
Itās another busy Saturday with plenty of racing action. There are eight meetings today, five on the Flat and three over Jumps. The horse who stands out for me runs at Carlisle, he is currently available at 11/2 and I think heās worth a solid each way bet.
If youāre a regular reader, feel free to skip this paragraph, but for those who are not, I just want to quickly introduce myself. My name is Gavin Smith and Iām better known as RacingGav both here and over on X/Twitter. I have been operating under RacingGav since February 2022 and I have been the resident horse racing expert here since March 2025. I have been a full time tipster since January 2024, when I launched my Discord which is still active today (details at the bottom of this article)although Iāve been punting for much longer, over 12 years in fact.
My top priority is free horse racing tips, which I publish several times each week, with two on Saturdays. This one is my main betting tip and a Lucky 15 for the ITV Racing action will follow later this morning. Although there is ITV coverage at Carlisle, Chester and Beverley, all four of my Lucky 15 selections run at Carlisle today.
At the time of writing, most bookies have Washington Heights priced between 7/2 and 9/2. However, the best horse racing odds of 11/2 are available at William Hill. Thereās an excellent deal for new customers too. If you bet Ā£10 youāll get Ā£30 of free bets.Ā Fantastic all round value.
After assessing all of the contenders and their current prices, I think Washington Heights is by far the best option in this race, and Iāll explain why in the rest of this article.
I am very happy to draw a line through Washington Heightsā reappearance run at Newmarket last month for two reasons. Firstly, it was his first run for 193 days, so itās fair to assume he would have needed the run. Secondly, it was over 6f, and as he usually races over 5f, it was no surprise to see him weaken late on.
He returned to Newmarket earlier this month but dropped in trip to 5f. The issue this time is that the horses drawn low were evidently benefitted and he was drawn all the way over in stall 10. He was therefore up against it from the outset but the task was further amplified by Kevin Stott giving him a lot to do. He started to make eye-catching headway towards the finish but he was denied a clear run. The cynic in me would look at the ride he was given combined with the SP of 18/1 and I would wonder whether he was trying that day.
I donāt think he has any excuses here baring the potential of something happening in-running, so Iām expecting a big run.
The switch from Haydock to Carlisle for this racecard, makes this race extremely interesting. Only Washington Heights and Luna A Inbhir Nis have run at Carlisle in their careers to date. Luna A Inbhir Nis was beaten and Washington Heights won. No other horse has experience of the track and that could end up being a factor in the result.
Now for full context, Washington Heights win over C&D was back in June 2022 and it was only in a Maiden Stakes. However, itās course form nonetheless and itās an added bonus.Ā What I like about the switch to this track, is that Carlisle has a very stiff finish. Given that Washington Heights has very strong form over both 5f and 6f, I think heāll have the tactical speed required through the race but also the stamina to get up the hill powerfully. Whereas others may get found out at the business end of this race.
If we take a look at the key rivals here, we have Redorange, Celandine and Starlust ahead of Washington Heights in the market. Redorange did defy a hefty weight in a good Handicap last time out, but it was just a Handicap. His only start in Listed company saw him beat just one rival home. Celandine has Listed and Group 2 wins, but both were Fillies only. When she has come up against the boys at higher levels, she has come up short. Iit is worth noting that both of these horses are only four years old, so they have every right to improve but that doesnāt mean that they will. At their prices, Iād take them both on as Washington Heights has stronger form in the book.
The other ahead of him in the market is Starlust. Starlust is the top rated runner in the field and he has produced the strongest piece of form by winning the Grade 1 Breedersā Cup Turf Sprint back in November 2024. He has also won at Listed level in the UK as well as placing in two Group 1s here. However, we havenāt seen him on the track for nearly a year. The last time he came off a lengthy break was two starts back at Haydock and he was rusty (RPR of 106). Iād say itās more likely that this is a stepping stone than his main goal so he is also worth taking on. If he is fully tuned up and beats Washington Heights, Iāll take it on the chin.
For me, the second best bet at the prices would be Rogue Lightning (currently 6/1) but would he prefer slightly softer conditions? We then have Azure Angel, Ten Pounds and Luna A Inbhir Nis who need to improve on the form we have seen to date to be winning this, hence their double figure prices.
I think Washington Heights can make it 2/2 at Carlisle today. He had excuses for his first two runs, but I certainly donāt think he has any today. Having course form is always an advantage and he is already a C&D winner. He should relish the stiff finish here while others might struggle. Redorange and Celandine are less exposed, and could be improvers, but theyāre skinny in the market given they need to produce career bests to win. Unexposed yes, but also unproven at this level. Starlust is also opposable, as itās his first time out for nearly a year.
In terms of negatives, weāve seen four sub par runs from Washington Heights in a row and he needs to bounce back to the form he was in last summer to win this. He is also older and more exposed than the top two in the market, but on the flip side, he has stronger form in the book.
I think Washington Heights can beat Starlust, Azure Angel, Ten Pounds, and Luna A Inbhir Nis. Meanwhile, Redorange and Celandine could improve and if they do, fair play to them. Rogue Lightning could give us a real race but only if he handles todayās fast ground. Iād be disappointed if Washington Heights is out of the first three here, so, itās a solid 1pt each way for me.
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