.
Although he was beaten last time, it was a very hot race, arguably a hotter one than today’s if you were to judge it on the ratings of his rivals, so there was no shame in that defeat. I think it was right up there as a career best for him in fact, and with the way he keeps on finding improvement, I think the best is yet to come. He is up 1lb for his third place there, but I think that could underestimate him.
As the old saying goes, “horse for courses” and it’s safe to say that Wyld Bill loves the 1m 2f trip at Lingfield. He has raced here three times in total with a 13 length victory in a Class 5 Handicap, a nose victory in a Class 4, and a close third (beaten 1.75 lengths) in a Class 2 Handicap.
For those who use RPRs as a guide, he recorded figures of 94, 92 and 94 for those three runs, which suggests he is still ahead of his current handicap mark of 88, without factoring in any further improvement. In my opinion, you probably want between 8lb and 12lb in hand to win a race of this nature. If Wyld Bill can run to 94 off a mark of 88, he has 6lb already. In theory, we only need him to find a further 2lb to 6lb to win this and with the way he’s progressing, I can see him doing exactly that.
I’m sure this race has been on the radar for Wyld Bill’s connections for a while. With the way he has been campaigned, he is top rated here, but just 9lb covers the whole field. It is also a big help to have Jack Dace in the saddle, taking 5lb off, and he gave Wyld Bill a cracking ride to win on his penultimate run, so I have no doubts about his ability.
In a valuable Handicap like this, most of the field have a good bit up their sleeve. After all, a ÂŁ65,000 prize pot is certain to attract plenty of worthy contenders, and it surely has. With a competitive field like this, it tends to come down to factors like the stall draw and how the race pans out.
As for Wyld Bill, he has landed the perfect draw in Stall 1, so given a decent jump from the stalls, he is pretty much guaranteed a prominent position on the rail. I see two others likely to go forward, Eupator (Stall 3) and My Fermoy (Stall 8). Penzance (Stall 4) and Londoner (Stall 10) won’t be far away either. I’m hopeful that at least one of them, if not a couple, can give Wyld Bill a tow through the race.
If he gets the ideal spot on the rail behind the leaders, with a strong pace to aim at, I’m hopeful he can produce a big finish late on. In a race of this nature, you’d be happy with a place, but I think Wyld Bill has every chance of landing the top prize.
It’s quite a remarkable story that Wyld Bill was picked up for just 1,000 guineas, and he’s already won £31,412. Today he has the opportunity to more than double that figure in a single race. He has an exceptionally progressive profile, and he’s showing no sign that his improvement is coming to an end. He thrives over C&D, and he has landed the perfect draw. Jack Dace takes off a valuable 5lb and he has won on the horse previously, giving him a great ride. With plenty of pace in the race, he could get the ideal set up and show us his best.
In terms of the negatives, he’s done plenty of winning, but it's possible the handicapper has finally caught up with him. He also carries top weight, so he must give weight to all of his rivals bar Unterberg. Whilst Jack Dace claims a valuable 5lb, there is always a risk attached to booking less-experienced jockeys. Furthermore, although a Stall 1 draw is perfect, he will need to get away fast, or risk getting boxed in. Last but not least, with such a huge prize pot up for grabs, this is a highly competitive race, and it won’t be an easy one to win.
There is certainly an awful lot to like about Wyld Bill, and at 6/1 with four places, he is a fantastic each way bet. That said, I’m not getting too carried away as this is no gimme, and I’m not prepared to go any higher than 1pt each way. Barring mishaps, I can’t see him being too far away here, and what a story it would be if he can win.
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