Key Points
- Today’s betting tip thrived in a first-time visor which has been retained here
- The form of his latest run has worked out exceptionally well
- At 1lb below his last winning mark, this horse is handicapped to strike!
It’s time for my first daily betting tip of the week and this one runs in the Silver Trophy Handicap Chase at Haydock. You may be surprised to hear that Haydock is the track, as this race is usually run at Cheltenham, but it has been moved this season. The switch occurred after this year’s Cheltenham Festival, when Cheltenham’s chief executive announced that the next three meetings there were cancelled due to drainage issues in urgent need of attention. However, Cheltenham’s loss is Haydock’s gain, and if anything, I think our horse will thrive here!
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Betting advice
- 14:40 Haydock -
Moon d’Orange
@ 10/1 (3 places) -
1pt each way
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Moon d’Orange is underestimated at 10/1!
I was quite shocked when I looked at the market for this race and saw Moon d’Orange available at a double-figure price. I think it completely underestimates his chances here, and in this article, I’ll explain why.
Moon d’Orange thrived in a first time Visor which has been retained here
I tipped Moon d’Orange to my Discord members when he ran in the Plate Handicap Chase at the 2026 Cheltenham Festival. We took 50/1, he went off half that price and ran a stormer to finish in third place. He made a mistake at the third last, and dived at the second last, before powering up the famous Cheltenham hill to the finish. If you look at the sectional times, Moon d’Orange completed the final furlong in 15.22, which was only bettered by the impressive winner, Madara. I think the first-time visor in place that day was one of the reasons for his performance.
Ultimately, I think Moon d’Orange is a little difficult to place. He stays further than these 2m 4f races, and can be tapped for toe in them. However, he doesn’t fully convince that he has the stamina for Staying trips either. While he can usually be pushed along at various stages of the race, he impressed me with how well he travelled through the race at Cheltenham. He even managed to clock a faster top speed in the race (35.25mph) than the two who finished ahead of him (35.08mph and 35.05mph).
It’s always a gamble whether a visor will have the same effect on a horse the second time around. For some horses it's most effective the first time it’s used, but after that, the enhancement it provides can diminish. So let's hope the visor will continue to help Moon d’Orange focus, and bring out the best in him once again.
In terms of the Plate Handicap Chase, the form couldn’t have worked out any better. The race was won by Madara, who was clearly laid out for the race by the Skeltons. Madara was followed home by Will The Wise, for the Gavin Cromwell stable, who are no strangers to plotting one themselves. The pair were rated 140 and 141 on the day, and they were subsequently raised to 150 and 143; rises of 10lb and 2lb respectively.
Off these new marks, they both headed to Aintree for the Topham Handicap Chase, which is run over the Grand National fences. With an 8lb swing and a further 3lb provided by Conor Stone-Walsh’s claim, Will The Wise reversed the form and came home in front. Madara produced a gallant effort to finish in third, two and half lengths behind him.
The fact that the pair were able to absorb their handicap rises and produce result in another extremely competitive and valuable Handicap, just goes to show how well handicapped they were when they faced Moon d’Orange at Cheltenham. It is also worth stressing again that he made two huge errors during the race, and if that hadn't been the case, he would have finished even closer. Despite all of that, Moon d’Orange comes here off an unchanged mark of 128.
At 1lb below his last winning mark, Moon d’Orange is handicapped to strike!
Off a mark of 128, Moon d'Orange runs today off 1lb below his last winning mark. He landed a valuable Handicap at Cheltenham on Trials Day last year off 129, scooping the first place prize of over ÂŁ56,000. For me, seeing him win a race of that nature, suggests this horse has plenty in hand.
It’s not just that one piece of form either, he has finished second and third off marks of 128, 128, 130 and 125 previously, so he can certainly be very competitive at that level. Furthermore, it is also worth noting the form of the Silver Trophy last year. Moon d’Orange came to the race rated 137, and he still managed to finish fourth, beaten just three and half lengths. Therefore, he is carrying 9lb less this time, which is noteworthy.
The winner that day was Riskintheground, who is the reopposing favourite at the time of writing. Riskintheground looks set to repeat the feat off a 1lb lower mark, and on face value, that is very appealing. However, Moon d’Orange has an 8lb weight advantage to reverse that three and half lengths. Considering that, I think Moon d'Orange is being overlooked, and I'm also convinced that if their trainers, were reversed, Moon d'Orange would be at the top of the market.
Moon d’Orange ticks so many boxes for me here. The visor he wore last time is retained, and it made a huge impact on how he travelled. The form of that race has also worked out extremely well, with Madara and Will The Wise franking it at Aintree last weekend. Moon d’Orange stays on the same mark of 128, which could underestimate him, especially as he’s 1lb below his last winning mark, and 9lb below the mark he ran off when he was fourth in this race last year.
In terms of negatives, Moon d’Orange can throw in a bad jump, and sometimes he simply blows cold. However, he often has excuses when he’s not at his best and he’s coming into this race in great form. Another negative is that he’s unraced at Haydock, so we can't be sure how he’ll perform at the track. That said, I don’t think that Haydock is much of a jumping test nowadays, so the move here could actually play to his strengths. I certainly think this track takes less jumping than Cheltenham!
All elements considered, I think he’s underestimated and overpriced at 10/1. Especially when you consider that Riskintheground is 7/2 favourite, despite Moon d’Orange being favoured on their tied form lines. Moon d’Orange has a lovely racing weight of 10st 10lb, which reduces to 10st 7lb with Callum’s 3lb claim. Callum is also fantastic value for that claim and gave Moon d’Orange a cracking ride last time out, so I'm pleased to see him retained for this ride. If it wasn't for a couple of niggles, I’d be tempted to have a bigger bet, but I’m not going to get carried away, and I’m going with a solid 1pt each way bet.
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