Key Points
- Today’s horse racing betting tip loves this course and distance
- He is handicapped to strike at 2lb below his last winning mark
- This is the right grade of race for him and he’s landed a lovely draw
Yesterday’s racing wasn’t the finest and I subsequently opted for an
antepost double for the 2026 Cheltenham Festival
instead. Today we have a bit more to work with and I have found a horse that I like a lot. He runs in the finale over at Lingfield and I think he is a fantastic each way bet!
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Betting advice
- 15:30 Lingfield -
Mart
@ 5/1 ( places) -
1.5pts each way
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Mart can land his first win since changing owners!
Back in September, the previous owners of Mart, the Quest Thoroughbreds syndicate, sold him to the Racing To Profit syndicate. I think he was a great purchase for them, and I was pleased to see they decided to keep him at Dylan Cunha’s yard. He is the perfect horse for a syndicate and he is unlucky not to have landed a win for them already. I believe that today he can do exactly that.
Mart loves this course and distance
Mart loves the AW track here at Lingfield! He has run on it nine times to date, recording two victories, three seconds and a third place. That is an impressive 66.67% strike rate for finishing in the first three. It’s also worth noting that on the three occasions he didn’t finish in the first three, he had excuses. He was denied a clear run, he was pestered for the lead and he was drawn in stall 10.
His latest attempt here came in late November when he could only finish fifth. But I’d put a line through that run, as he had a terrible draw in stall ten. I’d focus more on his run over C&D in late October when he looked the winner. However, he was overtaken in the final strides and defeated by a neck. The pair pulled more than two lengths clear of the other runners that day and he looked an incredibly unlucky loser.
Mart is handicapped to strike at 2lb below his last winning mark
He may only be 68 rated but Mart is a seven time winner in his career to date with a further seven places to go with them. Those wins range from October 2023 to as recently as May of this year. Those wins came off marks of 61, 63, 67, 71, 75, 75 and 70. Therefore, we know he is more than capable of winning off his current mark of 68. His latest win was off 2lb higher and he has won off 7lb higher twice in the past.
The latest of those wins came over this C&D in May off 70 and the third last win came over this C&D off a mark of 75 back in May last year. As touched upon already, he should have won off this mark in October but his run last month was eye-catching when he stayed on from the rear of the field (due to an unfavourable draw) when rated 2lb higher. He is handicapped to win off 68 and hopefully today’s race falls his way from a kind draw.
This is the correct grade for Mart and he’s landed a lovely draw
In my opinion, the key to Mart is Class 5 handicaps. His overall record by Class reads as follows: -
- Class 3 - 2 runs, 0 wins, 0 places
- Class 4 - 13 runs, 0 wins, 2 places
- Class 5 - 19 runs, 6 wins, 4 places
- Class 6 - 3 runs, 1 win and 1 places
As you can see, he has a fantastic record in Class 5 company, where he has either won or placed in over half of his 19 starts. However, when he steps up into Class 4 company, he has failed to win in 13 runs, although to his credit he has placed twice.
In addition to being in the right grade, he has also landed a lovely draw in stall three which gives him an enormous chance. Even more so as all of the strongest pace angles are drawn out wider than him - Namely Twilight Madness in stall five and potentially Faustus, Lazzar and Balon D’or drawn out in stalls six, seven and ten. I can see him jumping out of the stalls well, taking the rail and then either leading the field or allowing something from out wider to come and give him a tow into the race - I’d be perfectly happy with either scenario.
Can Mart get his head back in front?
As my regular readers will know, I often say that before deciding on a bet, you must consider three things: the positives, the negatives and the price. For Mart today, there is an abundance of positives. He is a dual C&D winner, he’s handicapped to strike, and Class 5 races certainly appear to be his sweet spot. Add to that the fact that he has a lovely low draw today, and he also has a good jockey booking.
In terms of negatives, I really am struggling to find any, other than the fact he’s on a seven run losing streak. However, he has excuses for those runs, and as a result of them, he’s contesting here off a very attractive mark of 68. Price wise, I think 5/1 is a fantastic price, and it also opens up the option to back him each way.
Annoyingly he opened up at 8/1 with bet365, but understandably, that didn’t last long. Nevertheless, I still think 5/1 is too big, and personally I see him towards the top of the market, around the 2/1 or 3/1 mark. I knew instantly that I wanted to have at least 1pt each way here. I even toyed with the idea of 2pts each way. However, after due consideration, I have decided to opt for the middle ground of 1.5pts, which is more a reflection of the type of race, and luck needed in running, rather than Mart himself.
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