Key Points
- Let’s add some fun to Saturday with a Lucky 15 bet
- Tune in for the ITV Racing action to watch these four horses run
- My four best picks for this week race at Doncaster and Aintree
Over the past few weeks, I have been posting Lucky 15 selections for the ITV Racing coverage. These are aimed at the more casual punters that turn up for the big Saturday action, but it’s out there for anyone to have some fun with. Everybody seems to be enjoying them, so I have another one for you today!
If you’ve just come across my content for the first time, I’m RacingGav and I’m the resident horse racing expert at Betting.co.uk. Part of my role here means I produce four or five articles per week, which are generally betting tips. They might be daily betting tips, antepost picks, or one like this where I put together a Lucky 15 for you. Beyond those, you’ll find other types of content like educational guides and big race trends.
If you want some reassurance before following my betting tips, my profit and loss is always made transparent, and posted monthly. In fact,
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(up to the end of October) are already available. But to cut a long story short, you’ll see that in the eight months I’ve been tipping for Betting.co.uk, I have produced a ROI of +28.24%, which increases to +33.37% for those who take advantage of Best Odds Guaranteed (BOG).
Betting advice - An each way Lucky 15
- 13:25 Doncaster - Apollo One @ 5/1 (3 places)
- 14:05 Aintree - Netywell @ 16/1 (3 places)
- 14:40 Aintree - Excello @ 8/1 (5 places)
- 15:45 Doncaster - Miller Spirit @ 14/1 (5 places)
Back this week’s Lucky 15 at Betfred!
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Some tasty prices, ideal for today’s Lucky 15!
As a general rule, I tend to look for value deeper in the market, which means I don’t just select short-priced favourites and play the win only game. Instead I seek out horses I believe can outperform their bigger odds. With this strategy, all they need to do is to run into a place to produce a healthy return, and if they all win, we’re laughing!
Apollo One @ 5/1 - He should have won last time and Paul Mulrennan can make amends here!
In very simple terms, Paul Mulrennan had a nightmare on Apollo One last time out at Ascot, which ultimately cost him a win. This may sound like pocket talk, but even his wife, Adele, who was working for ITV Racing on the day, had to admit he had a shocker. Apollo One travelled very strongly, but repeatedly ran into trouble. He finally got clear in the final furlong, and was denied by a short head by Annaf.
Apollo One produced a very strong RPR of 114 that day, and everybody could see that he was an incredibly unlucky loser in a race that he had won the year prior. That was his best performance of the season, and if he can achieve a similar performance, he has every chance here. He has 5lb to find with Spycatcher and Art Power on ratings, but he also receives 5lb from them. The real challenge (on paper at least) is Montassib, who is rated 7lb higher and runs off level weights. But it must be said that Montassib has not looked the same since coming back from a lengthy absence.
At an each way price, I’d be disappointed if Apollo One doesn’t back up his latest run at Ascot, and manage a place at least. With a much kinder passage through than last time, he has a great chance of coming out on top, particularly if Montassib continues to misfire.
Netywell @ 16/1 - He travelled powerfully last time before fading!
We head over to Aintree for the second leg of today’s Lucky 15, where I’ve picked Netywell for the 2m Handicap Chase. Interestingly, connections ran Netywell in this race two years ago, and he finished third. Looking back, that form reads well, as the first two horses to cross the line were Djelo and Master Chewy. Djelo is now rated 163 and Master Chewy has a rating of 157. So, it’s safe to say Netywell bumped into two smart horses that day, especially considering they were running off 128 and 131 at that time
After another third place at Wetherby next time out, Netywell rattled off a hat-trick of wins off marks of 110, 117 and 124, which saw his mark rise to 131. He understandably struggled off this revised mark, but ran many solid races in defeat. He started this season off a lower mark of 125 and I thought he ran a very encouraging race at Kelso, considering it was his first time out after a 185 day break. Netywell travelled very well, then got tired at the business end, which is easily forgivable.
