
Thomas Frank takes his Brentford side to Old Trafford on Saturday with The Bees currently 3 places and 2 points better off than their hosts in the table.
Despite making a decent start to the season, Brentford are yet to win away from home so far, losing all 3 of their matches on the road at Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham. United find themselves down in 14th in the league standings after their worst start to a season since the 1989/90 campaign, before the PL era even began and goalscoring has become a serious issue for them.
The Red Devils haven’t scored in any of their last 3 games in the league and have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 PL matches. Moreover, they have scored a tragic 1 goal in the league at Old Trafford all season, with Erik ten Hag’s men losing their last 2 home matches in the PL 3-0 to Tottenham and Liverpool respectively.
Frank’s side, despite not gaining a point away from the GTech stadium so far, are playing some entertaining football, and scoring in all but one match is a testament to this philosophy.
I feel the likes of Brian Mbeumo, Keane Lewis-Potter, and Kevin Schade down the sides will cause full-backs Diogo Dalot and Nousair Mazraoui all sorts of problems. As a result, I expect Frank’s team to target this as a way of getting in behind United which could lead to their opponents running back towards their own goal.
Brentford signed off before the International break with a quite crazy game when they beat Wolves 5-3 and the attacking players at least will come into the game in a fairly confident mood. The camp will have a genuine belief in leaving Old Trafford with a result.
A defeat could well spell the end for underfire boss ten Hag, who seems to be walking a tightrope with every game he faces. If this current group of Brentford players makes history by winning away at United for the first time in 87 years then this might just be the nail in the coffin for the Dutchman.
When it comes to the betting options for this clash, given the current form of both sides and the Old Trafford crowd potentially becoming a hindrance to their own team, I had to look at the Double Chance and handicap markets looking to side with the visitors.
Brentford-Draw in the double chance market is best priced at 13/10 with Star Sports. Couldn’t quite pull the trigger though knowing Brentford have lost all 3 of their PL games on the road so far.
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Another market to consider is the Team to Score First option. The remarkable early scoring continues for Frank’s men, The Bees have scored first in 6 of their 7 PL games this term and this certainly couldn’t be overlooked and the bet365 best price of 7/4 gets the nod from me for half a point stake.
For the main bet of the article, it’s the Total Away Corners market to focus on. bet365 offers the industry's best price of 10/11 on over 4.5 corners for Brentford.
The average number of corners conceded by Ten Hag’s side at home is 4.3 from their 3 PL games and I think The Bees will try and hurt United with balls down the channels and in behind. I, therefore, can see some frantic defending from the home side as they retreat towards goal and this bet should be closer to 8/11 according to my model.
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It’s well known The Bees are a big threat from dead-ball situations, with Frank’s team notching 2 goals from set pieces already this season. In the last 2 matches, Brentford have accumulated 17 corners alone and for the season they have gained 34 corners in just 7 fixtures, giving them an average of 4.86.
I expect the United defence to come under some serious pressure at some point during the game and, having given away 13 corners from their 3 matches at Old Trafford in the league this term, this statistic could well rise when Brentford turn up.
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