Expert Punter
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We are gradually edging closer to the Jumps season, so for Friday’s racing we are heading off to Fontwell for the evening Jumps card. I’ve put together an each way Lucky 15 for you to take a look at, and I’m feeling confident in my selections. Let’s hope we can take a bit of profit off the bookies before the weekend action.
On Saturday there are Flat meetings at Sandown and Chester, but as things stand I am going to focus on the Jumps card at Newton Abbot, where there are some very interesting prospects for the season ahead of us. Make sure that you come back tomorrow to check out my picks.
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We start off with the opening race at Fontwell. Sami Bear and No Mean Feat both achieved second places last time out, and look in good shape for this contest. However, I’m not convinced that either of them has much more to offer and believe they are worth taking on here.
I see Gary Brown’s Graffiti as a viable alternative here. He is only a five-year-old, but he is quickly becoming a useful dual-purpose prospect. His last run over Hurdles was back in October, where he ran creditably behind Enthused. Since then he has run very consistently on the all weather. He is a strong-travelling sort who takes everything in his stride and Isabelle Ryder takes a valuable 10 lbs off his back here. Graffiti is well-handicapped here and open to plenty of improvement over Hurdles, so I believe he has a good chance of getting the job done for us.
Next up we have the Novices’ Handicap Chase and there are plenty of exposed horses in the lineup. Invictus De Brion could have a chance for the Chris Gordon team, but he has a habit of racing much too keenly and that would be a big concern for me.
Getting straight to the point, I’m going for Camino Rocio, who drops back substantially in trip here. He has always travelled well in his races before fading in the final few furlongs, so I think Henrietta Knight has made a very good judgement call here. He is fairly well handicapped off this mark, and if he is allowed to go from the front I think he will be very difficult to catch.
In the Stayers’ Chase we have just seven runners, including a few with some nice credentials. Cape Vidal has been very consistent for Anthony Honeyball, and is sure to go well again, but he has been a tad difficult to win with. Meanwhile, My Gift To You showed plenty of good form at the beginning of the year, but he is starting to look a little exposed.
I’m going to side with Pilot Show for the Warren Greatrex team. Last time out, he made a mistake at the fourth last, and wasn’t pushed after that as a precautionary measure. I’m more than willing to excuse that. Otherwise he has done nothing but improve and has stacked up some creditable form along the way too. Pilot show usually jumps very well, he runs off a handy mark, and he has James Bowen in the saddle. I think he can get right back on track here, and I’m expecting to see a big run.
The final leg of my Lucky 15 runs in the final race of the day. There are a fair few in the lineup with moderate form, and it’s always possible they could improve running in Handicap company, but I have my doubts. No More Bolero and Selectivelistening are the best of those, although both would need to find a fair bit to win here.
The most solid option is Lightening Gesture. He has run really well on his last two outings, and a repeat performance of either will see him get very competitive here. Although we haven’t seen him since last season he holds stronger credentials than most based on his previous form.I fully expect the Newland team to send him here fit, and he is very well-handicapped. I am more than happy to give him a chance as one of the less-exposed runners in this race, and the one with the strongest form.
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