To add a bit more context on that race, It was made worse by fences being omitted, putting much more emphasis on stamina. In addition, it was Good ground and he prefers it softer. Lastly, the winner of that one, Thistle Ask, went on to win the Haldon Gold Cup yesterday, and in doing so completed a remarkable quick fire hattrick! So it’s safe to say the form has worked out well. With so many reasons to mark up that Kelso run, Netywell must have a huge chance here off a 2lb lower mark, more favourable ground, and with a run already under his belt!
Excello @ 8/1 - He was running a huge race in the Topham before making a bad mistake!
The next race at Aintree today is the Grand Sefton Handicap Chase, which is run over the iconic Grand National fences. Here, I could make a case for a few like Gaboriot, Vintage Fizz, and Excello. However, it is the Nicky Henderson-trained Excello that has caught my attention. My longer-term followers might remember that I tipped Excello for the Topham Chase back in April this year. https://www.betting.co.uk/news/betting-tips-2025-aintree-festival-day-2/.
For those less familiar with my tips, the Topham Chase in April, and the Grand Sefton Chase in November are run over the same C&D. It’s a 2m 5f trip around the Grand National course. I thought Excello would run a huge race in the Topham, and I believe he was doing exactly that until he made a race-ending error at the second last. His finishing position of 14th, beaten 28 lengths, certainly doesn’t reflect his performance that day.
Excello has been dropped 2lb for that run and comes straight here after his summer break. The lack of a recent run is a slight concern, but Nicky Henderson has publicly stated that he took Excello to Newbury a week or two ago (for a schooling session), which will have blown the cobwebs away. Meaning that the horse should be fit and ready to go here. While this is a mightily competitive race, it’s actually an easier race than the Topham in terms of quality. Excello’s best-rated rival here is Johnnywho off 146, whereas in the Topham, it was the 158-rated Ash Tree Meadow. At the age of just six, Excello has every reason to still be improving, he should enjoy the juice in the ground today, and I think he will relish this test.
Miller Spirit @ 14/1 - He was only beaten three lengths last year and comes back off a lower mark!
Last but not least, we have Miller Spirit, who runs for Gary & Josh Moore stable in the November Handicap, which is worth £70,000. This horse is at his best when he’s tackling a 1m 4f trip on testing ground, which is exactly what he gets today. He also competed in last year’s renewal, finishing sixth, beaten by just three lengths off a mark of 97 (RPR of 101). He carried 9st 6lb that day, but it’ll be a very different story this time around.
He returns off a mark of 89, which is 8lb lower than last year. That alone gives him an exceptional chance. However, his yard has furthered this by bringing in Gary’s grandson and Josh’s nephew, Toby Moore, to ride. He is the son of world-famous jockey Ryan Moore and he claims 7lb. As a result, Miller Spirit effectively runs off a mark of 82, and carries just 8st 1lb here. With 19lb less to carry, he will think he’s running free today compared to last year.
We must forgive his last run, where Miller Spirit was beaten by a short head, then later disqualified due to Toby weighing in 15lb light after the race. However, I do wonder if this race has been the plan since this time last year, and that Newbury run was just intended to sharpen him up for this. Basically, with the weights on his side, if Miller Spirit can replicate last year’s performance, he has the potential to blow this competitive field away.
In my opinion, all four of these selections have a fantastic chance in their respective races. They also have a few question marks, but as a result, we get some lovely prices!
- Can Apollo One back up his latest run and will Montassib continue to run below his previous best?
- Can Netywell bounce back now that he’s handicapped to strike and has conditions to suit?
- Can Excello get redemption at Aintree after his mishap in the Topham?
- Can Miller Spirit replicate last year’s performance off this reduced mark to land Toby Moore his first big race win?
I’m quietly confident that all four of our horses can answer these questions, and if they do, we’ll be in for one hell of a Saturday afternoon!
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