Today's horse racing market movers
In this article, I’ll be taking a closer look at the early market movers ahead of a packed Saturday of racing, examining which horses are attracting notable support and which ones are beginning to drift and where the
best horse racing odds
lie. Early activity in the betting markets can often reveal plenty about a horses chances, ground preferences, and how well-fancied certain runners are for their weekend targets. By tracking the patterns we can get a useful insight into where the smart money may be heading. Some horses are already being backed as if defeat is out of the question, shortening steadily as punters latch on, while others are losing their early appeal and easing out in price. The aim here is to break down the key movers, highlight the most interesting shifts, and assess what they might indicate for the major contests to come and can we pull any
horse racing tips
from these moves.
Here are the top 4 horses who have been well backed
#1 El Cairos 7/4 ➡️ 10/11
Leopardstown 12:35
One of the standout clashes of the day comes in this maiden hurdle, featuring El Cairos and Doctor Du Mesnil, and it promises to be a fascinating contest. El Cairos has been extremely well backed since the markets opened and is now an odds-on favourite, having initially opened as second favourite. Formerly with David Maxwell and Gary Moore, he has since joined Gordon Elliott, and the early expectation is that he is a horse of real talent. That confidence looks well founded, and the booking of Jack Kennedy only strengthens the case, with market support suggesting he is the one most expect to come out on top.Doctor Du Mesnil, to be fair, has only had the one start so far, but he made a very strong impression on that occasion and clearly possesses plenty of ability himself. He now steps up to make his hurdles debut, just like El Cairos, adding another layer of intrigue to the race. With both horses open to significant improvement and representing top connections, this has all the ingredients of a high-quality maiden hurdle and should be a hugely exciting race to watch.
#2 Superstylin 13/8 ➡️ 4/9
Fontwell 12:32
Superstylin won’t get a better opportunity to get his head in front than he does here, having placed on each of his last three starts. The form of those runs is more than strong enough to win a three-runner contest like this, and on paper he sets a clear standard. The market support reflects that view, suggesting he should take plenty of beating and is rightly expected to make this chance count.
#3 Clap Of Thunder 11/2 ➡️ 7/4
Market Rasen 1:15
There has been a big move in the market this morning for Clap Of Thunder. The novice hurdle winner from last season has had just one run so far this campaign, finishing fourth after a 308-day lay-off and following a wind operation during the summer. That run should have brought him on significantly, and he now switches to fences while also stepping slightly up in trip. The strong market support suggests connections are expecting a bold show on his chasing debut, with that reappearance under his belt and a second run after the wind procedure. Jamie Brace takes a valuable 5lb off, which further strengthens his case, and he lines up here off a revised mark of 112. All things considered, he looks well placed to deliver a big performance and, on the evidence available, he is likely to take all the beating in this contest.
#4 Jaitroplaclasse 11/1 ➡️ 7/2
Sedgefield 1:25
This horse was a winner off a mark 3lb lower two starts ago, but his last two runs have been disappointing, having fallen on one occasion and then being well beaten last time out. However, the six-year-old has attracted some strong support in the market this morning, which is notable. Charlie Price takes over the ride again, having missed the previous run, and he claims a valuable 3lb once more. With that in mind, the latest run can be viewed more as a confidence booster following his fall the time before, rather than a true reflection of his ability. The return of Charlie Price in the saddle looks significant, especially given the market backing, and connections will be hoping for a much improved performance. On the evidence of his earlier form and with conditions seemingly more in his favour, he is surely expected to go close again here if putting it all together.
Here are the top 4 horses who are friendless in the market
#1 Indeevar Bleu 2/1 ➡️ 7/2
Aintree 1:40
Aintree 1:40Indeevar Bleu, originally sent off favourite, represents Olly Murphy with Jack Tudor taking over the ride from Sean Bowen, and he has taken a noticeable walk in the market at these early stages. He is now 3lb higher following his second-place finish to Tutti Quanti on his seasonal reappearance, leaving him to compete from a mark of 129. He also steps up in trip to 2m4f, which may help, but this is unquestionably a stronger race than those he has encountered previously. The key question is whether he remains well treated off this mark, as he will need to find a fair bit of improvement to be competitive at this level. While there are positives in terms of connections and the potential for progress with the extra distance, the current market weakness suggests confidence may be limited. On balance, he looks to face a stiff test and will have to take a significant step forward to defy both the rise in the weights and a deeper field.
#2 Doctor Du Mesnil 8/11 ➡️ 6/4
Leopardstown 12:35
El Cairos is seeing strong support, while this horse, who has been a huge talking point in the lead-up to the race, has begun to drift in the market. His bumper performance was nothing short of brilliant, and over 2m3f he showed both a sharp turn of foot and the stamina required to put the field decisively to bed. On that evidence, he clearly looked an exciting prospect for the future. However, this is only his second career start, and he is going to have to be exceptional to get the better of a horse as experienced as El Cairos. The current weakness in the market would also have to be considered a slight concern at this stage. Whether he can defy that drift remains to be seen, but the raw ability is certainly there. Either way, you would expect both of these horses to be competitive and making their presence felt in the novice divisions as the season unfolds.
#3 Florita 6/4 ➡️ 11/2
Wetherby 12:32
Florita has been a big drifter in the market this morning and looks largely friendless at present. She made a successful switch to fences last time, winning on her chase debut off a mark of 74, but she now finds herself 9lb higher here, which represents a fairly significant rise in the weights. That increase was always likely to make life much tougher in this company, and in hindsight she was probably the wrong favourite when initially priced up at 6/4. On balance, it is hard to be overly confident that she is good enough to cope with this higher mark, and the current market move appears to reflect that view.
#4 Galaxy Wonder 13/8 ➡️ 11/4
Wolverhampton 5:35
Tony Carroll has enjoyed a few nice winners of late, so it is interesting to see his runner Galaxy Wonder drifting in the market here. He ran a solid race to finish third at Kempton on his stable debut, suggesting he has settled in well. He now steps up further in trip, which should suit, especially as he is already a winner over this distance off the same mark of 53, a success that came back in July. On paper, there are plenty of reasons why he could have been well supported in the betting, but instead he appears notably weak in the market. It will be interesting to see whether that drift continues closer to the off and, more importantly, how he performs on the track under these conditions.
Every Weekend I will be assessing the days biggest market movers and their chances on the day.
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