Key Points
- Today’s betting tip has been progressive in her four Hurdle runs to date
- This looks a weak contest and she can exploit that to break her maiden tag
- Last time out she did the donkey work but she should get a lead this time
It’s time for my first
free horse racing tip
of the week! With Ffos Las sadly abandoned, I was left with four meetings to choose from: Limerick, Lingfield, Ayr and Newcastle. The horse I have landed on runs at Ayr in the 3m 0.5f Handicap Hurdle for the Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore yard. She is a progressive young mare and hopefully she can land a much deserved victory today!
If you’re just discovering my content, I’m RacingGav and I’m the resident horse racing expert here at Betting.co.uk. I publish several articles every week which include a mix of daily and antepost betting tips, big race trends, and educational guides, so there is something here for everyone! By the way, if you are looking forward to Cheltenham as much as I am, then it’s worth checking out my antepost picks for the
Pertemps Network Handicap
and the
Triumph Hurdle
while you’re here!
Betting advice
- 15:35 Ayr -
Biglesisback
@ 3/1
1pt Win
bet365 has the best odds for Biglesisback!
At the time of writing, the
best horse racing odds
for Biglesisback to win stand at 3/1. Once again, bet365 stands out from the crowd with this price as the majority are offering odds of 11/4 and one bookmaker is even as short as 5/2. This is not the first time that I’ve recommended bet365 for similar reasons. Plus, the brand's current welcome offer is excellent. If you
bet £10, you’ll get £30 of free bets. If you don’t already have an account, you might want to reconsider.
Biglesisback can secure a much deserved win here!
It’s been near miss after near miss for Biglesisback, as you can see from her form figures over hurdles of 3222. However, this looks a good contest for her and hopefully she can secure the overdue win. Likewise, it would be huge for her yard, who have had a tough time finding form this season!
Biglesisback has been progressive in her four Hurdle runs to date
Biglesisback is bred to be useful, as she's closely related to Pertemps winner Doddiethegreat, and is also a half-sister to winners Carries Des Camps (Bumper/2m-2m 4f Hurdle) and Jimmy Jimmy (Bumper/2m 4f hurdle). Her Dam was also a bumper and 2m-2m 5f Hurdle and Chase winner. This mare was bred and is owned by Kenneth Alexander, and you can tell the stable like her as they sent her over to Punchestown just for a Bumper. She looked set to run a big race when she was badly hampered down the inner.
She has carried plenty of confidence in her four Hurdle runs to date, sent off 4/1, 5/4F, 6/5 and 7/4. However, she has been expensive to follow as she has been close but no cigar in each of the runs. She started off with a third over 2m 4f at Perth. After that, she dropped back to 2m at Hexham where she finished second. She ran over 2m 5f and 3m the last twice but sadly generated second places in both.
To her credit, Biglesisback has shown a great attitude, battling well in defeat. It is also worth noting that she has bumped into some nice horses and also progressed with each run judged on her RPRs. Whilst she has been raised another 1lb for her latest run, she could progress further again and get her head in front here.
This looks a weak contest and Biglesisback can exploit that to break her maiden tag
Whilst this race is the same grade as last time, a Class 4 (0-110) Handicap, it looks weaker than her latest race at Musselburgh. Last time out, there were several horses rated 108, and Snowrocco was evidently well handicapped off 104. This time at 107, she is one of the highest rated horses in the race along with Gordon Elliott’s Kasanova’s Dream and Follow Charlie for R Mike Smith.
With Gordon Elliott sending over Kasanova’s Dream from Ireland, he must be respected. Gordon has a fantastic record here and this season alone, he has five winners and two seconds from just nine runners, so he doesn’t send them over for a day out. Champion Jockey Sean Bowen has been booked to ride, so they certainly mean business. That said, they race off level weights here and in my opinion, Biglesisback has the stronger looking form, so hopefully she can come out on top.
I also like the switch from Musselburgh to Ayr for her. Musselburgh can be quite a sharp track and she looks to be all about stamina. This big galloping track should play more to her strengths and could well bring about further improvement.
Last time out Biglesisback did the donkey work but she should get a lead this time
I thought Biglesisback’s latest defeat was quite cruel really. She wanted a good honest gallop but nobody ensured she got one. In that respect Gregor Walkingshaw’s hands were tied, and he had no choice but to try and make all. For the entire 3m trip, Biglesisback did the donkey work out in front, and softened up at the business end to get beaten by Snowrocco.
Looking at today’s race here at Ayr, we have Wise Move lining up for the Bewley stable. He typically likes to run at the front, so hopefully that will be the case here, and Biglesisback will be able to take her lead from him. If she can, I would expect her to finish her race off even more strongly and hopefully that will be the difference between hitting the woodwork and finally hitting the back of the net!
Can Biglesisback break her maiden tag
In terms of the positives, there are plenty in my eyes. Biglesisback has shown a very willing attitude, and progressive form in her Hurdle runs to date. This looks a weak contest, and hopefully it’s one she can exploit to break her maiden tag. Last time out, making the running was her downfall, and hopefully she won’t be asked to do that again, as Wise Move is likely to do it for her. Finally, I think the big galloping track at Ayr is much more suitable for her than the sharper track at Musselburgh she raced on last time.
In terms of the negatives, the fact she’s always been the bridesmaid is a slight concern. Sometimes horses keep bumping into one, and the 1lb rise for her latest run isn’t helpful either. In addition, she had a 10lb Claimer aboard last time out, and I would have quite liked to have seen similar tactics used to avoid her carrying top weight here. However, connections have opted to have Derek Fox in the saddle, which you could argue either way. However, it might prove tough for a mare to carry 12st in soft conditions.
All facts considered, I think she has a favourite’s chance of winning this race, and providing a much needed win! She was sent off 7/4 last time out, and if anything, I think this looks an easier task for her. I’d have her around a similar price again, if not a touch shorter. For that reason I think there is a good bit of juice in the 3/1 available with bet365. Nonetheless, I’m only playing a 1pt Win here rather than going any heavier.
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