Key Points
- Toffees finding it sticky towards the bottom
- Home statement needs to be made by United
- Two value bets for Sunday afternoon
Recently appointed Manchester United manager Ruben Amorim will be looking to go one better than the draw his side picked up away at Ipswich in his first game as head coach last weekend.
United are still looking for improvement following the departure of former boss Erik ten Hag last month and perhaps there could be no better opponent for The Red Devils to face than Sean Dyche’s Everton.
The Toffees are currently hovering just 3 places and 2 points above the relegation zone after only 2 wins from 12 so far this campaign. So another season of flirting with relegation is set to be in store for the blue half of Merseyside.
United are 12th, 5 points better off than their opponents going into the fixture on Sunday afternoon and with renewed optimism after Amorim’s appointment.
Toffees lacking bite
To say Everton have struggled in front of goal this campaign would be an understatement. The Toffees have found the net just 10 times in their 12 PL games so far, the joint 2nd lowest in the league. Moreover, they have only managed 5 goals in 6 games on their travels which is the 3rd lowest of any team.
Sean Dyche’s men have failed to score in 6 of their 12 fixtures (the highest total of any team in the top-flight) and in 3 of their 6 matches away from Goodison Park. They are without a goal in the last 3 games and have only managed to score 3 times in the last 6 games. This lack of cutting-edge talent is becoming an alarming concern for Everton.
He’s a keeper
Despite their severe lack of firepower upfront, the one positive for Everton is they don’t concede too often, with goalkeeper Jordan Pickford keeping 4 clean sheets already this campaign. Dyche generally sets his side up as being resolute and difficult to break down which in my opinion is probably the reason why they have such a blunt attack.
The fact The Toffees have only shipped 2 goals in their previous 6 PL matches shows the solid foundation defensively and United could need a lot of patience on Sunday if they are to come out on top and claim victory.
Andre Onana has been in even better form between the sticks for United, keeping the most number of clean sheets with 5. This has helped The Red Devils’ have the 2nd best record for shut-outs after arch-rivals Liverpool who have 6.
United woes in front of goal
As poor as Everton have been in front of goal this term, United aren’t firing much better themselves. Ruben Amorim’s side have failed to score in 4 of their 12 PL matches and their 13 goals is the 15th lowest in the league.
The Red Devils have also only scored 7 times at Old Trafford and the 2 first-half goals they managed in their last PL fixture on home soil against Leicester are the only times they have found the net in the first half at home.
United still have an attacking edge over Everton
That being said, United have scored in each of the last 8 games in a row and in 9 of the last 10 so perhaps are starting to sharpen their tools in the opposition box.
Taking this into account, it’s difficult to expect many goals in this clash as both sides lack a cutting edge. However, it’s United who pose the more attacking threat in my opinion.
Theatre of dreams could turn to terrors for Toffees
Dyche takes his Everton team to Old Trafford more in hope than any expectation as the Goodison Park faithful begin to grow tired of their teams’ style of play as well as lack of results.
Draw/Man United at 7/2 with StarSports
Given how I expect The Toffees to set up to try and frustrate United, I did pay attention to the Half-time/Full-time market, with Draw/Manchester United best priced at 7/2 with
StarSports.
Both United and Everton have been level at the break in exactly half of their games this season. Moreover, United are fairly solid defensively yet have had a major issue with scoring first-half goals, so I feel there is value in this.
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The cautious alternative: half-time draw at 6/4 with Unibet
For those slightly more risk-averse, you could take the game to simply be a draw at half-time,
Unibet
are offering best odds of 6/4 on this being the case. Given both sides' records of being a stalemate at half-time and The Toffees being level in 5 of their last 6 fixtures.
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Top tip: Man United + under 4.5 goals at 5/6 with bet365 BetBuilder
I did find a slightly more solid option though for the main betting tip, it’s once again based around the clash being a low-scoring affair with United edging out Dyche’s side. The fact Everton haven’t scored in 4 of their last 6 and in each of the last 3 games gives me confidence we can keep the number of goals relatively low.
I would expect Onana and his backline and keep the Toffees at bay conceding a maximum of one goal. United have won each of the last 3 fixtures against Everton without conceding and the last 5 games they have won have been with 4 or fewer goals being scored.
That leads me to tip a United win and under 4.5 goals, that’s best priced at 5/6 via a BetBuilder with
bet365.
All the stats point to another blank for misfiring Everton and I believe Amorim’s United, with the crowd behind them, will have enough quality to send their opponents back to Merseyside pointless. By full-time, Amorim could be collecting his first 3 points as United boss in his very first attempt at Old Trafford and leaving The Toffees with a sour taste in their mouths.
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Manchester United vs Everton Best Bet
- Market:
BetBuilder (Match Result and Over/Under 4.5)
- Selection:
Manchester United/Under 4.5
- Odds:
5/6
- Stake:
1.25pts
- Bookie:
bet365
- Market:
Half-time/Full-time
- Selection:
Draw/Manchester United
- Odds:
7/2
- Stake:
0.25pt
- Bookie:
StarSports
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