Melbourne v Collingwood Betting Tips: Mother nature to provide more winners!

They’ve kept the dream alive right to the end of the season but unfortunately, a turnaround of 10%+ seems impossible for Collingwood. It’s been an injury-ravaged campaign with a few too many narrow losses.

They had been on the right side of those close ones over the previous couple of seasons but as they’ve slipped, so have the chances of a repeat flag.

The Melbourne horror show

Melbourne’s season has been a shocker after some early teasing when they won 6 out of the first 8. Problems off the field during the pre-season didn’t seem to be bothering the Demons on the field but following losses to Carlton and West Coast, things began to unravel.

Clayton Oliver who was a huge part of the pre-season mess hasn’t performed all season. Then talisman Christian Petracca got injured in the King’s Birthday clash against the Pies and was out for the season, with him went the chances of making finals.

So now at the final round of the regular season, we have two teams who were expected to play finals but won’t. Melbourne should blood some youngsters while Collingwood will go for the win and will look to keep going to the final siren, but naturally, they may lack a little motivation late in the game.

Recent winning strategy to be played again

Collingwood are 17/25 with bet365 and I wouldn’t put anybody off that if that kind of price is your bag. I do believe they’ll be more motivated for this than Melbourne and will be fielding more first-choice players.

As you read on, it’ll become clearer why I’ve opted for a couple of other bets rather than just betting Craig McRae’s men to take the 4pts.

Weather to play its part

Weather watch is always a massively important point when it comes to betting the AFL. Just see our most recent example of a weather play delivering 9/10 and 11/4 winners last weekend. There is a possibility of rain, currently around 50% for Friday night in Melbourne and that’s enough to make our bets.

The points total of 170.5 already looked on the high side without rain. 8 out of Melbourne’s last 10 games have gone under that number. Half of Collingwood’s games over the same sample size have fallen under 171 points.

The under bet at 9/10 with Unibet

I’m happy to take the main total line under bet at 9/10 with Unibet as our first route into this game.

“If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.’’

Wise words and with that being said, we will make the same choice we made in last week’s easy winning tip mentioned earlier. A smaller play on under 150.5pts at the juicy odds of 3/1 also with Unibet.

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Melbourne v Collingwood Best Bets

Best Bets

• Market: Total Points
• Selection: Under 170.5
• Odds: 9/10
• Stake: 1pt
• Bookie: Unibet

• Market: Total Match Points
• Selection: 150 Points or less
• Odds: 3/1
• Stake: 0.25pt
• Bookie: Unibet

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